Aryna Sabalenka and Marketa Vondrousova will square off in the quarter of the Porsche Tennis Grand Prix for the 7th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Friday at 2:30 pm on Centre Court. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.42
Marketa Vondrousova -> 2.875
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Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Marketa Vondrousova
This will be the 7th time that Aryna Sabalenka and Marketa Vondrousova play each other. The head to head is 4-2 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), but they have never competed against each other on clay.
The last time that they played, Sabalenka won 6-3 7-5 in the quarter in Adelaide back in 2023.
Highlights Aryna Sabalenka vs Marketa Vondrousova – Adelaide 06-January-2023
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 63-12 | 35-6 | 17-3 | 4-1 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 56-14 | 38-7 | 15-4 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Sabalenka reached the quarter after defeating Paula Badosa Gibert 7-64 4-6 3-3 ret..
In the 2nd round against Badosa, Aryna had a free pass after Badosa retired on a 7-64 4-6 3-3 . scoreline.
Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 68% of her matches (333-158). 1-0 on clay in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has an overall63-35 record in the last 9 years on clay.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title at the Australian Open where she overcame Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2.
Sabalenka has a composed 15-4 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stuttgart
Marketa Vondrousova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 18-10 | 10-8 | 2-1 | 0-0 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 16-11 | 5-4 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-18 | 19-12 | 9-3 | 4-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-7 | 11-3 | 2-1 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 34-19 | 21-10 | 4-4 | 8-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 8, Marketa reached the quarter after beating Donna Vekic 6-4 6-3 and Anastasia Potapova 7-65 6-1.
In the 2nd round, Marketa had a good straight sets win against Potapova (7-65 6-1). During the match Vondrousova scored 73 points vs Potapova’s 50. Vondrousova was very aggressive to blast 36 winners.
About the serving games, Vondrousova bagged 4 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Marketa Vondrousova lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Vondrousova put 68% of her first serves in, winning 78% (36/46) of the points behind her 1st serve and 45% (10/22) on the 2nd serve. The Czech broke Potapova 3 times after converting 75% of her break points (3/4).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Marketa hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Vondrousova has an overall 7-4 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Stuttgart
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2018 and 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Vondrousova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 29 | 39 |
| Pts | 100-96 | 139-102 |
| Total Points | 196 | 241 |
| Winners | 49 | 62 |
| %Winners | 49% | 45% |
Sabalenka played 1 match while Vondrousova competed in 2 matches. At the moment, Aryna Sabalenka lost 1 set while Marketa Vondrousova hasn’t conceded a set so far. Talking about their workload, Sabalenka and Vondrousova have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Sabalenka played 10 games less than Vondrousova. Aryna scored 49 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Vondrousova managed to score 62 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Vondrousova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 4 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 4 |
| 1st in | 70/106 | 83/134 |
| %1st in | 66% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 49/70 | 62/83 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 75% |
| 2nd pts | 16/36 | 25/51 |
| %2nd pts | 44% | 49% |
Sabalenka managed to score 4 aces . Vondrousova blasted 8 aces (4 per match). Sabalenka won 70% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Vondrousova won 75% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 49% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Vondrousova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 7 |
| Converted | 3/9 | 7/12 |
| % Converted | 33% | 58% |
| Conceded | 11 | 6 |
| Saved | 7 | 3 |
| % Saved | 64% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 3 |
Sabalenka broke her opponent 3 times with a 33% conversion rate. Sabalenka surrendered her serve 4 times and she saved 64% of the break points that she conceded. Vondrousova broke her opponents 7 times with a 58% conversion rate. The Czech conceded her serve 3 times and she saved 50% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||
| R2 Badosa | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 4-6 3-3 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 29 | 29 | |
| pts | 100-96 | 100-96 | |
| Total points | 196 | 196 | |
| Winners | 49 | 49 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 70/106 | 70/106 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 49/70 | 49/70 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/36 | 16/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 44% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/9 | 3/9 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 11 | |
| Saved | 7/11 | 7 | |
| Saved % | 64% | 64% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 4 | |
| Vondrousova | ||||
| R1 Vekic | R2 Potapova | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | 7-65 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 20 | 39 | |
| pts | 66-52 | 73-50 | 139-102 | |
| Total points | 118 | 123 | 241 | |
| Winners | 26 | 36 | 62 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 49% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 3 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 37/66 | 46/68 | 83/134 | |
| % 1st in | 56% | 68% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 26/37 | 36/46 | 62/83 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 78% | 75% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/29 | 10/22 | 25/51 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 45% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
| Converted | 4/8 | 3/4 | 7/12 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 75% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | 6 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 2/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 67% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
Tennis Scores in Stuttgart
- Jan-Lennard StruffStruff – Carlos BerlocqBerlocq (4-6 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Pedro SousaSousa – Jiri VeselyVesely (5-7 5-2 ret.) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Martin KlizanKlizan – Mikael YmerYmer (6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Kevin KrawietzKrawietz – Gianluca MagerMager (5-7 6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Emma RaducanuRaducanu (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Marta KostyukKostyuk – Cori GauffGauff (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Marketa VondrousovaVondrousova – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (2-4) – H2H and prediction