Aleksandar Kovacevic and Valentin Vacherot will square off in the qualifications of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 1:30 pm on COURT 8. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aleksandar Kovacevic who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aleksandar Kovacevic is the pick to win this match.
Aleksandar Kovacevic -> 1.77
Valentin Vacherot -> 1.98
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Prediction and head to head Aleksandar Kovacevic vs. Valentin Vacherot
This will be the 2nd time that Aleksandar Kovacevic and Valentin Vacherot play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Kovacevic (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Kovacevic won 6-7(4) 6-0 6-3 in the semifinal in the Temuco Challenger back in 2023.
Aleksandar Kovacevic
16 - 10win/loss
89
85
LLLWWLLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 17-13 | 14-7 | 3-5 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-27 | 34-15 | 0-5 | 7-2 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-31 | 22-18 | 4-4 | 15-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 20-17 | 11-10 | 2-3 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 5-5 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 97, the American got to the qualifications after beating Matteo Gigante 6-3 6-3.
In the qualifications, Aleksandar had a good straight sets win against Gigante (6-3 6-3). During the match, Kovacevic scored 65 points vs Gigante’s 45. Aleksandar was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kovacevic fired 4 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Aleksandar Kovacevic lost the serve once and he saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Kovacevic put 61% of his first serves in, winning 69% (25/36) of the points behind his 1st serve and 65% (15/23) on the 2nd serve. Aleksandar was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Gigante 4 times.
Kovacevic has a winning match record in the last 8 years having won 58% of his matches (168-124). 2-2 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Kovacevic has an aggregate16-18 record in the last 8 years on clay.
Aleksandar has an overall 16-10 win-loss record in 2024, 2-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Aleksandar has never competed in this tournament before.
Valentin Vacherot
22 - 6win/loss
120
120
LLWWWWWLWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-9 | 18-2 | 9-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-32 | 6-4 | 49-25 | 0-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 46-22 | 27-12 | 18-8 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-14 | 36-8 | 2-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 131 (career-high), the Monegasque reached the qualifications after beating Jurij Rodionov 6-3 2-6 6-2.
In the qualifications, Valentin defeated Rodionov (6-3 2-6 6-2). During the match Vacherot scored 82 points vs Rodionov’s 73. Vacherot was exceptionally aggressive to blast 43 winners.
Talking about serving, Vacherot made 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Valentin Vacherot lost the serve 3 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Vacherot put 69% of his first serves in, winning 70% (43/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (11/28) on the 2nd serve. Valentin broke Rodionov 4 times after converting 80% of his break points (4/5).
His best result of the year was conquering the title the Nonthaburi 1 Challenger where he beat Lucas Pouille in the final 3-2 ret. and the Nonthaburi 2 Challenger where he beat Manuel Guinard in the final 7-5 7-6(5) and the Pune Challenger where he overcame Adam Walton in the final 3-6 7-6(5) 7-6(5).
Vacherot has an aggregate 22-6 win-loss record in 2024, 4-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kovacevic | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 18 | 25 |
| Pts | 65-45 | 82-73 |
| Total Points | 110 | 155 |
| Winners | 25 | 43 |
| %Winners | 38% | 52% |
Both Kovacevic and Vacherot played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Valentin Vacherot surrendered 1 set while Aleksandar Kovacevic hasn’t lost a set so far. Kovacevic has played 1 set(s) less than Vacherot (2 vs 3). Therefore, Kovacevic played 7 games less than Vacherot. Kovacevic scored 25 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, Vacherot struck 43 winners (52%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kovacevic | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 4 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 4 |
| 1st in | 36/59 | 61/89 |
| %1st in | 61% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 25/36 | 43/61 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 15/23 | 11/28 |
| %2nd pts | 65% | 39% |
Kovacevic scored 4 aces . Vacherot fired 4 aces . Kovacevic won 69% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 65% of the points. On the other side, Vacherot won 70% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 39% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kovacevic | Vacherot |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 4 | 4 |
| Converted | 4/4 | 4/5 |
| % Converted | 100% | 80% |
| Conceded | 6 | 9 |
| Saved | 5 | 6 |
| % Saved | 83% | 67% |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 |
Aleksandar broke his opponent 4 times with a 100% conversion rate. Aleksandar lost his serve once and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. Valentin broke his opponent 4 times with a 80% conversion rate. The Monegasque conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kovacevic | |||
| Q1 Gigante |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 65-45 | 65-45 | |
| Total points | 110 | 110 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 36/59 | 36/59 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 25/36 | 25/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 69% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/23 | 15/23 | |
| % 2nd pts | 65% | 65% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 4/4 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 5/6 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
| Vacherot | |||
| Q1 Rodionov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 2-6 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 25 | 25 | |
| pts | 82-73 | 82-73 | |
| Total points | 155 | 155 | |
| Winners | 43 | 43 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 61/89 | 61/89 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 43/61 | 43/61 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/28 | 11/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 39% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/5 | 4/5 | |
| Converted % | 80% | 80% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 9 | |
| Saved | 6/9 | 6 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWWLLWLW
LLWWWWWLWL 
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