Elena Rybakina and Marta Kostyuk will clash against each other in the final of the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix for the 3^rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 1:00 pm on Centre Court. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.32
Marta Kostyuk -> 3.4

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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Marta Kostyuk

This will be the 3^rd time that Elena Rybakina and Marta Kostyuk clash against each other. The head to head is 1-1 for Rybakina and Kostyuk (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they played each other, Rybakina won 6-2 6-1

in the 1^st round in at the U.S. Open back in 2023.

Highlights Elena Rybakina vs Marta Kostyuk – U.S. Open 28-August-2023

Elena Rybakina

Ranked no. 4, the Kazakhstani got to the final after defeating Veronika Kudermetova 7-6³ 1-6 6-4, Jasmine Paolini 6-3 5-7 6-3 and Iga Swiatek 6-3 4-6 6-3.

In the semifinal, Elena defeated Swiatek (6-3 4-6 6-3). During the match, Rybakina scored 108 points vs Swiatek’s 103. Elena was extremely aggressive to blast 44 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rybakina managed to score 10 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Elena Rybakina lost the serve twice and she saved 11 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 60% of her first serves in, winning 70% (44/63) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (19/42) on the 2nd serve. Rybakina broke Swiatek 4 times after converting 20% of her break points (4/20).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Kazakhstani has surrendered 3 set in this tournament to conquer 51% of the points she played.

Rybakina has an impressive match record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (314-136). 3-0 on clay in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this competition, Rybakina has a composed 78-34 record in the last years on clay.

Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Brisbane where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-0 6-3 and in Abu Dhabi where she overcame Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-1 6-4.

Rybakina has an aggregate 25-4 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Stuttgart

Marta Kostyuk

Ranked no. 27, the Ukrainian got to the final after beating Laura Siegemund 6-3 6-7⁴ 6-4, Qinwen Zheng 6-2 4-6 7-5, Cori Gauff 3-6 6-4 7-6⁶ and Marketa Vondrousova 7-6² 6-2.

In the semifinal, Kostyuk had a good straight sets win against Vondrousova (7-6² 6-2). During the match Kostyuk scored 77 points vs Vondrousova’s 66. Kostyuk was pretty aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Talking about serving, Kostyuk wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and she committed only 6 double faults. Marta Kostyuk lost the serve twice and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Kostyuk put 66% of her first serves in, winning 71% (35/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (11/25) on the 2nd serve. Marta broke Vondrousova 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Ukrainian has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 51% of the points she played.

Kostyuk’s best result of the year was getting to the final in San Diego.

Marta has a compiled 19-6 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Stuttgart

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2^nd round in 2018. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rybakina	Kostyuk
Match played	3	4
Tot Set	9	11
Tot Games	88	115
Pts	298-290	426-406
Total Points	588	832
Winners	119	166
%Winners	40%	39%

Rybakina played 3 matches while Kostyuk competed in 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Elena Rybakina surrendered 3 sets, while Marta Kostyuk dropped 3 sets. Rybakina has played 2 set(s) less than Kostyuk (9 vs 11). Therefore, Rybakina played 27 games less than Kostyuk. The Kazakhstani scored 119 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, Kostyuk recorded 166 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rybakina	Kostyuk
Aces	26	4
Avg per match	8.7	1
1st in	178/288	262/421
%1st in	62%	62%
1st pts	119/178	166/262
%1st pts	67%	63%
2nd pts	51/110	65/159
%2nd pts	46%	41%

Rybakina recorded 26 aces (8.7 per match). Kostyuk made 4 aces (1 per match). Rybakina won 67% points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Kostyuk won 63% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 41% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rybakina	Kostyuk
Won	14	25
Converted	14/44	25/60
% Converted	32%	42%
Conceded	31	47
Saved	20	28
% Saved	65%	60%
Times Broken	11	19

Elena broke her opponents 14 times with a 32% conversion rate. Rybakina dropped her serve 11 times and she saved 65% of the break points that she conceded. Marta broke her opponents 25 times with a 42% conversion rate. Marta conceded her serve 19 times and she saved 60% of the break points that she conceded.

Rybakina
	R2 Kudermetova	1/4 Paolini	1/2 Swiatek	Total
Score	7-63 1-6 6-4	6-3 5-7 6-3	6-3 4-6 6-3
Tot Set	3	3	3	9
Tot Games	30	30	28	88
pts	94-100	96-87	108-103	298-290
Total points	194	183	211	588
Winners	42	33	44	119
%Winners	45%	34%	41%	40%
SERVE
Aces	9	7	10	26
Double Faults	3	2	5	10
1st in	64/101	51/82	63/105	178/288
% 1st in	63%	62%	60%	62%
1st pts	42/64	33/51	44/63	119/178
% 1st pts	66%	65%	70%	67%
2nd pts	14/37	18/31	19/42	51/110
% 2nd pts	38%	58%	45%	46%
Breaks
Won	4	6	4	14
Converted	4/9	6/15	4/20	14/44
Converted %	44%	40%	20%	32%
Conceded	11	7	13	31
Saved	6/11	3/7	11/13	20
Saved %	55%	43%	85%	61%
Times Broken	5	4	2	11

Kostyuk
	R1 Siegemund	R2 Zheng	1/4 Gauff	1/2 Vondrousova	Total
Score	6-3 6-74 6-4	6-2 4-6 7-5	3-6 6-4 7-66	7-62 6-2
Tot Set	3	3	3	2	11
Tot Games	32	30	32	21	115
pts	124-120	109-103	116-117	77-66	426-406
Total points	244	212	233	143	832
Winners	53	45	33	35	166
%Winners	43%	41%	28%	45%	39%
SERVE
Aces	0	3	1	0	4
Double Faults	15	8	10	6	39
1st in	87/138	63/100	63/109	49/74	262/421
% 1st in	63%	63%	58%	66%	62%
1st pts	53/87	45/63	33/63	35/49	166/262
% 1st pts	61%	71%	52%	71%	63%
2nd pts	15/51	17/37	22/46	11/25	65/159
% 2nd pts	29%	46%	48%	44%	41%
Breaks
Won	9	4	8	4	25
Converted	9/18	4/14	8/21	4/7	25/60
Converted %	50%	29%	38%	57%	42%
Conceded	20	6	15	6	47
Saved	13/20	4/6	7/15	4/6	28
Saved %	65%	67%	47%	67%	82%
Times Broken	7	2	8	2	19

Tennis Scores in Stuttgart

• Pedro SousaSousa – Jan-Lennard StruffStruff (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Elena RybakinaRybakina – Marta KostyukKostyuk (1-1) – H2H and prediction