Alejandro Moro Canas and Vilius Gaubas will square off in the final of the Rome Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 2:30 pm on FUSP CENTER COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Vilius Gaubas who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Vilius Gaubas is the pick to win this match.
Vilius Gaubas -> 1.7
Alejandro Moro Canas -> 2.07

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Prediction and head to head Alejandro Moro Canas vs. Vilius Gaubas

There is no head to head record between Alejandro Moro Canas and Vilius Gaubas since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.

Alejandro Moro Canas

Ranked no. 218 (career-high), the Spaniard reached the final after defeating Zsombor Piros 6-4 6-3, Ryan Nijboer 6-7¹

6-4 6-3, Jesper De Jong 7-6¹ 6-4 and Stefano Travaglia 6-3 6-7⁴ 6-2.

In the semifinal, Moro Canas defeated Travaglia (6-3 6-7⁴ 6-2). During the match, Moro Canas scored 100 points vs Travaglia’s 82. Alejandro was very aggressive to blast 47 winners.

Talking about the service games, Moro Canas scored just 1 ace in the match and he committed only 3 double faults. Alejandro Moro Canas lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Moro Canas put 68% of his first serves in, winning 71% (47/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (14/31) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Travaglia 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Spaniard has surrendered 2 set in this tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

Moro Canas has a solid win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 61% of his matches (151-97). 8-5 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Moro Canas has a composed71-58 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.

The Spaniard’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Rome Challenger.

Alejandro has an aggregate 16-12 win-loss record in 2024, 8-5 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Rome Challenger

Moro Canas has never competed in this tournament before.

Vilius Gaubas

Ranked no. 345, the Lithuanian got to the final after beating Tommaso Compagnucci 6-1 6-2, Daniel Merida Aguilar 7-5 6-4, Andrea Pellegrino 6-4 6-1, Matteo Martineau 7-5 4-6 6-4, Nicolas Moreno De Alboran 6-3 6-4 and Hugo Dellien 6-4 7-5.

In the semifinal, Vilius had a good straight sets win against Dellien (6-4 7-5). During the match Gaubas scored 64 points vs Dellien’s 53. Vilius was extremely aggressive to blast 21 winners.

About the serving games, Gaubas wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Vilius Gaubas lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Gaubas put 55% of his first serves in, winning 66% (21/32) of the points behind his 1st serve and 58% (15/26) on the 2nd serve. Vilius was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Dellien 5 times.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Gaubas started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

The Lithuanian’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in M25 Antalya and M25 Faro.

The Lithuanian has a compiled 24-10 win-loss record in 2024, 18-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Moro Canas	Gaubas
Match played	4	6
Tot Set	10	13
Tot Games	104	127
Pts	355-296	425-348
Total Points	651	773
Winners	151	181
%Winners	43%	43%

Moro Canas played 4 matches while Gaubas competed in 6 matches. Gaubas started his run from the qualifications while Moro Canas had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Alejandro Moro Canas lost 2 sets, while Vilius Gaubas dropped 1 set. Moro Canas has played 3 set(s) less than Gaubas (10 vs 13). Therefore, Moro Canas played 23 games less than Gaubas. The Spaniard scored 151 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Gaubas fired 181 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Moro Canas	Gaubas
Aces	7	13
Avg per match	1.8	2.2
1st in	211/319	244/374
%1st in	66%	65%
1st pts	151/211	181/244
%1st pts	72%	74%
2nd pts	56/108	71/130
%2nd pts	52%	55%

Moro Canas bagged 7 aces (1.8 per match). Gaubas bagged 13 aces (2.2 per match). Moro Canas won 72% points on his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Gaubas won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Moro Canas	Gaubas
Won	18	23
Converted	18/38	23/46
% Converted	47%	50%
Conceded	25	21
Saved	17	14
% Saved	68%	67%
Times Broken	8	7

The Spaniard broke his opponents 18 times with a 47% conversion rate. The Spaniard dropped his serve 8 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded. Gaubas broke his opponents 23 times with a 50% conversion rate. Vilius conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.

Moro Canas
	R1 Piros	R2 Nijboer	1/4 De Jong	1/2 Travaglia	Total
Score	6-4 6-3	6-71 6-4 6-3	7-61 6-4	6-3 6-74 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	2	3	10
Tot Games	19	32	23	30	104
pts	64-47	119-110	72-57	100-82	355-296
Total points	111	229	129	182	651
Winners	25	50	29	47	151
%Winners	39%	42%	40%	47%	43%
SERVE
Aces	2	1	3	1	7
Double Faults	1	2	2	3	8
1st in	28/43	78/113	39/66	66/97	211/319
% 1st in	65%	69%	59%	68%	66%
1st pts	25/28	50/78	29/39	47/66	151/211
% 1st pts	89%	64%	74%	71%	72%
2nd pts	8/15	19/35	15/27	14/31	56/108
% 2nd pts	53%	54%	56%	45%	52%
Breaks
Won	4	5	4	5	18
Converted	4/9	5/13	4/6	5/10	18/38
Converted %	44%	38%	67%	50%	47%
Conceded	2	12	5	6	25
Saved	1/2	10/12	2/5	4/6	17
Saved %	50%	83%	40%	67%	60%
Times Broken	1	2	3	2	8

Gaubas
	Q1 Compagnucci	Q3 Merida	R1 Pellegrino	R2 Martineau	1/4 Moreno De Alboran	1/2 Dellien	Total
Score	6-1 6-2	7-5 6-4	6-4 6-1	7-5 4-6 6-4	6-3 6-4	6-4 7-5
Tot Set	2	2	2	3	2	2	13
Tot Games	15	22	17	32	19	22	127
pts	54-32	76-67	63-43	102-99	66-54	64-53	425-348
Total points	86	143	106	201	120	117	773
Winners	20	35	25	47	33	21	181
%Winners	37%	46%	40%	46%	50%	33%	43%
SERVE
Aces	0	2	2	5	4	0	13
Double Faults	1	1	0	3	3	1	9
1st in	26/40	49/74	30/49	67/95	40/58	32/58	244/374
% 1st in	65%	66%	61%	71%	69%	55%	65%
1st pts	20/26	35/49	25/30	47/67	33/40	21/32	181/244
% 1st pts	77%	71%	83%	70%	83%	66%	74%
2nd pts	9/14	13/25	10/19	14/28	10/18	15/26	71/130
% 2nd pts	64%	52%	53%	50%	56%	58%	55%
Breaks
Won	5	3	4	4	2	5	23
Converted	5/6	3/5	4/7	4/16	2/7	5/5	23/46
Converted %	83%	60%	57%	25%	29%	100%	50%
Conceded	0	7	1	8	1	4	21
Saved	0/0	6/7	1/1	5/8	1/1	1/4	14
Saved %	–	86%	100%	63%	100%	25%	94%
Times Broken	0	1	0	3	0	3	7

Tennis Scores in Rome Challenger

• Luke Johnson/Skander MansouriJohnson/Skander Mansouri – Lorenzo Rottoli/Samuel Vincent RuggeriRottoli/Samuel Vincent Ruggeri (6-2 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas – (0-0) – H2H and prediction