Casper Ruud and Stefanos Tsitsipas will fight against each other in the final of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on COURT RAINIER III. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Stefanos Tsitsipas who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Stefanos Tsitsipas is the pick to win this match.
Stefanos Tsitsipas -> 1.92
Casper Ruud -> 1.92

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Prediction and head to head Casper Ruud vs. Stefanos Tsitsipas

This will be the 5th time that Casper Ruud and Stefanos Tsitsipas clash against each other. The head to head is 2-2 for Ruud and Tsitsipas (see full H2H stats),but they are 1-1 on clay.

The last time that they squared off, Ruud won 6-4 7-6(4) in the semifinal in Los cabos back in February 2024.

Highlights Casper Ruud vs Stefanos Tsitsipas – Los cabos 23-February-2024

Casper Ruud

Casper Ruud

24 - 7win/loss

Hard
17-5
I Hard
1-0
Clay
6-2
Rank
6
High
2
LWLWLLLLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 51-25 21-9 24-7 5-8 1-1 0-0
2023 37-23 12-12 22-8 2-2 1-1 0-0
2022 51-22 18-8 25-7 7-5 1-2 0-0
2021 57-17 16-6 28-5 11-4 2-2 0-0
2020 22-13 4-5 17-6 1-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 10, Casper got to the final after defeating Alejandro Tabilo 6-2 6-4, Hubert Hurkacz 6-4 6-2, Ugo Humbert 6-3 4-6 6-1 and Novak Djokovic 6-4 1-6 6-4.

In the semifinal, Ruud defeated Djokovic (6-4 1-6 6-4).During the match, Ruud scored less points (11) than Djokovic. In fact, the world no. 10 won 73 points vs Djokovic’s. That means that Ruud was more focused during the important points. Casper was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Regarding the service games, Ruud struck 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Casper Ruud lost the serve 4 times and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Ruud put 56% of his first serves in, winning 64% (28/44) of the points behind his 1st serve and 47% (16/34) on the 2nd serve. The Norwegian broke Djokovic 4 times after converting 57% of his break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Ruud has conceded 2 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Ruud has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 65% of his matches (377-199). 6-1 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Ruud has an aggregate 218-96 record in the last years on clay.

Casper’s best result of the season was getting to the final in Los Cabos and Acapulco.

Ruud has a composed 24-6 win-loss record in 2024, 6-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Ruud's Record

Stefanos Tsitsipas

Stefanos Tsitsipas

17 - 6win/loss

Hard
10-6
I Hard
1-0
Clay
6-0
Rank
11
High
3
LWWWLWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 45-22 13-11 22-6 8-3 2-2 0-0
2023 51-24 19-9 17-5 11-6 4-4 0-0
2022 61-24 18-8 17-4 18-9 8-3 0-0
2021 55-19 26-8 23-5 6-5 0-1 0-0
2020 29-14 11-6 11-3 7-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 12, Tsitsipas reached the final after beating Laslo Djere 6-3 3-2 ret., Tomas Martin Etcheverry 6-1 6-0, Alexander Zverev 7-5 7-63, Karen Khachanov 6-4 6-2 and Jannik Sinner 6-4 3-6 6-4.

In the semifinal, Stefanos defeated Sinner (6-4 3-6 6-4). During the match Tsitsipas scored 94 points vs Sinner’s 92. The Greek was pretty aggressive to blast 35 winners.

About the serving games, Tsitsipas blasted 7 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Stefanos Tsitsipas lost the serve twice and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Tsitsipas put 60% of his first serves in, winning 70% (35/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 62% (21/34) on the 2nd serve. Tsitsipas broke Sinner 3 times after converting 20% of his break points (3/15).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Greek has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

The Greek’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Los Cabos and Carlo.

Stefanos has a compiled 16-6 win-loss record in 2024, 5-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters

Previously, he won this tournament twice in 2021 and 2022. See his history.

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Tsitsipas's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Ruud
S.Tsitsipas
6h:56
6h:56
Time on court​
8h:13
8h:13
!
2h:17
2h:17
Last match​
!
2h:40
2h:40
4
4
Match played
!
5
5
89
89
Games Played​
99
99
10
10
Set played​​
12
12
295
295
Total points​
342
342
73.8
73.8
Avg point​
68.4
68.4
113
113
Winners
134
134
28.3
28.3
Avg Winners​
26.8
26.8
38%
38%
Ratio winners
39%
39%
-- Serve --
17
17
Aces
21
21
4.3
4.3
Avg Aces
4.2
4.2
10
10
Double Faults
16
16
2.5
2.5
Avg Double Faults
3.2
3.2
113/155
113/155
1st won total​
134/183
134/183
!
73%
73%
1st won %
!
73%
73%
59/103
59/103
2nd won total​
74/132
74/132
57%
57%
2nd won %
56%
56%
-- Break Points --
16/35
16/35
BP won
19/45
19/45
4/8.8
4/8.8
Avg BP won
3.8/9
3.8/9
46%
46%
Won
42%
42%
15
15
Conceded
24
24
3.8
3.8
Avg Conceded
4.8
4.8
7
7
Broken
7
7
1.8
1.8
Avg Broken
1.4
1.4
8
8
Saved
17
17

