Facundo Bagnis and Giulio Zeppieri will clash against each other in the qualifications of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Tuesday at 1:30 pm on COURT 6. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Giulio Zeppieri who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Giulio Zeppieri is the pick to win this match.
Giulio Zeppieri -> 1.59
Facundo Bagnis -> 2.26

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Prediction and head to head Facundo Bagnis vs. Giulio Zeppieri

This will be the 2nd time that Facundo Bagnis and Giulio Zeppieri fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Bagnis (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Bagnis won 6-2 6-4 in the 2nd round in the Todi Challenger back in 2020.

Facundo Bagnis

Facundo Bagnis

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
394
High
55
WLWLWWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 16-13 5-3 11-9 0-0 0-1 0-0
2024 30-15 1-3 29-11 0-0 0-1 0-0
2023 27-27 4-6 23-20 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 46-29 9-9 37-19 0-0 0-1 0-0
2021 38-23 2-5 35-16 1-1 0-1 0-0

Ranked no. 136, the Argentine reached the qualifications after beating David Goffin 6-2 2-6 6-3.

In the qualifications, Facundo defeated Goffin (6-2 2-6 6-3). During the match, Bagnis scored 78 points vs Goffin’s 66. Bagnis was quite aggressive to blast 34 winners.

Regarding the service games, Bagnis struck 4 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Facundo Bagnis lost the serve 3 times and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Bagnis put 71% of his first serves in, winning 65% (34/52) of the points behind his 1st serve and 62% (13/21) on the 2nd serve. Bagnis broke Goffin 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).

Bagnis has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (357-233). 18-6 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Bagnis has an aggregate 331-186 match record in the last years on clay.

His best result of the year was winning the title the Tigre Challenger where he overcame Mariano Navone in the final 7-5 1-6 7-5.

Bagnis has an overall 19-8 win-loss record in 2024, 18-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Facundo has never competed in this tournament before.

Madrid
Bagnis's Record

Giulio Zeppieri

Giulio Zeppieri

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
151
High
110
LWWLWWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 42-25 17-9 13-11 9-4 3-1 0-0
2024 18-18 8-4 7-10 3-4 0-0 0-0
2023 41-26 7-5 19-13 14-7 1-1 0-0
2022 30-31 1-2 25-22 4-6 0-1 0-0
2021 27-20 0-0 26-16 1-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 141, Giulio reached the qualifications after defeating Maximilian Marterer 6-3 7-65.

In the qualifications, Giulio had a good straight sets win against Marterer (6-3 7-65). During the match Zeppieri scored 69 points vs Marterer’s 59. Zeppieri was extremely aggressive to blast 32 winners.

About the serving games, Zeppieri blasted 8 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Giulio Zeppieri was extremely efficient on serve to win 80% (32/40) of his 1st serve and 56% (15/27) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Italian broke Marterer twice after converting 67% of his break points (2/3).

Zeppieri has a compiled 13-10 win-loss record in 2024, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Madrid

Previously, his best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See his history.

Madrid
Zeppieri's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament

F.Bagnis
G.Zeppieri
1h:51
1h:51
Time on court​
1h:27
1h:27
1h:51
1h:51
Last match​
1h:27
1h:27
1
1
Match played
1
1
25
25
Games Played​
22
22
3
3
Set played​​
2
2
78
78
Total points​
69
69
78
78
Avg point​
69
69
34
34
Winners
32
32
34
34
Avg Winners​
32
32
44%
44%
Ratio winners
46%
46%
-- Serve --
4
4
Aces
8
8
4
4
Avg Aces
8
8
3
3
Double Faults
3
3
3
3
Avg Double Faults
3
3
34/52
34/52
1st won total​
32/40
32/40
65%
65%
1st won %
!
80%
80%
13/21
13/21
2nd won total​
15/27
15/27
!
62%
62%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
4/5
4/5
BP won
2/3
2/3
4/5
4/5
Avg BP won
2/3
2/3
!
80%
80%
Won
!
67%
67%
8
8
Conceded
2
2
8
8
Avg Conceded
2
2
3
3
Broken
1
1
3
3
Avg Broken
1
1
5
5
Saved
1
1

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Bagnis Zeppieri
Match played 1 1
Tot Set 3 2
Tot Games 25 22
Pts 78-66 69-59
Total Points 144 128
Winners 34 32
%Winners 44% 46%

Both Bagnis and Zeppieri played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Facundo Bagnis surrendered 1 set while Giulio Zeppieri hasn’t dropped a set so far. Bagnis has played 1 set more than Zeppieri (3 vs 2). Therefore, Bagnis played 3 games more than Zeppieri. The Argentine scored 34 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian struck 32 winners (46%).

Serve Performance

Serve Bagnis Zeppieri
Aces 4 8
Avg per match 4 8
1st in 52/73 40/67
%1st in 71% 60%
1st pts 34/52 32/40
%1st pts 65% 80%
2nd pts 13/21 15/27
%2nd pts 62% 56%

Bagnis recorded 4 aces . Zeppieri recorded 8 aces . Bagnis won 65% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Zeppieri won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Bagnis Zeppieri
Won 4 2
Converted 4/5 2/3
% Converted 80% 67%
Conceded 8 2
Saved 5 1
% Saved 63% 50%
Times Broken 3 1

The Argentine broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. Facundo conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 63% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponent twice with a 67% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve once and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.

Bagnis
Q1
Goffin
Total
Score 6-2 2-6 6-3
Tot Set 3 3
Tot Games 25 25
pts 78-66 78-66
Total points 144 144
Winners 34 34
%Winners 44% 44%
SERVE
Aces 4 4
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 52/73 52/73
% 1st in 71% 71%
1st pts 34/52 34/52
% 1st pts 65% 65%
2nd pts 13/21 13/21
% 2nd pts 62% 62%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/5 4/5
Converted % 80% 80%
Conceded 8 8
Saved 5/8 5
Saved % 63% 63%
Times Broken 3 3
Zeppieri
Q1
Marterer
Total
Score 6-3 7-65
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 22 22
pts 69-59 69-59
Total points 128 128
Winners 32 32
%Winners 46% 46%
SERVE
Aces 8 8
Double Faults 3 3
1st in 40/67 40/67
% 1st in 60% 60%
1st pts 32/40 32/40
% 1st pts 80% 80%
2nd pts 15/27 15/27
% 2nd pts 56% 56%
Breaks
Won 2 2
Converted 2/3 2/3
Converted % 67% 67%
Conceded 2 2
Saved 1/2 1
Saved % 50% 50%
Times Broken 1 1

Upcoming matches in the draw