Andrey Rublev and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina will square off in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 12:30 pm on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Andrey Rublev who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Andrey Rublev is the pick to win this match.
Andrey Rublev -> 1.46
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina -> 2.72
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Andrey Rublev vs. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
This will be the 4th time that Andrey Rublev and Alejandro Davidovich Fokina square off. The head to head is 3-0 for Rublev (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Rublev won 7-6(8) 6-3 in the 3rd round in Rome back in 2023.
Andrey Rublev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-11 | 13-5 | 9-4 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-26 | 23-12 | 19-5 | 6-7 | 8-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 51-20 | 19-7 | 14-6 | 18-6 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 53-23 | 25-10 | 9-5 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 41-10 | 17-4 | 10-2 | 14-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, the Russian reached the 3rd round after defeating Facundo Bagnis 6-1 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Rublev had a good straight sets win against Bagnis (6-1 6-4). During the match, Rublev scored 76 points vs Bagnis’s 58. Andrey was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rublev recorded 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Andrey Rublev lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Rublev put 67% of his first serves in, winning 70% (28/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the 2nd serve. Rublev broke Bagnis 4 times after converting 40% of his break points (4/10).
Rublev has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 64% of his matches (406-228). 1-2 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rublev has a compiled 98-63 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title in Hong Kong where he overcame Emil Ruusuvuori in the final 6-4 6-4.
The Russian has an aggregate 16-8 win-loss record in 2024, 1-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Alejandro Davidovich Fokina
9 - 9win/loss
36
21
LLWLLWLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10-13 | 6-5 | 2-5 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 32-28 | 18-11 | 9-8 | 3-6 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-26 | 7-9 | 11-8 | 0-6 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-25 | 4-6 | 16-7 | 9-10 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-13 | 5-5 | 5-5 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 28, the Spaniard reached the 3rd round after defeating Juncheng Shang 7-5 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Davidovich Fokina had a good straight sets win against Shang (7-5 6-3). During the match Davidovich Fokina scored 72 points vs Shang’s 56. Davidovich Fokina was extremely aggressive to blast 28 winners.
About the serving games, Davidovich Fokina managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Alejandro Davidovich Fokina lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Davidovich Fokina put 65% of his first serves in, winning 76% (28/37) of the points behind his 1st serve and 45% (9/20) on the 2nd serve. The Spaniard broke Shang 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Davidovich Fokina has an aggregate 9-9 win-loss record in 2024, 1-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rublev | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 21 |
| Pts | 76-58 | 72-56 |
| Total Points | 134 | 128 |
| Winners | 28 | 28 |
| %Winners | 37% | 39% |
Both Rublev and Davidovich Fokina played 1 match. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Rublev and Davidovich Fokina have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Rublev played 4 games less than Davidovich Fokina. Andrey scored 28 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The Spaniard fired 28 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rublev | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 7 |
| 1st in | 40/60 | 37/57 |
| %1st in | 67% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 28/40 | 28/37 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 9/20 |
| %2nd pts | 55% | 45% |
Rublev made 5 aces . Davidovich Fokina managed to score 7 aces . Rublev won 70% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 55% of the points. On the other side, Davidovich Fokina won 76% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rublev | Davidovich Fokina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 5 |
| Converted | 4/10 | 5/9 |
| % Converted | 40% | 56% |
| Conceded | 4 | 8 |
| Saved | 3 | 5 |
| % Saved | 75% | 63% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Rublev broke his opponent 4 times with a 40% conversion rate. Andrey dropped his serve once and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. Davidovich Fokina broke his opponent 5 times with a 56% conversion rate. Alejandro conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rublev | |||
| R2 Bagnis |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 76-58 | 76-58 | |
| Total points | 134 | 134 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 40/60 | 40/60 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 28/40 | 28/40 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/20 | 11/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/10 | 4/10 | |
| Converted % | 40% | 40% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Davidovich Fokina | |||
| R2 Shang |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 72-56 | 72-56 | |
| Total points | 128 | 128 | |
| Winners | 28 | 28 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 37/57 | 37/57 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 28/37 | 28/37 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/20 | 9/20 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 5/9 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 5/8 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 63% | 63% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWWLWWWWW
LLWLLWLLLW Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Max PurcellPurcell (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-2 7-65) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Borna CoricCoric (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Taro DanielDaniel (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Arthur FilsFils (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Mariano NavoneNavone (5-7 7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Jack DraperDraper (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Lukas KleinKlein (6-75 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Luciano DarderiDarderi (7-61 6-4) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Juncheng ShangShang (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Facundo BagnisBagnis (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Luca Van AsscheVan Assche (6-4 6-72 6-3) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Max PurcellPurcell (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Pavel KotovKotov – Jordan ThompsonThompson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Flavio CobolliCobolli (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-4) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Casper RuudRuud (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas MachacMachac – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Rafael NadalNadal (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Pedro CachinCachin – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Alexander ZverevZverev (3-5) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
