Alexander Bublik and Roberto Carballes Baena will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 4:00 pm on COURT 4. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Roberto Carballes Baena who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Roberto Carballes Baena is the pick to win this match.
Roberto Carballes Baena -> 1.42
Alexander Bublik -> 2.875
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Prediction and head to head Alexander Bublik vs. Roberto Carballes Baena
This will be the 2nd time that Alexander Bublik and Roberto Carballes Baena play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Bublik (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Bublik won 6-4 6-4 in the qualifications in Marrakech back in 2017.
Alexander Bublik
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 48-24 | 12-11 | 23-6 | 8-6 | 5-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-25 | 10-11 | 5-6 | 6-4 | 4-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-30 | 3-12 | 7-9 | 9-7 | 9-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-27 | 5-8 | 2-6 | 17-8 | 9-5 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-30 | 14-12 | 4-6 | 10-8 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18 (career-high), the Kazakhstani will start his run in Madrid after he played his last match in Monte Carlo where he lost 6-1 6-1 to Coric in the 1st round on the 7th of April.
Bublik has an overall 14-8 win-loss record in 2024, 0-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
His best result of the current year was winning the title in Montpellier where he defeated Borna Coric in the final 5-7 6-2 6-3.
Talking about his overall career, Bublik has an overall 340-246 record. He has a negative 52-54 record on clay.
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the quarter in 2021. See his history.
Roberto Carballes Baena
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-24 | 7-10 | 11-12 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 37-31 | 10-12 | 24-13 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 25-29 | 3-8 | 19-14 | 1-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-33 | 3-8 | 41-23 | 2-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 41-30 | 3-5 | 33-20 | 3-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 68, Roberto reached the 2nd round after beating Dominik Koepfer 6-1 3-6 7-65.
In the 1st round, Carballes Baena defeated Koepfer (6-1 3-6 7-65). During the match Carballes Baena scored 92 points vs Koepfer’s 79. Roberto was exceptionally aggressive to blast 47 winners.
About the serving games, Carballes Baena fired 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Roberto Carballes Baena lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Carballes Baena put 68% of his first serves in, winning 81% (47/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (12/27) on the 2nd serve. Roberto broke Koepfer 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Roberto’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Marrakech.
The Spaniard has an overall 12-11 win-loss record in 2024, 8-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2023. See his history.
Head 2 Head
LLWWWWLWWL
LLWLWLWWWL Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Arthur FilsFils (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andrey RublevRublev – Facundo BagnisBagnis (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-63 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tommy PaulPaul – Lukas KleinKlein (6-75 6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-2 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Juncheng ShangShang (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Hubert HurkaczHubert – Jack DraperJack (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-4) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pedro CachinCachin – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Borna CoricCoric – Alexander ZverevZverev (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Jack DraperDraper (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Flavio CobolliCobolli (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Max PurcellPurcell – Sebastian KordaKorda (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Taro DanielDaniel (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Casper RuudRuud (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Rafael NadalNadal (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Pavel KotovKotov – Jordan ThompsonThompson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas MachacMachac – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mariano NavoneNavone – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-0) – H2H and prediction
