Brandon Nakashima and Camilo Ugo Carabelli will face off in the qualifications of the Mutua Madrid Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Tuesday at 11:00 am on COURT 6. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Brandon Nakashima who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Brandon Nakashima is the pick to win this match.
Brandon Nakashima -> 1.51
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 2.45
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Brandon Nakashima vs. Camilo Ugo Carabelli
There is no head to head record between Brandon Nakashima and Camilo Ugo Carabelli since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Brandon Nakashima
27 - 10win/loss
65
43
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 43-18 | 11-4 | 13-7 | 11-4 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
2023 | 21-26 | 9-15 | 3-4 | 8-3 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
2022 | 41-26 | 17-13 | 5-5 | 9-4 | 10-4 | 0-0 |
2021 | 45-25 | 17-10 | 4-7 | 20-5 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
2020 | 28-14 | 19-6 | 4-4 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
Ranked no. 81, Nakashima reached the qualifications after defeating Reda Bennani 6-1 6-75 6-1.
In the qualifications, Brandon defeated Bennani (6-1 6-75 6-1). During the match, Nakashima scored 110 points vs Bennani’s 80. The American was extremely aggressive to blast 47 winners.
Regarding the service games, Nakashima made 12 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Brandon Nakashima lost the serve 3 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Nakashima put 69% of his first serves in, winning 77% (47/61) of the points behind his 1st serve and 43% (12/28) on the 2nd serve. Brandon broke Bennani 7 times after converting 44% of his break points (7/16).
Nakashima has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 62% of his matches (192-118). 5-2 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Nakashima has a composed21-22 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.
His best result of the year was winning the title the Tenerife 1 Challenger where he beat Pedro Martinez Portero in the final 6-3 6-4.
Nakashima has an aggregate 27-10 win-loss record in 2024, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Madrid
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
26 - 9win/loss
100
96
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2024 | 32-17 | 2-1 | 30-15 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2020 | 19-12 | 0-1 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 107, Ugo reached the qualifications after beating Bernabe Zapata Miralles 6-4 6-4.
In the qualifications, Ugo had a good straight sets win against Zapata Miralles (6-4 6-4). During the match Ugo scored 89 points vs Zapata Miralles’s 74. Camilo was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Ugo scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he committed only 2 double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 72% (31/43) of his 1st serve and 63% (20/32) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Ugo broke Zapata Miralles twice after converting 15% of his break points (2/13).
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Piracicaba Challenger where he beat Federico Coria in the final 7-5 6-4 and the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger where he overcame Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco in the final 6-4 6-2.
Camilo has a compiled 26-9 win-loss record in 2024, 24-8 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Nakashima | Ugo |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 1 |
Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
Tot Games | 27 | 20 |
Pts | 110-80 | 89-74 |
Total Points | 190 | 163 |
Winners | 47 | 31 |
%Winners | 43% | 35% |
Both Nakashima and Ugo played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Brandon Nakashima surrendered 1 set while Camilo Ugo Carabelli hasn’t dropped a set so far. Nakashima has played 1 set more than Ugo (3 vs 2). Therefore, Nakashima played 7 games more than Ugo. The American scored 47 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Ugo fired 31 winners (35%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Nakashima | Ugo |
---|---|---|
Aces | 12 | 1 |
Avg per match | 12 | 1 |
1st in | 61/89 | 43/75 |
%1st in | 69% | 57% |
1st pts | 47/61 | 31/43 |
%1st pts | 77% | 72% |
2nd pts | 12/28 | 20/32 |
%2nd pts | 43% | 63% |
Nakashima recorded 12 aces . Ugo recorded 1 ace . Nakashima won 77% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 43% of the points. On the other side, Ugo won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Nakashima | Ugo |
---|---|---|
Won | 7 | 2 |
Converted | 7/16 | 2/13 |
% Converted | 44% | 15% |
Conceded | 4 | 5 |
Saved | 1 | 5 |
% Saved | 25% | 100% |
Times Broken | 3 | 0 |
Brandon broke his opponent 7 times with a 44% conversion rate. Brandon surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded. Ugo broke his opponent twice with a 15% conversion rate. Camilo was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 5 break points.
