Aryna Sabalenka and Robin Montgomery will square off in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 8:00 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.116
Robin Montgomery -> 6.4
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Robin Montgomery
There is no head to head record between Aryna Sabalenka and Robin Montgomery since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Sabalenka reached the 3rd round after defeating Magda Linette 6-4 3-6 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Sabalenka defeated Linette (6-4 3-6 6-3).During the match, Sabalenka scored less points (2) than Linette. In fact, the world no. 2 won 90 points vs Linette’s. That means that Sabalenka was more focused during the important points. Aryna was quite aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sabalenka blasted 10 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka lost the serve once and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Sabalenka put 58% of her first serves in, winning 79% (41/52) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (18/38) on the 2nd serve. Sabalenka broke Linette twice after converting 33% of her break points (2/6).
Sabalenka has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 68% of her matches (334-159). 2-1 on clay in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Sabalenka has an overall64-36 record in the last 9 years on clay.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title at the Australian Open where she defeated Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2.
The Belarussian has a composed 16-5 win-loss record in 2024, 2-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Robin Montgomery
16 - 8win/loss
107
105
LWLLWLLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-21 | 9-9 | 13-8 | 2-1 | 10-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-22 | 11-11 | 10-8 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 36-16 | 23-12 | 4-2 | 9-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 7-9 | 7-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-6 | 9-3 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 183, the American reached the 3rd round after defeating Elina Avanesyan 6-2 6-2 and Katie Boulter 1-6 6-3 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Boulter, Robin recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 6-3 6-4). During the match Montgomery scored 82 points vs Boulter’s 79. Robin was extremely aggressive to blast 34 winners.
Talking about serving, Montgomery recorded 5 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Robin Montgomery lost the serve 4 times and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Montgomery put 62% of her first serves in, winning 68% (34/50) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (15/31) on the 2nd serve. Robin broke Boulter 4 times after converting 40% of her break points (4/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
The American’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the W35 Naples.
Robin has a composed 16-8 win-loss record in 2024, 9-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
The American has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Montgomery |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 28 | 42 |
| Pts | 90-92 | 140-117 |
| Total Points | 182 | 257 |
| Winners | 41 | 63 |
| %Winners | 46% | 45% |
Sabalenka played 1 match while Montgomery competed in 2 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Aryna Sabalenka lost 1 set, while Robin Montgomery lost 1 set. Sabalenka has played 2 set(s) less than Montgomery (3 vs 5). Therefore, Sabalenka played 14 games less than Montgomery. Aryna scored 41 winners (46% of the total points). On the other side, The American made 63 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Montgomery |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 10 | 3.5 |
| 1st in | 52/90 | 88/135 |
| %1st in | 58% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 41/52 | 63/88 |
| %1st pts | 79% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 18/38 | 23/47 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 49% |
Sabalenka bagged 10 aces . Montgomery struck 7 aces (3.5 per match). Sabalenka won 79% points behind her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Montgomery won 72% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Montgomery |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 8 |
| Converted | 2/6 | 8/14 |
| % Converted | 33% | 57% |
| Conceded | 9 | 13 |
| Saved | 8 | 9 |
| % Saved | 89% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 4 |
The Belarussian broke her opponent twice with a 33% conversion rate. Aryna conceded her serve once and she saved 89% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. Montgomery conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||
| R2 Linette |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 28 | 28 | |
| pts | 90-92 | 90-92 | |
| Total points | 182 | 182 | |
| Winners | 41 | 41 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 46% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 10 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 52/90 | 52/90 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 58% | |
| 1st pts | 41/52 | 41/52 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/38 | 18/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 2/6 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 8/9 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 89% | 89% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Montgomery | ||||
| R1 Avanesyan |
R2 Boulter |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 1-6 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 26 | 42 | |
| pts | 58-38 | 82-79 | 140-117 | |
| Total points | 96 | 161 | 257 | |
| Winners | 29 | 34 | 63 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 41% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 5 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 38/54 | 50/81 | 88/135 | |
| % 1st in | 70% | 62% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 29/38 | 34/50 | 63/88 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 68% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/16 | 15/31 | 23/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 48% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 4/10 | 8/14 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 40% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 7 | 13 | |
| Saved | 6/6 | 3/7 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 43% | 143% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 4 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWWWWL
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