Holger Rune and Mariano Navone will square off in the 2nd round of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 8:00 pm on ARANTXA SANCHEZ STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Holger Rune who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Holger Rune is the pick to win this match.
Holger Rune -> 1.25
Mariano Navone -> 3.96

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Prediction and head to head Holger Rune vs. Mariano Navone

There is no head to head record between Holger Rune and Mariano Navone since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.

Holger Rune

Holger Rune

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
15
High
4
LWWLWWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 36-22 20-10 10-6 4-4 2-2 0-0
2024 45-24 21-12 11-6 10-4 3-2 0-0
2023 44-24 10-10 16-4 11-8 7-2 0-0
2022 50-27 8-9 21-11 21-4 0-3 0-0
2021 73-29 11-5 41-17 21-7 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 12, Holger will start his run in Madrid after he played his last match in Munich where he lost 6-2 6-0 to Struff in the semifinal on the 20th of April.

The Dane has an aggregate 17-9 win-loss record in 2024, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Holger’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Brisbane.

Talking about his overall career, The Dane has an overall 223-115 record. He has a positive 115-51 record on clay.

Previously in Madrid

Previously, his best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2023. See his history.

Madrid
Rune's Record

Mariano Navone

Mariano Navone

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
72
High
29
LWWLWWWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 38-31 5-12 30-16 1-1 2-2 0-0
2024 30-28 2-7 27-14 1-4 0-3 0-0
2023 40-23 0-1 40-21 0-0 0-1 0-0
2022 44-25 0-1 44-24 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 40-24 0-0 40-24 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 41 (career-high), Mariano reached the 2nd round after defeating Alexei Popyrin 7-5 6-2.

In the 1st round, Mariano had a good straight sets win against Popyrin (7-5 6-2). During the match Navone scored 60 points vs Popyrin’s 46. Navone was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.

About the serving games, Navone scored 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Mariano Navone was pretty efficient on serve to win 83% (25/30) of his 1st serve and 59% (13/22) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Mariano broke Popyrin 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

Mariano’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Tigre Challenger, Rio de Janeiro and Bucharest.

The Argentine has an overall 20-8 win-loss record in 2024, 20-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

The Argentine has never competed in this tournament before.

Madrid
Navone's Record

Tennis Scores in Madrid

Upcoming matches in the draw