Daniil Medvedev and Matteo Arnaldi will play each other in the 2nd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 4:00 pm on STADIUM 3. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.21
Matteo Arnaldi -> 4.45
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Matteo Arnaldi
This will be the 3rd time that Daniil Medvedev and Matteo Arnaldi square off. The head to head is 2-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Medvedev won 6-2 7-5 in the 2nd round in Toronto back in 2023.
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 41-23 | 20-12 | 6-4 | 10-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, the Russian will start his run in Madrid after he played his last match in Monte Carlo where he lost 6-3 7-5 to Khachanov in the 3rd round on the 11th of April.
Medvedev has a compiled 19-5 win-loss record in 2024, 1-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Medvedev’s best result of the current year was getting to the final at the Australian Open and Indian Wells.
Talking about his overall career, Medvedev has an overall 509-203 record. He has a positive 78-44 record on clay.
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2023. See his history.
Matteo Arnaldi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 23-26 | 11-14 | 7-6 | 5-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 29-26 | 17-13 | 10-9 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-26 | 21-15 | 23-7 | 4-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 50-35 | 9-3 | 37-20 | 4-11 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 56-24 | 2-1 | 51-18 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 36, Arnaldi got to the 2nd round after beating Christopher O Connell 6-4 6-1.
In the 1st round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against O Connell (6-4 6-1). During the match Arnaldi scored 60 points vs O Connell’s 45. Arnaldi was exceptionally aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Arnaldi made 8 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Matteo Arnaldi was pretty efficient on serve to win 73% (24/33) of his 1st serve and 70% (14/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Matteo broke O Connell 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Arnaldi has a compiled 14-10 win-loss record in 2024, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See his history.
Tennis Scores in Madrid
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – Arthur FilsFils (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Andrey RublevRublev – Facundo BagnisBagnis (6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Denis ShapovalovShapovalov – Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry (7-63 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Tommy PaulPaul – Lukas KleinKlein (6-75 6-1 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Francisco CerundoloCerundolo – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (6-2 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina – Juncheng ShangShang (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild – Lorenzo MusettiMusetti (6-4 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Hubert HurkaczHubert – Jack DraperJack (6-1 7-5) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (6-4) – H2H and prediction
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro – Stefanos TsitsipasTsitsipas (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Daniil MedvedevMedvedev – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pedro CachinCachin – Frances TiafoeTiafoe (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander BublikBublik – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Borna CoricCoric – Alexander ZverevZverev (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Hubert HurkaczHurkacz – Jack DraperDraper (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Flavio CobolliCobolli (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cameron NorrieNorrie – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Max PurcellPurcell – Sebastian KordaKorda (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Andrey RublevRublev – Alejandro Davidovich FokinaDavidovich Fokina (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tommy PaulPaul – Francisco CerundoloCerundolo (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tallon GriekspoorGriekspoor – Taro DanielDaniel (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic – Casper RuudRuud (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp (3-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alex De MinaurDe Minaur – Rafael NadalNadal (2-3) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Adrian MannarinoMannarino (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Pavel KotovKotov – Jordan ThompsonThompson (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jannik SinnerSinner – Lorenzo SonegoSonego (4-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sebastian BaezBaez – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas MachacMachac – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jiri LeheckaLehecka – (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mariano NavoneNavone – Holger Vitus Nodskov RuneVitus Nodskov Rune (0-0) – H2H and prediction