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Ruud Tsitsipas
Match played 4 5
Tot Set 10 12
Tot Games 89 99
Pts 295-247 342-284
Total Points 542 626
Winners 113 134
%Winners 38% 39%

Ruud played 4 matches while Tsitsipas competed in 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Casper Ruud dropped 2 sets, while Stefanos Tsitsipas surrendered 1 set. Ruud has played 2 set(s) less than Tsitsipas (10 vs 12). Therefore, Ruud played 10 games less than Tsitsipas. Casper scored 113 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Greek recorded 134 winners (39%).

Serve Performance

Serve Ruud Tsitsipas
Aces 17 21
Avg per match 4.3 4.2
1st in 155/258 183/315
%1st in 60% 58%
1st pts 113/155 134/183
%1st pts 73% 73%
2nd pts 59/103 74/132
%2nd pts 57% 56%

Ruud managed to score 17 aces (4.3 per match). Tsitsipas recorded 21 aces (4.2 per match). Ruud won 73% points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 57% of the points. On the other side, Tsitsipas won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Ruud Tsitsipas
Won 16 19
Converted 16/35 19/45
% Converted 46% 42%
Conceded 15 24
Saved 8 17
% Saved 53% 71%
Times Broken 7 7

Casper broke his opponents 16 times with a 46% conversion rate. Casper lost his serve 7 times and he saved 53% of the break points that he conceded. Stefanos broke his opponents 19 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Greek conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.

Ruud
R2
Tabilo
R3
Hurkacz
1/4
Humbert
1/2
Djokovic
Total
Score 6-2 6-4 6-4 6-2 6-3 4-6 6-1 6-4 1-6 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 3 3 10
Tot Games 18 18 26 27 89
pts 71-45 65-47 86-71 73-84 295-247
Total points 116 112 157 157 542
Winners 29 23 33 28 113
%Winners 41% 35% 38% 38% 38%
SERVE
Aces 7 2 4 4 17
Double Faults 2 0 4 4 10
1st in 36/53 30/49 45/78 44/78 155/258
% 1st in 68% 61% 58% 56% 60%
1st pts 29/36 23/30 33/45 28/44 113/155
% 1st pts 81% 77% 73% 64% 73%
2nd pts 10/17 15/19 18/33 16/34 59/103
% 2nd pts 59% 79% 55% 47% 57%
Breaks
Won 4 3 5 4 16
Converted 4/10 3/10 5/8 4/7 16/35
Converted % 40% 30% 63% 57% 46%
Conceded 3 0 7 5 15
Saved 2/3 0/0 5/7 1/5 8
Saved % 67% 71% 20% 40%
Times Broken 1 0 2 4 7
Tsitsipas
R1
Djere
R2
Etcheverry
R3
Zverev
1/4
Khachanov
1/2
Sinner
Total
Score 6-3 3-2 ret. 6-1 6-0 7-5 7-63 6-4 6-2 6-4 3-6 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 3 11
Tot Games 14 13 25 18 29 99
pts 50-41 56-30 84-78 58-43 94-92 342-284
Total points 91 86 162 101 186 626
Winners 19 14 39 27 35 134
%Winners 38% 25% 46% 47% 37% 39%
SERVE
Aces 3 2 2 7 7 21
Double Faults 2 1 7 3 3 16
1st in 26/50 27/46 48/83 32/52 50/84 183/315
% 1st in 52% 59% 58% 62% 60% 58%
1st pts 19/26 14/27 39/48 27/32 35/50 134/183
% 1st pts 73% 52% 81% 84% 70% 73%
2nd pts 14/24 15/19 15/35 9/20 21/34 74/132
% 2nd pts 58% 79% 43% 45% 62% 56%
Breaks
Won 3 6 3 4 3 19
Converted 3/4 6/10 3/8 4/8 3/15 19/45
Converted % 75% 60% 38% 50% 20% 42%
Conceded 3 3 10 3 5 24
Saved 2/3 2/3 8/10 2/3 3/5 17
Saved % 67% 67% 80% 67% 60% 85%
Times Broken 1 1 2 1 2 7

Upcoming matches in the draw