Iga Swiatek and Sorana Cirstea will square off in the 3rd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11:00 am on MANOLO SANTANA STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.052
Sorana Cirstea -> 9.8
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Sorana Cirstea
This will be the 4th time that Iga Swiatek and Sorana Cirstea clash against each other. The head to head is 3-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Swiatek won 6-1 6-1
in the 2nd round in Doha back in February 2024.Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 64-17 | 40-10 | 11-4 | 3-2 | 10-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 Iga reached the 3rd round after beating Xiyu Wang 6-1 6-4.
In the 2nd round, Swiatek had a good straight sets win against Wang (6-1 6-4). During the match, Swiatek scored 59 points vs Wang’s 42. The Pole was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Swiatek blasted 3 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Iga Swiatek lost the serve once and she saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Swiatek put 63% of her first serves in, winning 73% (24/33) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (9/19) on the 2nd serve. Swiatek broke Wang 5 times after converting 71% of her break points (5/7).
Swiatek has a fantastic match record in the last 9 years having won 81% of her matches (312-71). 3-1 on clay in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Swiatek has a compiled114-17 match record in the last 9 years on clay.
Her best result of the current year was winning the title in Australia where she overcame Angelique Kerber in the final 6-3 6-0 and in Doha where she defeated Elena Rybakina in the final 7-6(8) 6-2 and in Indian Wells where she defeated Maria Sakkari in the final 6-4 6-0.
Iga has an overall 27-4 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Sorana Cirstea
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 30-20 | 26-14 | 3-2 | 1-2 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 12-16 | 9-8 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 31-22 | 21-14 | 7-4 | 0-1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 22-21 | 10-10 | 4-6 | 4-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 11-10 | 11-3 | 0-2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 30, Cirstea got to the 3rd round after beating Alexandra Eala 6-3 6-76 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The Romanian defeated Eala (6-3 6-76 6-4). During the match Cirstea scored 97 points vs Eala’s 88. Cirstea was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about serving, Cirstea scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 3 double faults. Sorana Cirstea lost the serve 6 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Cirstea put 60% of her first serves in, winning 58% (33/57) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (17/38) on the 2nd serve. Cirstea broke Eala 8 times after converting 57% of her break points (8/14).
Sorana’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in Dubai.
The Romanian has an overall 10-9 win-loss record in 2024, 1-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2016 and 2017. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 17 | 32 |
| Pts | 59-42 | 97-88 |
| Total Points | 101 | 185 |
| Winners | 24 | 33 |
| %Winners | 41% | 34% |
Both Swiatek and Cirstea played 1 match. At the moment, Sorana Cirstea surrendered 1 set while Iga Swiatek hasn’t dropped a set so far. Swiatek has played 1 set(s) less than Cirstea (2 vs 3). Therefore, Swiatek played 15 games less than Cirstea. The Pole scored 24 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Romanian blasted 33 winners (34%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 1 |
| 1st in | 33/52 | 57/95 |
| %1st in | 63% | 60% |
| 1st pts | 24/33 | 33/57 |
| %1st pts | 73% | 58% |
| 2nd pts | 9/19 | 17/38 |
| %2nd pts | 47% | 45% |
Swiatek struck 3 aces . Cirstea made 1 ace . Swiatek won 73% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Cirstea won 58% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 45% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Cirstea |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 8 |
| Converted | 5/7 | 8/14 |
| % Converted | 71% | 57% |
| Conceded | 4 | 8 |
| Saved | 3 | 2 |
| % Saved | 75% | 25% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 6 |
Iga broke her opponent 5 times with a 71% conversion rate. Iga conceded her serve once and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. Sorana broke her opponent 8 times with a 57% conversion rate. The Romanian conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 25% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | |||
| R2 Wang | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 59-42 | 59-42 | |
| Total points | 101 | 101 | |
| Winners | 24 | 24 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 33/52 | 33/52 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 24/33 | 24/33 | |
| % 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/19 | 9/19 | |
| % 2nd pts | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 5/7 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 71% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 75% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Cirstea | |||
| R2 Eala | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-76 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 97-88 | 97-88 | |
| Total points | 185 | 185 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 57/95 | 57/95 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 33/57 | 33/57 | |
| % 1st pts | 58% | 58% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/38 | 17/38 | |
| % 2nd pts | 45% | 45% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 8 | 8 | |
| Converted | 8/14 | 8/14 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 2/8 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 | |
Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Victoria Jimenez KasintsevaJimenez Kasintseva (6-0 6-1) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Mayar SherifSherif – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Cristina BucsaBucsa (5-7 7-65 6-3) – See score progression
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Daria SavilleSaville (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Xinyu WangWang (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Caroline DolehideDolehide – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (6-76 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Magda LinetteLinette (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Linda NoskovaNoskova (4-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Ashlyn KruegerKrueger – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Irina-Camelia BeguBegu (7-63 7-66) – See score progression
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Anastasia PotapovaPotapova (7-5 6-3) – See score progression
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Emiliana ArangoArango (0-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Ons JabeurJabeur – Anna SchmiedlovaSchmiedlova (6-4 5-7 6-3) – See score progression
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Sloane StephensStephens – Elise MertensMertens (3-6 6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Xiyu WangWang (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Sara ErraniErrani (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova – Naomi OsakaOsaka (6-2 4-6 7-5) – See score progression
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Alexandra EalaEala (6-3 6-76 6-4) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Donna VekicVekic (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Jessica Bouzas ManeiroBouzas Maneiro (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Tatjana MariaMaria (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (6-3 7-5) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Arantxa RusRus (6-0 6-0) – See score progression
- Maria Lourdes CarleLourdes Carle – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Zihao XiaXia – Di WuWu (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Ze ZhangZhang – Yusuke TakahashiTakahashi (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Denis YevseyevYevseyev – Harri HeliovaaraHeliovaara (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Alexei PopyrinPopyrin – Tsung-Hua YangYang (4-6 7-64 7-5) – See score progression
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Tatsuma ItoIto (7-67 7-5) – See score progression
- Duckhee LeeLee – Yibing WuWu (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
- James WardWard – Arjun KadheKadhe (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Zhe LiLi (4-6 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Qinwen ZhengZheng (7-5 2-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Caroline DolehideDolehide – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (6-7(6) 6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Daria SavilleSaville (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Daria KasatkinaKasatkina – Cristina BucsaBucsa (5-7 7-6(5) 6-3) – See score progression
- Ashlyn KruegerKrueger – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Mayar SherifSherif – Marta KostyukKostyuk (6-2 7-5) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Lucia BronzettiBronzetti (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Mirra AndreevaAndreeva – Linda NoskovaNoskova (4-6 6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Xinyu WangWang (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Victoria Jimenez KasintsevaJimenez Kasintseva (6-0 6-1) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Magda LinetteLinette (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Shelby RogersRogers (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Olga DanilovicDanilovic (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jaqueline CristianCristian – Barbora KrejcikovaKrejcikova (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Katie BoulterBoulter – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Sara Sorribes TormoSorribes Tormo (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Emma NavarroNavarro (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Sloane StephensStephens – Maria SakkariSakkari (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Ludmilla SamsonovaSamsonova (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Maria Lourdes CarleLourdes Carle (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Ons JabeurJabeur (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (2-4) – H2H and prediction
- Mayar SherifSherif – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (5-2) – H2H and prediction