Iga Swiatek and Sorana Cirstea will square off in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11:00 am on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.052
Sorana Cirstea -> 9.8

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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Sorana Cirstea

This will be the 4th time that Iga Swiatek and Sorana Cirstea clash against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they competed against each other, Swiatek won 6-1 6-1

in the 2nd round in Doha back in February 2024.

Iga Swiatek

Iga Swiatek

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
2
High
1
WWLLWLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 64-17 40-10 11-4 3-2 10-1 0-0
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0

Currently world no. 1 Iga reached the 3rd round after beating Xiyu Wang 6-1 6-4.

In the 2nd round, Swiatek had a good straight sets win against Wang (6-1 6-4). During the match, Swiatek scored 59 points vs Wang’s 42. The Pole was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Regarding the service games, Swiatek blasted 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Iga Swiatek lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Swiatek put 63% of her first serves in, winning 73% (24/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (9/19) on the 2nd serve. Swiatek broke Wang 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).

Swiatek has a fantastic match record in the last 9 years having won 81% of her matches (312-71). 3-1 on clay in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Swiatek has a compiled114-17 match record in the last 9 years on clay.

Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Australia where she overcame Angelique Kerber in the final 6-3 6-0 and in Doha where she defeated Elena Rybakina in the final 7-6(8) 6-2 and in Indian Wells where she defeated Maria Sakkari in the final 6-4 6-0.

Iga has an overall 27-4 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Madrid
Swiatek's Record

Sorana Cirstea

Sorana Cirstea

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
44
High
21
LWWLWWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 30-20 26-14 3-2 1-2 0-2 0-0
2024 12-16 9-8 3-5 0-0 0-3 0-0
2023 31-22 21-14 7-4 0-1 3-3 0-0
2022 22-21 10-10 4-6 4-2 4-3 0-0
2021 24-18 11-10 11-3 0-2 2-3 0-0

Ranked no. 30, Cirstea got to the 3rd round after beating Alexandra Eala 6-3 6-76 6-4.

In the 2nd round, The Romanian defeated Eala (6-3 6-76 6-4). During the match Cirstea scored 97 points vs Eala’s 88. Cirstea was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about serving, Cirstea scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Sorana Cirstea lost the serve 6 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Cirstea put 60% of her first serves in, winning 58% (33/57) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (17/38) on the 2nd serve. Cirstea broke Eala 8 times after converting 57% of her break points (8/14).

Sorana’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Dubai.

The Romanian has an overall 10-9 win-loss record in 2024, 1-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2016 and 2017. See her history.

Madrid
Cirstea's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

I.Swiatek
S.Cirstea
1h:16
1h:16
Time on court​
!
2h:17
2h:17
1h:16
1h:16
Last match​
!
2h:17
2h:17
1
1
Match played
1
1
17
17
Games Played​
32
32
2
2
Set played​​
3
3
59
59
Total points​
97
97
59
59
Avg point​
97
97
24
24
Winners
33
33
24
24
Avg Winners​
33
33
41%
41%
Ratio winners
34%
34%
-- Serve --
3
3
Aces
1
1
3
3
Avg Aces
1
1
3
3
Double Faults
3
3
3
3
Avg Double Faults
3
3
24/33
24/33
1st won total​
33/57
33/57
!
73%
73%
1st won %
58%
58%
9/19
9/19
2nd won total​
17/38
17/38
47%
47%
2nd won %
45%
45%
-- Break Points --
5/7
5/7
BP won
8/14
8/14
5/7
5/7
Avg BP won
8/14
8/14
!
71%
71%
Won
!
57%
57%
4
4
Conceded
8
8
4
4
Avg Conceded
8
8
1
1
Broken
6
6
1
1
Avg Broken
!
6
6
3
3
Saved
2
2

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Swiatek Cirstea
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 2 3
Tot Games 17 32
Pts 59-42 97-88
Total Points 101 185
Winners 24 33
%Winners 41% 34%

Both Swiatek and Cirstea played 1 match. At the moment, Sorana Cirstea surrendered 1 set while Iga Swiatek hasn’t dropped a set so far. Swiatek has played 1 set(s) less than Cirstea (2 vs 3). Therefore, Swiatek played 15 games less than Cirstea. The Pole scored 24 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Romanian blasted 33 winners (34%).

Serve Performance

Serve Swiatek Cirstea
Aces 3 1
Avg per match 3 1
1st in 33/52 57/95
%1st in 63% 60%
1st pts 24/33 33/57
%1st pts 73% 58%
2nd pts 9/19 17/38
%2nd pts 47% 45%

Swiatek struck 3 aces . Cirstea made 1 ace . Swiatek won 73% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Cirstea won 58% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Swiatek Cirstea
Won 5 8
Converted 5/7 8/14
% Converted 71% 57%
Conceded 4 8
Saved 3 2
% Saved 75% 25%
Times Broken 1 6

Iga broke her opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Iga conceded her serve once and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. Sorana broke her opponent 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Romanian conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 25% of the break points that she conceded.

Swiatek
R2
Wang
Total
Score 6-1 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 17 17
pts 59-42 59-42
Total points 101 101
Winners 24 24
%Winners 41% 41%
SERVE
Aces 3 3
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 33/52 33/52
% 1st in 63% 63%
1st pts 24/33 24/33
% 1st pts 73% 73%
2nd pts 9/19 9/19
% 2nd pts 47% 47%
Breaks
Won 5 5
Converted 5/7 5/7
Converted % 71% 71%
Conceded 4 4
Saved 3/4 3
Saved % 75% 75%
Times Broken 1 1
Cirstea
R2
Eala
Total
Score 6-3 6-76 6-4
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 32 32
pts 97-88 97-88
Total points 185 185
Winners 33 33
%Winners 34% 34%
SERVE
Aces 1 1
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 57/95 57/95
% 1st in 60% 60%
1st pts 33/57 33/57
% 1st pts 58% 58%
2nd pts 17/38 17/38
% 2nd pts 45% 45%
Breaks
Won 8 8
Converted 8/14 8/14
Converted % 57% 57%
Conceded 8 8
Saved 2/8 2
Saved % 25% 25%
Times Broken 6 6

Tennis Scores in Madrid

Upcoming matches in the draw