Elena Rybakina and Mayar Sherif will fight against each other in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.1
Mayar Sherif -> 7
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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Mayar Sherif
This will be the 2nd time that Elena Rybakina and Mayar Sherif clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Rybakina won 6-3 6-2 in the 1st round in Cincinnati back in 2022.
Highlights Elena Rybakina vs Mayar Sherif – Cincinnati 15-August-2022
Elena Rybakina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 30-5 | 22-4 | 8-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 47-15 | 31-11 | 11-2 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-21 | 18-12 | 9-5 | 5-2 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-23 | 18-14 | 6-4 | 2-2 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 18-5 | 7-3 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, the Kazakhstani reached the 3rd round after beating Lucia Bronzetti 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Rybakina had a good straight sets win against Bronzetti (6-4 6-3). During the match, Rybakina scored 59 points vs Bronzetti’s 46. Rybakina was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rybakina struck 6 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Overall, Elena Rybakina was pretty efficient on serve to win 72% (23/32) of her 1st serve and 52% (13/25) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve twice. Elena broke Bronzetti 4 times after converting 80% of her break points (4/5).
Rybakina has a remarkable match record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (316-136). 5-0 on clay in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Rybakina has an aggregate 80-34 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Her best result of the current season was conquering the title in Brisbane where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-0 6-3 and in Abu Dhabi where she overcame Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-1 6-4 and in Stuttgart where she beat Marta Kostyuk in the final 6-2 6-2.
Rybakina has an aggregate 27-4 win-loss record in 2024, 5-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Mayar Sherif
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 6-7 | 0-3 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-25 | 4-12 | 24-10 | 1-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-17 | 1-12 | 26-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 37-22 | 10-11 | 26-10 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 26-10 | 2-5 | 24-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 72, the Egyptian reached the 3rd round after defeating Lauren Davis 4-6 7-64 6-4 and Marta Kostyuk 6-2 7-5.
In the 2nd round, Mayar had a good straight sets win against Kostyuk (6-2 7-5). During the match Sherif scored 78 points vs Kostyuk’s 62. Mayar was exceptionally aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about serving, Sherif was unable to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she was pretty solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Mayar Sherif lost the serve 3 times and she saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Sherif put 80% of her first serves in, winning 58% (31/53) of the points behind her 1st serve and 54% (7/13) on the 2nd serve. Sherif broke Kostyuk 6 times after converting 46% of her break points (6/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sherif has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points she played.
The Egyptian has an overall 2-5 win-loss record in 2024, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rybakina | Sherif |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 5 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 53 |
| Pts | 59-46 | 194-177 |
| Total Points | 105 | 371 |
| Winners | 23 | 80 |
| %Winners | 39% | 41% |
Rybakina played 1 match while Sherif competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Mayar Sherif dropped 1 set while Elena Rybakina hasn’t dropped a set so far. Rybakina has played 3 set(s) less than Sherif (2 vs 5). Therefore, Rybakina played 34 games less than Sherif. Rybakina scored 23 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, Sherif blasted 80 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rybakina | Sherif |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 6 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 0.5 |
| 1st in | 32/57 | 138/177 |
| %1st in | 56% | 78% |
| 1st pts | 23/32 | 80/138 |
| %1st pts | 72% | 58% |
| 2nd pts | 13/25 | 19/39 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 49% |
Rybakina bagged 6 aces . Sherif recorded 1 ace (0.5 per match). Rybakina won 72% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Sherif won 58% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rybakina | Sherif |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 12 |
| Converted | 4/5 | 12/29 |
| % Converted | 80% | 41% |
| Conceded | 5 | 18 |
| Saved | 3 | 9 |
| % Saved | 60% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 9 |
The Kazakhstani broke her opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Elena conceded her serve twice and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded. Mayar broke her opponents 12 times with a 41% conversion rate. Mayar conceded her serve 9 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Rybakina | |||
| R2 Bronzetti |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 59-46 | 59-46 | |
| Total points | 105 | 105 | |
| Winners | 23 | 23 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 6 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 32/57 | 32/57 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 23/32 | 23/32 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/25 | 13/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 3/5 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 60% | 60% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Sherif | ||||
| R1 Davis |
R2 Kostyuk |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 7-64 6-4 | 6-2 7-5 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 20 | 53 | |
| pts | 116-115 | 78-62 | 194-177 | |
| Total points | 231 | 140 | 371 | |
| Winners | 49 | 31 | 80 | |
| %Winners | 42% | 40% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 0 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 85/111 | 53/66 | 138/177 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | 80% | 78% | |
| 1st pts | 49/85 | 31/53 | 80/138 | |
| % 1st pts | 58% | 58% | 58% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/26 | 7/13 | 19/39 | |
| % 2nd pts | 46% | 54% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 6 | 6 | 12 | |
| Converted | 6/16 | 6/13 | 12/29 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 46% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 14 | 4 | 18 | |
| Saved | 8/14 | 1/4 | 9 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 25% | 82% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWWWWWWWL
WLWWWLWWLL Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Maria Lourdes CarleLourdes Carle (6-3 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (7-60 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Sloane StephensStephens (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (7-5 2-6 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (6-1 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Emma NavarroNavarro (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Caroline DolehideDolehide (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (2-4) – H2H and prediction
- Mayar SherifSherif – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (5-2) – H2H and prediction
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Jaqueline CristianCristian (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Ons JabeurJabeur (2-2) – H2H and prediction