Nakashima | |||
Q1 Bennani |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-1 6-75 6-1 | ||
Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
Tot Games | 27 | 27 | |
pts | 110-80 | 110-80 | |
Total points | 190 | 190 | |
Winners | 47 | 47 | |
%Winners | 43% | 43% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 12 | 12 | |
Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
1st in | 61/89 | 61/89 | |
% 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
1st pts | 47/61 | 47/61 | |
% 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
2nd pts | 12/28 | 12/28 | |
% 2nd pts | 43% | 43% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 7 | 7 | |
Converted | 7/16 | 7/16 | |
Converted % | 44% | 44% | |
Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
Saved | 1/4 | 1 | |
Saved % | 25% | 25% | |
Times Broken | 3 | 3 |
Ugo | |||
Q1 Zapata Miralles |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-4 6-4 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 20 | 20 | |
pts | 89-74 | 89-74 | |
Total points | 163 | 163 | |
Winners | 31 | 31 | |
%Winners | 35% | 35% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 1 | 1 | |
Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
1st in | 43/75 | 43/75 | |
% 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
1st pts | 31/43 | 31/43 | |
% 1st pts | 72% | 72% | |
2nd pts | 20/32 | 20/32 | |
% 2nd pts | 63% | 63% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 2 | 2 | |
Converted | 2/13 | 2/13 | |
Converted % | 15% | 15% | |
Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
Saved | 5/5 | 5 | |
Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
Times Broken | 0 | 0 |
Head 2 Head
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Roberto Bautista AgutBautista Agut – Albert Ramos-VinolasRamos-Vinolas (4-5) – H2H and prediction
- Radu AlbotAlbot – Thiago Moura MonteiroMoura Monteiro (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Facundo BagnisBagnis – Giulio ZeppieriZeppieri (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yannick HanfmannHanfmann – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aslan KaratsevKaratsev – Fabian MarozsanMarozsan (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Federico CoriaCoria – Mikhail KukushkinKukushkin (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano – Richard GasquetGasquet (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Dominic ThiemThiem (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Pedro CachinCachin – Sebastian OfnerOfner (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Yoshihito NishiokaNishioka – Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Botic Van De ZandschulpVan De Zandschulp – Christopher EubanksEubanks (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Christopher O ConnellO Connell – (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Quentin HalysHalys – Pablo Llamas RuizLlamas Ruiz (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Zhizhen ZhangZhang – Miomir KecmanovicKecmanovic (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Arthur RinderknechRinderknech – Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Max PurcellPurcell – Marcos GironGiron (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Aleksandar VukicVukic – Taro DanielDaniel (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Roman SafiullinSafiullin – Thiago Seyboth WildSeyboth Wild (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Daniel AltmaierAltmaier – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alejandro TabiloTabilo – Flavio CobolliCobolli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Andrea VavassoriVavassori – Francisco ComesanaComesana (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jaume Antoni Munar ClarAntoni Munar Clar – Nuno BorgesBorges (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Benjamin HassanHassan – Emilio NavaNava (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Dominik KoepferKoepfer – Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes Baena (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Corentin MoutetMoutet – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Aleksandar KovacevicKovacevic – Valentin VacherotVacherot (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Hugo GastonGaston – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Duje AjdukovicAjdukovic – Pierre-Hugues HerbertHerbert (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Thiago Agustin TiranteAgustin Tirante – Lukas KleinKlein (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Brandon NakashimaNakashima – Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas MachacMachac – Emil RuusuvuoriRuusuvuori (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Facundo Diaz AcostaDiaz Acosta – Denis ShapovalovShapovalov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Mariano NavoneNavone – Alexei PopyrinPopyrin (0-0) – H2H and prediction