Taylor Fritz and Sebastian Baez will face off in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 6:30 pm on STADIUM 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Taylor Fritz who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Taylor Fritz is the pick to win this match.
Taylor Fritz -> 1.49
Sebastian Baez -> 2.625
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Prediction and head to head Taylor Fritz vs. Sebastian Baez
This will be the 5th time that Taylor Fritz and Sebastian Baez face off. The head to head is 4-0 for Fritz (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Fritz won 6-2 6-2 in the 3rd round in Indian wells back in March 2024.
Taylor Fritz
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 50-22 | 22-10 | 15-7 | 3-3 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 54-24 | 35-11 | 11-6 | 5-3 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-21 | 24-8 | 5-3 | 9-7 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-22 | 20-13 | 4-5 | 8-3 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 15-16 | 11-9 | 2-3 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 13, Fritz got to the 3rd round after beating Luciano Darderi 7-61 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Fritz had a good straight sets win against Darderi (7-61 6-4). During the match, Fritz scored 69 points vs Darderi’s 57. Fritz was exceptionally aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Fritz fired 9 aces and he was very solid in conceding no double faults. Overall, Taylor Fritz was pretty efficient on serve to win 87% (33/38) of his 1st serve and 63% (12/19) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The American broke Darderi twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Fritz has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 62% of his matches (351-214). 4-2 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Fritz has an aggregate 48-37 record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title in Delray Beach where he defeated Tommy Paul in the final 6-2 6-3.
Taylor has a compiled 16-7 win-loss record in 2024, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Sebastian Baez
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-27 | 5-9 | 26-11 | 0-4 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-27 | 9-7 | 22-13 | 1-5 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-32 | 6-12 | 27-12 | 0-6 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-16 | 2-1 | 52-12 | 2-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-13 | 10-3 | 18-9 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 19 (career-high), the Argentine reached the 3rd round after defeating Luca Van Assche 6-4 6-72 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Baez defeated Van Assche (6-4 6-72 6-3). During the match Baez scored 118 points vs Van Assche’s 111. Sebastian was pretty aggressive to blast 48 winners.
Talking about serving, Baez recorded 3 aces and he was extremely solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Sebastian Baez lost the serve 3 times and he saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Baez put 67% of his first serves in, winning 67% (48/72) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (20/36) on the 2nd serve. Baez broke Van Assche 5 times after converting 33% of his break points (5/15).
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Rio de Janeiro where he defeated Mariano Navone in the final 6-2 6-1 and in Santiago where he beat Alejandro Tabilo in the final 3-6 6-0 6-4.
Baez has a compiled 18-9 win-loss record in 2024, 15-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Fritz | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 32 |
| Pts | 69-57 | 118-111 |
| Total Points | 126 | 229 |
| Winners | 33 | 48 |
| %Winners | 48% | 41% |
Both Fritz and Baez played 1 match. At the moment, Sebastian Baez lost 1 set while Taylor Fritz hasn’t dropped a set so far. Fritz has played 1 set(s) less than Baez (2 vs 3). Therefore, Fritz played 9 games less than Baez. Taylor scored 33 winners (48% of the total points). On the other side, The Argentine blasted 48 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Fritz | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 3 |
| 1st in | 38/57 | 72/108 |
| %1st in | 67% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 33/38 | 48/72 |
| %1st pts | 87% | 67% |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 20/36 |
| %2nd pts | 63% | 56% |
Fritz bagged 9 aces . Baez recorded 3 aces . Fritz won 87% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Baez won 67% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Fritz | Baez |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 2 | 5 |
| Converted | 2/6 | 5/15 |
| % Converted | 33% | 33% |
| Conceded | 2 | 10 |
| Saved | 1 | 7 |
| % Saved | 50% | 70% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Taylor broke his opponent twice with a 33% conversion rate. Fritz surrendered his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Sebastian broke his opponent 5 times with a 33% conversion rate. Baez conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded.
| Fritz | |||
| R2 Darderi |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-61 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 69-57 | 69-57 | |
| Total points | 126 | 126 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 48% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 38/57 | 38/57 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 33/38 | 33/38 | |
| % 1st pts | 87% | 87% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/19 | 12/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/6 | 2/6 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Baez | |||
| R2 Van |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-72 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 118-111 | 118-111 | |
| Total points | 229 | 229 | |
| Winners | 48 | 48 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 72/108 | 72/108 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 48/72 | 48/72 | |
| % 1st pts | 67% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/36 | 20/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/15 | 5/15 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 10 | 10 | |
| Saved | 7/10 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 70% | 70% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LWLLWWWWLL
LLLLLLWLLW Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Max PurcellPurcell (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-2 7-65) – See score progression
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Borna CoricCoric (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Taro DanielDaniel (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Arthur FilsFils (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Holger RuneRune – Mariano NavoneNavone (5-7 7-62 6-4) – See score progression
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Jack DraperDraper (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
- Carlos AlcarazAlcaraz – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Tommy PaulPaul – Lukas KleinKlein (6-75 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Taylor FritzFritz – Luciano DarderiDarderi (7-61 6-4) – See score progression
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Juncheng ShangShang (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-63 6-3) – See score progression
- Andrey RublevRublev – Facundo BagnisBagnis (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Luca Van AsscheVan Assche (6-4 6-72 6-3) – See score progression
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- Sebastian KordaKorda – Max PurcellPurcell (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Hamad MedjedovicMedjedovic (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Pavel KotovKotov – Jordan ThompsonThompson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Flavio CobolliCobolli (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-4) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Casper RuudRuud (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas MachacMachac – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Rafael NadalNadal (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Pedro CachinCachin – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Daniel AltmaierAltmaier (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – Taylor Harry FritzHarry Fritz (0-4) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Alexander ZverevZverev (3-5) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
