Thanasi Kokkinakis and Marc Polmans will face off in the semifinal of the Sarasota Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 1:30 pm on NICK BOLLETTIERI COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Thanasi Kokkinakis who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Thanasi Kokkinakis is the pick to win this match.
Thanasi Kokkinakis -> 1.33
Marc Polmans -> 3.08
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Prediction and head to head Thanasi Kokkinakis vs. Marc Polmans
This will be the 2nd time that Thanasi Kokkinakis and Marc Polmans square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Polmans (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.
The last time that they played, Polmans won 3-2 ret. in the semifinal in the Sydney Challenger back in 2023.
Thanasi Kokkinakis
12 - 10win/loss
78
65
LWWLWLWWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 29-20 | 14-12 | 11-6 | 2-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 40-26 | 31-18 | 8-5 | 1-1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 23-19 | 19-12 | 2-3 | 1-2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 33-21 | 15-11 | 18-7 | 0-0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 106, the Australian got to the semifinal after beating Matija Pecotic 7-64 6-3, Alexander Ritschard 6-2 6-1 and Gabriel Diallo 7-62 4-6 7-63.
In the quarter, Kokkinakis defeated Diallo (7-62 4-6 7-63). During the match, Kokkinakis scored 121 points vs Diallo’s 117. Thanasi was pretty aggressive to blast 47 winners.
Talking about the service games, Kokkinakis blasted 5 aces and he committed only 7 double faults. Thanasi Kokkinakis lost the serve 5 times and he saved 9 break points. Furthermore, Kokkinakis put 58% of his first serves in, winning 68% (47/69) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (27/49) on the 2nd serve. Thanasi broke Diallo 4 times after converting 33% of his break points (4/12).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Thanasi has lost 1 set in this event to win 53% of the points he played.
Kokkinakis has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of his matches (195-126). 3-1 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Kokkinakis has an aggregate 47-23 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
The Australian has an aggregate 11-10 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Sarasota Challenger
Kokkinakis has never competed in this tournament before.
Marc Polmans
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-24 | 10-15 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 50-35 | 32-23 | 14-9 | 2-1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 18-13 | 14-12 | 0-0 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 15-28 | 1-6 | 8-13 | 2-6 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-16 | 2-6 | 5-4 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 172, Marc got to the semifinal after beating Felix Corwin 6-3 6-73 6-4, Geoffrey Blancaneaux 6-3 7-5 and Calvin Hemery 6-2 0-6 6-1.
In the quarter, Polmans defeated Hemery (6-2 0-6 6-1). During the match Polmans scored 63 points vs Hemery’s 56. The Australian was very aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about serving, Polmans bagged 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Marc Polmans lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Polmans put 64% of his first serves in, winning 61% (23/38) of the points behind his 1st serve and 57% (12/21) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Hemery 5 times after converting 83% of his break points (5/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Marc has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
The Australian has an overall 7-7 win-loss record in 2024, 4-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Kokkinakis | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 73 | 74 |
| Pts | 251-220 | 235-199 |
| Total Points | 471 | 434 |
| Winners | 96 | 92 |
| %Winners | 38% | 39% |
Both Kokkinakis and Polmans played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Thanasi Kokkinakis lost 1 set, while Marc Polmans lost 2 sets. Kokkinakis has played 1 set(s) less than Polmans (7 vs 8). Therefore, Kokkinakis played 1 game less than Polmans. Kokkinakis scored 96 winners (38% of the total points). On the other side, The Australian bagged 92 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Kokkinakis | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 20 | 10 |
| Avg per match | 6.7 | 3.3 |
| 1st in | 137/243 | 135/209 |
| %1st in | 56% | 65% |
| 1st pts | 96/137 | 92/135 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 64/106 | 40/74 |
| %2nd pts | 60% | 54% |
Kokkinakis fired 20 aces (6.7 per match). Polmans managed to score 10 aces (3.3 per match). Kokkinakis won 70% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 60% of the points. On the other side, Polmans won 68% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Kokkinakis | Polmans |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 10 | 16 |
| Converted | 10/27 | 16/23 |
| % Converted | 37% | 70% |
| Conceded | 20 | 17 |
| Saved | 14 | 8 |
| % Saved | 70% | 47% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 9 |
Kokkinakis broke his opponents 10 times with a 37% conversion rate. The Australian conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. Polmans broke his opponents 16 times with a 70% conversion rate. Polmans conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 47% of the break points that he conceded.
| Kokkinakis | |||||
| R1 Pecotic |
R2 Ritschard |
1/4 Diallo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-64 6-3 | 6-2 6-1 | 7-62 4-6 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 3 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 15 | 36 | 73 | |
| pts | 71-68 | 59-35 | 121-117 | 251-220 | |
| Total points | 139 | 94 | 238 | 471 | |
| Winners | 32 | 17 | 47 | 96 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 29% | 39% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 12 | 3 | 5 | 20 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 7 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 43/76 | 25/49 | 69/118 | 137/243 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 51% | 58% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 32/43 | 17/25 | 47/69 | 96/137 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 68% | 68% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 21/33 | 16/24 | 27/49 | 64/106 | |
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 67% | 55% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 1 | 5 | 4 | 10 | |
| Converted | 1/6 | 5/9 | 4/12 | 10/27 | |
| Converted % | 17% | 56% | 33% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 5 | 14 | 20 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 4/5 | 9/14 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 80% | 64% | 81% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 5 | 6 | |
| Polmans | |||||
| R1 Corwin |
R2 Blancaneaux |
1/4 Hemery |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-73 6-4 | 6-3 7-5 | 6-2 0-6 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 21 | 21 | 74 | |
| pts | 99-86 | 73-57 | 63-56 | 235-199 | |
| Total points | 185 | 130 | 119 | 434 | |
| Winners | 45 | 24 | 23 | 92 | |
| %Winners | 45% | 33% | 37% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 1 | 2 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 8 | 3 | 17 | |
| 1st in | 61/94 | 36/56 | 38/59 | 135/209 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 64% | 64% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 45/61 | 24/36 | 23/38 | 92/135 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 67% | 61% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/33 | 9/20 | 12/21 | 40/74 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 45% | 57% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 6 | 5 | 16 | |
| Converted | 5/7 | 6/10 | 5/6 | 16/23 | |
| Converted % | 71% | 60% | 83% | 70% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 6 | 6 | 17 | |
| Saved | 2/5 | 3/6 | 3/6 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 40% | 50% | 50% | 47% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | 3 | 9 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWLWWWL
LLWWLWLLWL Tennis Scores in Sarasota Challenger
- Evan King/Mitchell KruegerKing/Mitchell Krueger – William Blumberg/Luis David MartinezBlumberg/Luis David Martinez (6-4 6-2) – See score progression
- Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Gabriel DialloDiallo (7-62 4-6 7-63) – See score progression
- Thomas Fancutt/Hunter ReeseFancutt/Hunter Reese – Geoffrey Blancaneaux/Calvin HemeryBlancaneaux/Calvin Hemery (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Ethan Quinn/Tennys SandgrenQuinn/Tennys Sandgren – Boris Kozlov/Stefan KozlovKozlov/Stefan Kozlov (2-6 7-5 11-9) – See score progression
- Tennys SandgrenSandgren – Stefan KozlovKozlov (6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Marc PolmansPolmans – Calvin HemeryHemery (6-2 0-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Zizou BergsBergs – Mitchell KruegerKrueger (6-4 1-6 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Tennys SandgrenSandgren – Zizou BergsBergs (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Thanasi KokkinakisKokkinakis – Marc PolmansPolmans (0-1) – H2H and prediction
