Brandon Nakashima and Camilo Ugo Carabelli will face off in the qualifications of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 11:00 am on COURT 6. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Brandon Nakashima who should win in 3 sets.
Brandon Nakashima -> 1.51
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 2.45
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Prediction and head to head Brandon Nakashima vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli
There is no head to head record between Brandon Nakashima and Camilo Ugo Carabelli since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Brandon Nakashima
27 - 10win/loss
65
43
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 42-18 | 11-4 | 13-7 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 28-14 | 19-6 | 4-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 81, Nakashima reached the qualifications after defeating Reda Bennani 6-1 6-75 6-1.
In the qualifications, Brandon defeated Bennani (6-1 6-75 6-1). During the match, Nakashima scored 110 points vs Bennani’s 80. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 47 winners.
Regarding the service games, Nakashima made 12 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Brandon Nakashima lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Nakashima put 69% of his first serves in, winning 77% (47/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (12/28) on the 2nd serve. Brandon broke Bennani 7 times after converting 44% of his break points (7/16).
Nakashima has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 62% of his matches (192-118). 5-2 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nakashima has a composed21-22 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he beat Pedro Martinez Portero in the final 6-3 6-4.
Nakashima has an aggregate 27-10 win-loss record in 2024, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
26 - 9win/loss
100
96
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 31-17 | 2-1 | 29-15 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-12 | 0-1 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 107, Ugo reached the qualifications after beating Bernabe Zapata Miralles 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, Ugo had a good straight sets win against Zapata Miralles (6-4 6-4). During the match Ugo scored 89 points vs Zapata Miralles’s 74. Camilo was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Ugo scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 72% (31/43) of his 1st serve and 63% (20/32) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ugo broke Zapata Miralles twice after converting 15% of his break points (2/13).
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Piracicaba Challenger where he beat Federico Coria in the final 7-5 6-4 and the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger where he overcame Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco in the final 6-4 6-2.
Camilo has a compiled 26-9 win-loss record in 2024, 24-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Nakashima | Ugo |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 27 | 20 |
| Pts | 110-80 | 89-74 |
| Total Points | 190 | 163 |
| Winners | 47 | 31 |
| %Winners | 43% | 35% |
Both Nakashima and Ugo played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Brandon Nakashima surrendered 1 set while Camilo Ugo Carabelli hasn’t dropped a set so far. Nakashima has played 1 set more than Ugo (3 vs 2). Therefore, Nakashima played 7 games more than Ugo. The American scored 47 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Ugo fired 31 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Nakashima | Ugo |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 12 | 1 |
| Avg per match | 12 | 1 |
| 1st in | 61/89 | 43/75 |
| %1st in | 69% | 57% |
| 1st pts | 47/61 | 31/43 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 12/28 | 20/32 |
| %2nd pts | 43% | 63% |
Nakashima recorded 12 aces . Ugo recorded 1 ace . Nakashima won 77% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Ugo won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Nakashima | Ugo |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 7 | 2 |
| Converted | 7/16 | 2/13 |
| % Converted | 44% | 15% |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 |
| Saved | 1 | 5 |
| % Saved | 25% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 |
Brandon broke his opponent 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. Brandon surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded. Ugo broke his opponent twice with a 15% conversion rate. Camilo was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 5 break points.
| Nakashima | |||
| Q1 Bennani | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-1 6-75 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
| pts | 110-80 | 110-80 | |
| Total points | 190 | 190 | |
| Winners | 47 | 47 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 61/89 | 61/89 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 47/61 | 47/61 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/28 | 12/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 7 | 7 | |
| Converted | 7/16 | 7/16 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 1/4 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Ugo | |||
| Q1 Zapata Miralles | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
| pts | 89-74 | 89-74 | |
| Total points | 163 | 163 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 35% | 35% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 43/75 | 43/75 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 31/43 | 31/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/32 | 20/32 | |
| % 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 2 | 2 | |
| Converted | 2/13 | 2/13 | |
| Converted % | 15% | 15% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 5/5 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
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