Hernan Casanova and Valerio Aboian will play each other in the semifinal of the San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 1:30 pm on CANCHA 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Hernan Casanova who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Hernan Casanova is the pick to win this match.
Hernan Casanova -> 1.63
Valerio Aboian -> 2.16
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Prediction and head to head Hernan Casanova vs. Valerio Aboian
This will be the 3rd time that Hernan Casanova and Valerio Aboian clash against each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Casanova (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on clay.
The last time that they fought against each other, Casanova won 6-1 7-5 in the qualifications in the Tigre Challenger back in January 2024.
Hernan Casanova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-18 | 0-0 | 25-17 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-27 | 0-2 | 29-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 43-22 | 0-0 | 43-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-32 | 3-3 | 42-28 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 384, Hernan reached the semifinal after beating Igor Gimenez 3-6 6-4 6-2, Felix Corwin 6-3 6-78 6-1 and Ergi Kirkin 6-2 6-2.
In the quarter, Casanova had a good straight sets win against Kirkin (6-2 6-2). During the match, Casanova scored 61 points vs Kirkin’s 44. Casanova was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Casanova was unable to score even 1 ace and he was very steady in conceding no double faults. Hernan Casanova lost the serve once and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Casanova put 90% of his first serves in, winning 61% (28/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 80% (4/5) on the 2nd serve. Hernan broke Kirkin 5 times after converting 56% of his break points (5/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine has dropped 2 set in this event to conquer 56% of the points he played.
Casanova has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 64% of his matches (335-190). 17-11 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this event, Casanova has a composed332-183 win-loss record in the last 9 years on clay.
Hernan’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in M25 Punta del Este and M25 Badalona.
Casanova has a compiled 17-11 win-loss record in 2024, 17-11 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the San Miguel de Tucuman Challenger
Hernan has never competed in this tournament before.
Valerio Aboian
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 20-18 | 0-0 | 20-18 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 54-33 | 0-0 | 54-33 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 48-22 | 0-0 | 48-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 42-19 | 0-0 | 42-19 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 431, Aboian got to the semifinal after beating Pedro Boscardin Dias 6-3 6-3, Guido Ivan Justo 6-4 7-5 and Renzo Olivo 5-7 6-3 6-4.
In the quarter against Olivo, Valerio recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-3 6-4). During the match Aboian scored 106 points vs Olivo’s 93. Aboian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 41 winners.
About the serving games, Aboian scored 2 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Valerio Aboian lost the serve 8 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Aboian put 69% of his first serves in, winning 57% (41/72) of the points behind his 1st serve and 36% (12/33) on the 2nd serve. The Argentine broke Olivo 10 times after converting 77% of his break points (10/13).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
Valerio has a compiled 17-9 win-loss record in 2024, 17-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Casanova | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 72 | 71 |
| Pts | 256-200 | 249-211 |
| Total Points | 456 | 460 |
| Winners | 125 | 95 |
| %Winners | 49% | 38% |
Both Casanova and Aboian played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Hernan Casanova dropped 2 sets, while Valerio Aboian surrendered 1 set. Casanova has played 1 set more than Aboian (8 vs 7). Therefore, Casanova played 1 game more than Aboian. The Argentine scored 125 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Aboian fired 95 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Casanova | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 9 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 3 |
| 1st in | 187/227 | 148/230 |
| %1st in | 82% | 64% |
| 1st pts | 125/187 | 95/148 |
| %1st pts | 67% | 64% |
| 2nd pts | 27/40 | 39/82 |
| %2nd pts | 68% | 48% |
Casanova recorded 3 aces (1 per match). Aboian fired 9 aces (3 per match). Casanova won 67% points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 68% of the points. On the other side, Aboian won 64% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Casanova | Aboian |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 18 |
| Converted | 13/27 | 18/33 |
| % Converted | 48% | 55% |
| Conceded | 21 | 22 |
| Saved | 16 | 11 |
| % Saved | 76% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 11 |
The Argentine broke his opponents 13 times with a 48% conversion rate. Casanova dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 76% of the break points that he conceded. Valerio broke his opponents 18 times with a 55% conversion rate. Aboian conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Casanova | |||||
| R1 Gimenez |
R2 Corwin |
1/4 Kirkin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-4 6-2 | 6-3 6-78 6-1 | 6-2 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 29 | 16 | 72 | |
| pts | 87-73 | 108-83 | 61-44 | 256-200 | |
| Total points | 160 | 191 | 105 | 456 | |
| Winners | 40 | 57 | 28 | 125 | |
| %Winners | 46% | 53% | 46% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 2 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 59/76 | 82/100 | 46/51 | 187/227 | |
| % 1st in | 78% | 82% | 90% | 82% | |
| 1st pts | 40/59 | 57/82 | 28/46 | 125/187 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 70% | 61% | 67% | |
| 2nd pts | 13/17 | 10/18 | 4/5 | 27/40 | |
| % 2nd pts | 76% | 56% | 80% | 68% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 5 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 5/10 | 5/9 | 13/27 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 50% | 56% | 48% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 8 | 4 | 21 | |
| Saved | 7/9 | 6/8 | 3/4 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 78% | 75% | 75% | 76% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | 1 | 5 | |
| Aboian | |||||
| R1 Boscardin |
R2 Ivan |
1/4 Olivo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-3 | 6-4 7-5 | 5-7 6-3 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 22 | 31 | 71 | |
| pts | 75-57 | 68-61 | 106-93 | 249-211 | |
| Total points | 132 | 129 | 199 | 460 | |
| Winners | 23 | 31 | 41 | 95 | |
| %Winners | 31% | 46% | 39% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 4 | 3 | 2 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 4 | 6 | |
| 1st in | 32/59 | 44/66 | 72/105 | 148/230 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 67% | 69% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 23/32 | 31/44 | 41/72 | 95/148 | |
| % 1st pts | 72% | 70% | 57% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/27 | 11/22 | 12/33 | 39/82 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 50% | 36% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 10 | 18 | |
| Converted | 4/14 | 4/6 | 10/13 | 18/33 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 67% | 77% | 55% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 | 17 | 22 | |
| Saved | 1/2 | 1/3 | 9/17 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 33% | 53% | 45% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 2 | 8 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
LLWLWWWLLW
LWWLLLLLLL Tennis Scores in San Miguel De Tucuman Challenger
- Hernan CasanovaCasanova – Ergi KirkinKirkin (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Andrea CollariniCollarini – Gonzalo VillanuevaVillanueva (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Lautaro MidonMidon – Franco RoncadelliRoncadelli (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Valerio AboianAboian – Renzo OlivoOlivo (5-7 6-3 6-4) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Hernan CasanovaCasanova – (2-0) – H2H and prediction
