Stefano Napolitano and Leandro Riedi will fight against each other in the final of the Madrid Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Sunday at 11:00 am on PISTA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Leandro Riedi who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Leandro Riedi is the pick to win this match.
Leandro Riedi -> 1.87
Stefano Napolitano -> 1.87
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Stefano Napolitano vs. Leandro Riedi
This will be the 2nd time that Stefano Napolitano and Leandro Riedi play each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Riedi (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they competed against each other, Riedi won 6-4 4-6 6-0 in the 1st round in Bresse back in 2021.
Stefano Napolitano
14 - 5win/loss
167
121
LLLLWLLWLW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 25-17 | 10-4 | 11-10 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 53-23 | 9-6 | 38-13 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 25-24 | 1-1 | 20-15 | 4-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 2-17 | 1-2 | 1-9 | 0-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 5-8 | 0-1 | 1-4 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 158, Napolitano reached the final after defeating Vilius Gaubas 6-3 6-2, Vit Kopriva 7-67 7-5, Marc-Andrea Huesler 6-2 7-65 and Mikhail Kukushkin 6-2 4-1 ret..
In the semifinal against Kukushkin, Stefano had a free pass after Kukushkin retired on a 6-2 4-1 . scoreline.
Napolitano has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 55% of his matches (268-218). 5-2 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Napolitano has a composed 135-104 record in the last years on clay.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title the Bengaluru Challenger where he overcame Seong Chan Hong in the final 4-6 6-3 6-3.
Stefano has a compiled 14-5 win-loss record in 2024, 5-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Madrid Challenger
The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.
Leandro Riedi
21 - 5win/loss
135
117
LWLLWLWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 32-15 | 2-4 | 6-4 | 17-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-22 | 14-9 | 3-4 | 1-7 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 49-17 | 18-6 | 5-5 | 21-6 | 0-0 | 5-0 |
| 2021 | 17-16 | 0-0 | 6-9 | 10-6 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
| 2020 | 9-8 | 0-1 | 3-2 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 1-1 |
Ranked no. 166, the Swiss got to the final after defeating Ignacio Buse 6-3 7-5, Vitaliy Sachko 6-3 6-2, Joao Fonseca 6-3 7-64 and Jurij Rodionov 4-6 6-3 7-63.
In the semifinal against Rodionov, Leandro recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (4-6 6-3 7-63). During the match Riedi scored 102 points vs Rodionov’s 93. Leandro was exceptionally aggressive to blast 49 winners.
About the serving games, Riedi blasted 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Leandro Riedi lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Riedi put 71% of his first serves in, winning 70% (49/70) of the points behind his 1st serve and 59% (17/29) on the 2nd serve. Riedi broke Rodionov 3 times after converting 38% of his break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Leandro has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the season was winning the title the Oeiras 2 Challenger where he overcame Martin Damm in the final 7-6(6) 6-2 and the Neuve Challenger where he overcame Borna Coric in the final 7-5 6-2.
Riedi has a composed 21-5 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Napolitano | Riedi |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 9 |
| Tot Games | 76 | 92 |
| Pts | 285-226 | 321-268 |
| Total Points | 511 | 589 |
| Winners | 110 | 151 |
| %Winners | 39% | 47% |
Both Napolitano and Riedi played 4 matches. At the moment, Leandro Riedi lost 1 set while Stefano Napolitano hasn’t conceded a set so far. Talking about their workload, Napolitano and Riedi have played the same amount of sets 9. However, Napolitano played 16 games less than Riedi. Stefano scored 110 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Swiss fired 151 winners (47%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Napolitano | Riedi |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 18 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 4.5 | 3 |
| 1st in | 154/232 | 197/299 |
| %1st in | 66% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 110/154 | 151/197 |
| %1st pts | 71% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 42/78 | 57/102 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 56% |
Napolitano scored 18 aces (4.5 per match). Riedi made 12 aces (3 per match). Napolitano won 71% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Riedi won 77% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Napolitano | Riedi |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 10 |
| Converted | 16/38 | 10/29 |
| % Converted | 42% | 34% |
| Conceded | 13 | 14 |
| Saved | 8 | 10 |
| % Saved | 62% | 71% |
| Times Broken | 5 | 4 |
The Italian broke his opponents 16 times with a 42% conversion rate. The Italian dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 62% of the break points that he conceded. Riedi broke his opponents 10 times with a 34% conversion rate. The Swiss conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 71% of the break points that he conceded.
| Napolitano | ||||||
| R1 Gaubas |
R2 Kopriva |
1/4 Huesler |
1/2 Kukushkin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-2 | 7-67 7-5 | 6-2 7-65 | 6-2 4-1 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 25 | 21 | 13 | 76 | |
| pts | 65-43 | 85-80 | 80-64 | 55-39 | 285-226 | |
| Total points | 108 | 165 | 144 | 94 | 511 | |
| Winners | 25 | 34 | 38 | 13 | 110 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 40% | 48% | 24% | 39% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 1 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 34/51 | 51/78 | 50/71 | 19/32 | 154/232 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 65% | 70% | 59% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 25/34 | 34/51 | 38/50 | 13/19 | 110/154 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 67% | 76% | 68% | 71% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/17 | 13/27 | 9/21 | 8/13 | 42/78 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 48% | 43% | 62% | 54% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 3 | 5 | 16 | |
| Converted | 4/7 | 4/8 | 3/11 | 5/12 | 16/38 | |
| Converted % | 57% | 50% | 27% | 42% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 5 | 7 | 1 | 13 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 2/5 | 6/7 | 0/1 | 8 | |
| Saved % | – | 40% | 86% | 0% | 32% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| Riedi | ||||||
| R1 Buse |
R2 Sachko |
1/4 Fonseca |
1/2 Rodionov |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 7-5 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 7-64 | 4-6 6-3 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 21 | 17 | 22 | 32 | 92 | |
| pts | 72-59 | 62-39 | 85-77 | 102-93 | 321-268 | |
| Total points | 131 | 101 | 162 | 195 | 589 | |
| Winners | 42 | 26 | 34 | 49 | 151 | |
| %Winners | 58% | 42% | 40% | 48% | 47% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 56/70 | 29/52 | 42/78 | 70/99 | 197/299 | |
| % 1st in | 80% | 56% | 54% | 71% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 42/56 | 26/29 | 34/42 | 49/70 | 151/197 | |
| % 1st pts | 75% | 90% | 81% | 70% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/14 | 14/23 | 18/36 | 17/29 | 57/102 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 61% | 50% | 59% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Converted | 2/7 | 3/6 | 2/8 | 3/8 | 10/29 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 50% | 25% | 38% | 34% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 0 | 7 | 6 | 14 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 0/0 | 6/7 | 3/6 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 86% | 50% | 59% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWLLWLW
LWLLWLWLWW 
