Elmar Ejupovic and Keegan Smith will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Cuernavaca Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 1:30 pm on CANCHA 1. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Keegan Smith who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Keegan Smith is the pick to win this match.
Keegan Smith -> 1.59
Elmar Ejupovic -> 2.26
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Prediction and head to head Elmar Ejupovic vs. Keegan Smith
This will be the 2nd time that Elmar Ejupovic and Keegan Smith square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Smith (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they fought against each other, Smith won 6-3 7-6(4) in the qualifications in the Waco Challenger back in 2023.
Elmar Ejupovic
8 - 11win/loss
549
273
LWWWLWLWWL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-27 | 7-5 | 19-12 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 2023 | 30-34 | 4-7 | 16-17 | 7-7 | 0-0 | 3-3 |
| 2022 | 46-28 | 4-2 | 32-19 | 3-5 | 0-0 | 7-2 |
| 2021 | 34-25 | 1-2 | 23-17 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 4-1 |
| 2020 | 18-8 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 10-3 |
Ranked no. 490, the German reached the qualifications after beating Andres Delgadillo 6-0 7-68.
In the qualifications, The German had a good straight sets win against Delgadillo (6-0 7-68). During the match, Ejupovic scored 73 points vs Delgadillo’s 49. Ejupovic was very aggressive to blast 25 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ejupovic blasted 11 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Overall, Elmar Ejupovic was pretty effective on serve to win 74% (25/34) of his 1st serve and 61% (11/18) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The German broke Delgadillo 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
Ejupovic has positive match record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (312-233). 1-0 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Ejupovic has a compiled 23-24 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Elmar’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in the Glasgow Challenger.
Elmar has an overall 8-10 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Cuernavaca Challenger
The German has never competed in this tournament before.
Keegan Smith
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-26 | 36-21 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 35-26 | 31-20 | 0-0 | 4-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 30-24 | 26-14 | 3-4 | 1-6 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 16-5 | 8-2 | 0-0 | 8-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 7-4 | 7-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 604, Smith got to the qualifications after beating Santiago Padilla Cote 7-5 6-0.
In the qualifications, Smith had a good straight sets win against Padilla Cote (7-5 6-0). During the match Smith scored 63 points vs Padilla Cote’s 35. The American was exceptionally aggressive to blast 32 winners.
About the serving games, Smith bagged 8 aces and he was exceptionally steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Keegan Smith was very efficient on serve to win 82% (32/39) of his 1st serve and 60% (6/10) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Smith was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Padilla Cote 4 times.
The American has an overall 11-8 win-loss record in 2024, 11-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ejupovic | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 18 |
| Pts | 73-49 | 63-35 |
| Total Points | 122 | 98 |
| Winners | 25 | 32 |
| %Winners | 34% | 51% |
Both Ejupovic and Smith played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not dropped a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Ejupovic and Smith have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Ejupovic played 1 game more than Smith. The German scored 25 winners (34% of the total points). On the other side, Smith managed to score 32 winners (51%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ejupovic | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 8 |
| Avg per match | 11 | 8 |
| 1st in | 34/52 | 39/49 |
| %1st in | 65% | 80% |
| 1st pts | 25/34 | 32/39 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 82% |
| 2nd pts | 11/18 | 6/10 |
| %2nd pts | 61% | 60% |
Ejupovic struck 11 aces . Smith managed to score 8 aces . Ejupovic won 74% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 61% of the points. On the other side, Smith won 82% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 60% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ejupovic | Smith |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 4 |
| Converted | 5/10 | 4/4 |
| % Converted | 50% | 100% |
| Conceded | 3 | 2 |
| Saved | 1 | 2 |
| % Saved | 33% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 |
Ejupovic broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. Elmar lost his serve twice and he saved 33% of the break points that he conceded. Smith broke his opponent 4 times with a 100% conversion rate. The American was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 2 break points.
| Ejupovic | |||
| Q1 Delgadillo |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 7-68 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 73-49 | 73-49 | |
| Total points | 122 | 122 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 34% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 11 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 34/52 | 34/52 | |
| % 1st in | 65% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 25/34 | 25/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/18 | 11/18 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 1/3 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 33% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 2 | |
| Smith | |||
| Q1 Padilla |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 63-35 | 63-35 | |
| Total points | 98 | 98 | |
| Winners | 32 | 32 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 51% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 8 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 39/49 | 39/49 | |
| % 1st in | 80% | 80% | |
| 1st pts | 32/39 | 32/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 82% | 82% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/10 | 6/10 | |
| % 2nd pts | 60% | 60% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 4 | 4 | |
| Converted | 4/4 | 4/4 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
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