Andrea Pellegrino and Francesco Passaro will fight against each other in the qualifications of the BMW Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 11:00 am on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Francesco Passaro who should win in 3 sets.
Francesco Passaro -> 1.76
Andrea Pellegrino -> 1.99
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Prediction and head to head Andrea Pellegrino vs. Francesco Passaro
This will be the 4th time that Andrea Pellegrino and Francesco Passaro square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Pellegrino (see full H2H stats), 2-1 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Pellegrino won 2-6 6-2 6-2 in the 2nd round in the Bad Waltersdorf Challenger back in 2023.
Andrea Pellegrino
5 - 7win/loss
161
136
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 11-13 | 0-1 | 11-12 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-29 | 2-2 | 28-26 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-28 | 0-3 | 27-20 | 2-4 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-29 | 2-3 | 22-23 | 0-2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-14 | 0-1 | 14-6 | 3-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 163, Andrea got to the qualifications after beating Michael Geerts 7-64 6-4.
In the qualifications, Pellegrino had a good straight sets win against Geerts (7-64 6-4). During the match, Pellegrino scored 78 points vs Geerts’s 64. The Italian was exceptionally aggressive to blast 38 winners.
Regarding the service games, Pellegrino blasted 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Andrea Pellegrino lost the serve twice and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Pellegrino put 72% of his first serves in, winning 81% (38/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 39% (7/18) on the 2nd serve. Andrea broke Geerts 3 times after converting 30% of his break points (3/10).
Pellegrino has favorable match record in the last 10 years having won 52% of his matches (250-227). 5-6 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Pellegrino has an overall 208-164 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
The Italian has a compiled 5-7 win-loss record in 2024, 5-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Munich
The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.
Francesco Passaro
10 - 10win/loss
133
108
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-16 | 3-3 | 23-13 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-35 | 8-11 | 18-20 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-28 | 12-6 | 35-18 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-27 | 4-5 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 219, the Italian reached the qualifications after beating Yannik Kelm 6-3 6-2.
In the qualifications, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Kelm (6-3 6-2). During the match Passaro scored 58 points vs Kelm’s 43. Francesco was extremely aggressive to blast 30 winners.
About the serving games, Passaro couldn’t to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Francesco Passaro conceded no breaks for the entire match to save 2 break points. Furthermore, Passaro put 77% of his first serves in, winning 70% (30/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 69% (9/13) on the 2nd serve. Francesco broke Kelm 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
The Italian’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in the Naples Challenger.
Francesco has a composed 10-10 win-loss record in 2024, 7-7 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pellegrino | Passaro |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 23 | 17 |
| Pts | 78-64 | 58-43 |
| Total Points | 142 | 101 |
| Winners | 38 | 30 |
| %Winners | 49% | 52% |
Both Pellegrino and Passaro played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Pellegrino and Passaro have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Pellegrino played 6 games more than Passaro. Pellegrino scored 38 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, The Italian fired 30 winners (52%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pellegrino | Passaro |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 0 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 0 |
| 1st in | 47/65 | 43/56 |
| %1st in | 72% | 77% |
| 1st pts | 38/47 | 30/43 |
| %1st pts | 81% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 7/18 | 9/13 |
| %2nd pts | 39% | 69% |
Pellegrino bagged 2 aces . Passaro didn’t manage to fire a single ace to far. Pellegrino won 81% points on his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 39% of the points. On the other side, Passaro won 70% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 69% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pellegrino | Passaro |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 3 |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/5 |
| % Converted | 30% | 60% |
| Conceded | 4 | 2 |
| Saved | 2 | 2 |
| % Saved | 50% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 |
Pellegrino broke his opponent 3 times with a 30% conversion rate. Pellegrino surrendered his serve twice and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. Passaro broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Passaro was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.
| Pellegrino | |||
| Q1 Geerts | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 23 | |
| pts | 78-64 | 78-64 | |
| Total points | 142 | 142 | |
| Winners | 38 | 38 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 49% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 47/65 | 47/65 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 38/47 | 38/47 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 81% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/18 | 7/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 39% | 39% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/10 | 3/10 | |
| Converted % | 30% | 30% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/4 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 50% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Passaro | |||
| Q1 Kelm | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 58-43 | 58-43 | |
| Total points | 101 | 101 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 52% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 0 | 0 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 43/56 | 43/56 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | 77% | |
| 1st pts | 30/43 | 30/43 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/13 | 9/13 | |
| % 2nd pts | 69% | 69% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Upcoming matches in the draw
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- Nerman FaticFatic – Alejandro Moro CanasMoro Canas (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Christian GarinGarin – Dominik KoepferKoepfer (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jan ChoinskiChoinski – Marc-Andrea HueslerHuesler (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Andrea PellegrinoPellegrino – Francesco PassaroPassaro (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Felix Auger AliassimeAuger Aliassime – Maximilian MartererMarterer (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Daniel Elahi GalanElahi Galan (1-3) – H2H and prediction
- Vit KoprivaKopriva – Jack DraperDraper (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Jurij RodionovRodionov – Aleksandar VukicVukic (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Henri SquireSquire – Ivan GakhovGakhov (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Alexander ShevchenkoShevchenko – Yannick HanfmannHanfmann (0-1) – H2H and prediction