H2H, prediction of Liudmila Samsonova vs Madison Keys in Madrid with odds, preview, pick | 27th April 2024

PREVIEW. Madrid. Samsonova and Keys will play each other in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Saturday the 27th of April

By
Mark Hall
-
Prediction and head to head Liudmila Samsonova vs. Madison Keys

Liudmila Samsonova and Madison Keys will square off in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 6:00 pm on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Liudmila Samsonova who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Liudmila Samsonova is the pick to win this match.
Liudmila Samsonova -> 1.88
Madison Keys -> 1.93

Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Liudmila Samsonova vs. Madison Keys

This will be the 4th time that Liudmila Samsonova and Madison Keys fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Keys (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Keys won 5-7 6-2 6-2 in the 3rd round in at the U.S. Open back in 2023.

Highlights Madison Keys vs Liudmila Samsonova – U.S. Open 02-September-2023

Liudmila Samsonova

Liudmila Samsonova
Liudmila Samsonova

5 - 9win/loss

Hard
4-8
I Hard
0-0
Clay
1-1
Rank
17
High
12
LLWLLLLWLL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 5-11 4-8 1-3 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 34-24 25-15 4-4 1-1 4-4 0-0
2022 30-17 26-10 3-4 0-0 1-3 0-0
2021 39-22 15-9 6-9 8-3 10-1 0-0
2020 20-12 10-6 4-4 6-2 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 17, the Russian got to the 3rd round after beating Naomi Osaka 6-2 4-6 7-5.

In the 2nd round, Ludmilla defeated Osaka (6-2 4-6 7-5). During the match, Samsonova scored 102 points vs Osaka’s 83. Ludmilla was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.

Talking about the service games, Samsonova blasted 4 aces and she committed only 6 double faults. Liudmila Samsonova lost the serve 4 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Samsonova put 53% of her first serves in, winning 77% (37/48) of the points behind her 1st serve and 48% (20/42) on the 2nd serve. Ludmilla broke Osaka 6 times after converting 50% of her break points (6/12).

Samsonova has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 63% of her matches (273-161). 1-1 on clay in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this event, Samsonova has a composed101-65 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.

The Russian’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Abu Dhabi.

Samsonova has an aggregate 5-9 win-loss record in 2024, 1-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Samsonova
Madrid
Samsonova's Record

Madison Keys

Madison Keys
Madison Keys

4 - 3win/loss

Hard
3-2
I Hard
0-0
Clay
1-1
Rank
16
High
7
WLWWWWLLWW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 8-4 3-2 5-2 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 33-15 19-9 5-3 0-2 9-1 0-0
2022 30-20 25-12 4-4 0-3 1-1 0-0
2021 11-15 3-9 3-4 0-0 5-2 0-0
2020 8-5 8-4 0-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 20, Keys reached the 3rd round after beating Irina-Camelia Begu 7-63 7-66.

In the 2nd round, Keys had a good straight sets win against Begu (7-63 7-66). During the match Keys scored 93 points vs Begu’s 89. Keys was quite aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Talking about serving, Keys blasted 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Madison Keys lost the serve 3 times and she saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 68% of her first serves in, winning 67% (45/67) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (13/31) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Begu 3 times after converting 43% of her break points (3/7).

Madison has an overall 4-3 win-loss record in 2024, 1-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2016. See her history.

Keys
Madrid
Keys's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

L.Samsonova
M.Keys
2h:22
2h:22
Time on court​
2h:11
2h:11
!
2h:22
2h:22
Last match​
!
2h:11
2h:11
1
1
Match played
1
1
30
30
Games Played​
26
26
3
3
Set played​​
2
2
102
102
Total points​
93
93
102
102
Avg point​
93
93
37
37
Winners
45
45
37
37
Avg Winners​
45
45
36%
36%
Ratio winners
48%
48%
-- Serve --
4
4
Aces
3
3
4
4
Avg Aces
3
3
6
6
Double Faults
2
2
!
6
6
Avg Double Faults
2
2
37/48
37/48
1st won total​
45/67
45/67
!
77%
77%
1st won %
67%
67%
20/42
20/42
2nd won total​
13/31
13/31
48%
48%
2nd won %
42%
42%
-- Break Points --
6/12
6/12
BP won
3/7
3/7
6/12
6/12
Avg BP won
3/7
3/7
50%
50%
Won
43%
43%
9
9
Conceded
13
13
9
9
Avg Conceded
13
13
4
4
Broken
3
3
4
4
Avg Broken
3
3
5
5
Saved
10
10
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Samsonova Keys
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 2
Tot Games 30 26
Pts 102-83 93-89
Total Points 185 182
Winners 37 45
%Winners 36% 48%

Both Samsonova and Keys played 1 match. At the moment, Liudmila Samsonova conceded 1 set while Madison Keys hasn’t lost a set so far. Samsonova has played 1 set more than Keys (3 vs 2). Therefore, Samsonova played 4 games more than Keys. Ludmilla scored 37 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The American made 45 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve Samsonova Keys
Aces 4 3
Avg per match 4 3
1st in 48/90 67/98
%1st in 53% 68%
1st pts 37/48 45/67
%1st pts 77% 67%
2nd pts 20/42 13/31
%2nd pts 48% 42%

Samsonova struck 4 aces . Keys scored 3 aces . Samsonova won 77% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 48% of the points. On the other side, Keys won 67% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 42% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Samsonova Keys
Won 6 3
Converted 6/12 3/7
% Converted 50% 43%
Conceded 9 13
Saved 5 10
% Saved 56% 77%
Times Broken 4 3

Ludmilla broke her opponent 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 56% of the break points that she conceded. Keys broke her opponent 3 times with a 43% conversion rate. Madison conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 77% of the break points that she conceded.

Samsonova
R2
Osaka		 Total
Score 6-2 4-6 7-5
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 30 30
pts 102-83 102-83
Total points 185 185
Winners 37 37
%Winners 36% 36%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 6 6
1st in 48/90 48/90
% 1st in 53% 53%
1st pts 37/48 37/48
% 1st pts 77% 77%
2nd pts 20/42 20/42
% 2nd pts 48% 48%
Breaks
Won 6 6
Converted 6/12 6/12
Converted % 50% 50%
Conceded 9 9
Saved 5/9 5
Saved % 56% 56%
Times Broken 4 4
Keys
R2
Begu		 Total
Score 7-63 7-66
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 26 26
pts 93-89 93-89
Total points 182 182
Winners 45 45
%Winners 48% 48%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 67/98 67/98
% 1st in 68% 68%
1st pts 45/67 45/67
% 1st pts 67% 67%
2nd pts 13/31 13/31
% 2nd pts 42% 42%
Breaks
Won 3 3
Converted 3/7 3/7
Converted % 43% 43%
Conceded 13 13
Saved 10/13 10
Saved % 77% 77%
Times Broken 3 3

Head 2 Head

Liudmila Samsonova
  • 0Slam
  • 4Main
  • 2ITF
  • 2Minor
Madison Keys
  • 0Slam
  • 8Main
  • 2ITF
  • 1Minor

Liudmila
Samsonova

1:3

Madison
Keys

Rank

17

High

12

0Hard2

0Clay1

1Grass0

Rank

16

High

7

Win Loss
Samsonova
LLWLLLLWLL
Keys
WLWWWWLLWW
2024 2023 2022
5 - 11
8 - 4
4-8
Hard
3-2
1-3
Clay
5-2

Tennis Scores in Madrid

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw

Samsonova
Liudmila Samsonova
More Stats
Click here
Keys Madison Keys