Greetje Minnen and Emiliana Arango will play each other in the qualifications of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 11:00 am on COURT 5. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Greetje Minnen who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Greetje Minnen is the pick to win this match.
Greetje Minnen -> 1.55
Emiliana Arango -> 2.35
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Prediction and head to head Greetje Minnen vs. Emiliana Arango
There is no head to head record between Greetje Minnen and Emiliana Arango since this will be the first time that they will face off in the main tour.
Greetje Minnen
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10-15 | 8-9 | 2-4 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 56-20 | 12-6 | 13-4 | 22-6 | 5-3 | 4-1 |
| 2022 | 19-21 | 0-9 | 2-4 | 10-4 | 2-4 | 5-0 |
| 2021 | 39-27 | 19-12 | 7-6 | 8-7 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 13-15 | 11-7 | 1-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 69, Greetje reached the qualifications after defeating Darja Semenistaja 3-6 6-2 6-4.
In the qualifications against Semenistaja, The Belgian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-2 6-4). During the match, Minnen scored 90 points vs Semenistaja’s 84. Greetje was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Minnen fired 5 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Greetje Minnen lost the serve 4 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Minnen put 60% of her first serves in, winning 66% (33/50) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (17/34) on the 2nd serve. The Belgian broke Semenistaja 5 times after converting 36% of her break points (5/14).
Minnen has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (328-177). 2-2 on clay in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Minnen has an overall 70-43 record in the last years on clay.
The Belgian’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Charleston.
Greetje has a compiled 10-13 win-loss record in 2024, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Emiliana Arango
7 - 11win/loss
118
109
LWLWWWLLLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 10-13 | 4-6 | 4-4 | 2-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 48-27 | 10-8 | 28-13 | 2-2 | 8-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 12-20 | 7-7 | 5-12 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-20 | 19-9 | 19-10 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-6 | 8-5 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 121, Arango reached the qualifications after beating Kamilla Rakhimova 6-4 6-1.
In the qualifications, The Colombian had a good straight sets win against Rakhimova (6-4 6-1). During the match Arango scored 78 points vs Rakhimova’s 60. The Colombian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 27 winners.
About the serving games, Arango scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 2 double faults. Emiliana Arango lost the serve 3 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Arango put 65% of her first serves in, winning 59% (27/46) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (11/25) on the 2nd serve. Emiliana broke Rakhimova 7 times after converting 50% of her break points (7/14).
Arango has an overall 7-11 win-loss record in 2024, 1-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Minnen | Arango |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 27 | 17 |
| Pts | 90-84 | 78-60 |
| Total Points | 174 | 138 |
| Winners | 33 | 27 |
| %Winners | 37% | 35% |
Both Minnen and Arango played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Greetje Minnen surrendered 1 set while Emiliana Arango hasn’t dropped a set so far. Minnen has played 1 set more than Arango (3 vs 2). Therefore, Minnen played 10 games more than Arango. Greetje scored 33 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, Emiliana bagged 27 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Minnen | Arango |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 5 | 1 |
| 1st in | 50/84 | 46/71 |
| %1st in | 60% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 33/50 | 27/46 |
| %1st pts | 66% | 59% |
| 2nd pts | 17/34 | 11/25 |
| %2nd pts | 50% | 44% |
Minnen bagged 5 aces . Arango blasted 1 ace . Minnen won 66% points behind her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 50% of the points. On the other side, Arango won 59% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 44% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Minnen | Arango |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 7 |
| Converted | 5/14 | 7/14 |
| % Converted | 36% | 50% |
| Conceded | 8 | 5 |
| Saved | 4 | 2 |
| % Saved | 50% | 40% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 |
Minnen broke her opponent 5 times with a 36% conversion rate. Greetje dropped her serve 4 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded. Arango broke her opponent 7 times with a 50% conversion rate. Arango conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 40% of the break points that she conceded.
| Minnen | |||
| Q1 Semenistaja |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-2 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 90-84 | 90-84 | |
| Total points | 174 | 174 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 37% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 50/84 | 50/84 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 33/50 | 33/50 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/34 | 17/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 50% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/14 | 5/14 | |
| Converted % | 36% | 36% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Arango | |||
| Q1 Rakhimova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 78-60 | 78-60 | |
| Total points | 138 | 138 | |
| Winners | 27 | 27 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 46/71 | 46/71 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 27/46 | 27/46 | |
| % 1st pts | 59% | 59% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/25 | 11/25 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/14 | 7/14 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWLLWLW
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