Fabio Fognini and Stefano Napolitano will fight against each other in the 2nd round of the Oeiras 3 Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Thursday at 4:00 pm on CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Stefano Napolitano who should win in 3 sets.
Stefano Napolitano -> 0
Fabio Fognini -> 0
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Prediction and head to head Fabio Fognini vs. Stefano Napolitano
This will be the 2nd time that Fabio Fognini and Stefano Napolitano play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Napolitano (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Napolitano won 7-5 3-0 ret. in the 2nd round in the Como Challenger back in 2023.
Fabio Fognini
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 4-15 | 1-3 | 3-8 | 0-0 | 0-4 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 35-28 | 7-10 | 23-12 | 2-4 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-23 | 0-8 | 23-12 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 24-26 | 10-9 | 12-12 | 2-4 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 22-24 | 12-12 | 7-8 | 0-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 95, Fognini got to the 2nd round after defeating Joris De Loore 4-6 6-4 6-4.
In the 1st round against De Loore, Fabio recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-4 6-4). During the match, Fognini scored 88 points vs De Loore’s 86. Fabio was quite aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Regarding the service games, Fognini made 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Fabio Fognini lost the serve twice and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Fognini put 68% of his first serves in, winning 68% (41/60) of the points behind his 1st serve and 64% (18/28) on the 2nd serve. Fognini broke De Loore 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Fognini has positive win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (260-208). 6-2 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Fognini has an aggregate 133-90 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Fabio has an aggregate 10-7 win-loss record in 2024, 6-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Oeiras 3 Challenger
The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.
Stefano Napolitano
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 19-19 | 2-5 | 12-10 | 5-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 25-17 | 10-4 | 11-10 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 53-23 | 9-6 | 38-13 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-24 | 1-1 | 20-15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 2-17 | 1-2 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 125 (career-high), Stefano reached the 2nd round after beating Jozef Kovalik 7-61 6-2.
In the 1st round, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Kovalik (7-61 6-2). During the match Napolitano scored 86 points vs Kovalik’s 67. Stefano was quite aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about serving, Napolitano fired 7 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Stefano Napolitano lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Napolitano put 61% of his first serves in, winning 74% (35/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 37% (11/30) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Kovalik 5 times after converting 45% of his break points (5/11).
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Bengaluru Challenger where he beat Seong Chan Hong in the final 4-6 6-3 6-3 and the Madrid Challenger where he defeated Leandro Riedi in the final 6-3 6-3.
The Italian has an overall 16-5 win-loss record in 2024, 7-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Fognini | Napolitano |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 21 |
| Pts | 88-86 | 86-67 |
| Total Points | 174 | 153 |
| Winners | 41 | 35 |
| %Winners | 47% | 41% |
Both Fognini and Napolitano played 1 match. At the moment, Fabio Fognini lost 1 set while Stefano Napolitano hasn’t conceded a set so far. Fognini has played 1 set more than Napolitano (3 vs 2). Therefore, Fognini played 9 games more than Napolitano. Fabio scored 41 winners (47% of the total points). On the other side, Napolitano recorded 35 winners (41%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Fognini | Napolitano |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 7 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 7 |
| 1st in | 60/88 | 47/77 |
| %1st in | 68% | 61% |
| 1st pts | 41/60 | 35/47 |
| %1st pts | 68% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 18/28 | 11/30 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 37% |
Fognini scored 2 aces . Napolitano fired 7 aces . Fognini won 68% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Napolitano won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 37% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Fognini | Napolitano |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 5 |
| Converted | 3/8 | 5/11 |
| % Converted | 38% | 45% |
| Conceded | 6 | 7 |
| Saved | 4 | 4 |
| % Saved | 67% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 |
The Italian broke his opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Italian surrendered his serve twice and he saved 67% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponent 5 times with a 45% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.
| Fognini | |||
| R1 De Loore | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 4-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 88-86 | 88-86 | |
| Total points | 174 | 174 | |
| Winners | 41 | 41 | |
| %Winners | 47% | 47% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 60/88 | 60/88 | |
| % 1st in | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 41/60 | 41/60 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 18/28 | 18/28 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
| Saved | 4/6 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 67% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Napolitano | |||
| R1 Kovalik | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-61 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 21 | |
| pts | 86-67 | 86-67 | |
| Total points | 153 | 153 | |
| Winners | 35 | 35 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 7 | 7 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 47/77 | 47/77 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 35/47 | 35/47 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/30 | 11/30 | |
| % 2nd pts | 37% | 37% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/11 | 5/11 | |
| Converted % | 45% | 45% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Tennis Scores in Oeiras 3 Challenger
- Valentin RoyerRoyer – Jesper De JongDe Jong (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Dennis NovakNovak – Franco AgamenoneAgamenone (6-3 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Jaime FariaFaria – Chun Hsin TsengHsin Tseng (6-2 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Vilius GaubasGaubas – Terence AtmaneAtmane (6-1 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Fabio FogniniFognini – Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Elias YmerYmer – Francisco ComesanaComesana (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Ugo BlanchetBlanchet – Emilio NavaNava (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Valentin RoyerRoyer – Dennis NovakNovak (0-1) – H2H and prediction