Matteo Arnaldi and Sumit Nagal will square off in the 1st round of the ATP1000 Master in Monte-Carlo for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 1:30 pm on COURT DES PRINCES. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Arnaldi who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Matteo Arnaldi is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Arnaldi -> 1.43
Sumit Nagal -> 2.84

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Prediction and head to head Matteo Arnaldi vs. Sumit Nagal

This will be the 2nd time that Matteo Arnaldi and Sumit Nagal fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Nagal (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.

The last time that they played, Nagal won 6-3 7-5 in the qualifications in the Barletta Challenger back in 2019.

Matteo Arnaldi

Matteo Arnaldi

10 - 8win/loss

Hard
10-8
I Hard
0-0
Rank
35
High
34
LLWLWWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 20-16 10-8 9-6 0-0 1-2 0-0
2023 51-26 21-15 23-7 4-3 3-1 0-0
2022 50-35 9-3 37-20 4-11 0-1 0-0
2021 56-24 2-1 51-18 3-5 0-0 0-0
2020 17-9 16-4 0-1 1-3 0-0 0-1

Ranked no. 35 (career-high), Arnaldi will start his run in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters after he played his last match in Miami where he lost 6-3 6-3 to Machac in the 4th round on the 26th of March.

Matteo has a compiled 10-8 win-loss record in 2024, 0-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

This will be the first match of the season on clay.

Talking about his overall career, The Italian has an overall 197-116 record. He has a positive 115-55 record on clay.

Previously in Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters

The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Arnaldi's Record

Sumit Nagal

Sumit Nagal

18 - 9win/loss

Hard
15-8
I Hard
0-0
Clay
3-1
Rank
73
High
71
LWWWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 28-14 15-8 13-6 0-0 0-0 0-0
2023 46-29 9-8 32-17 5-4 0-0 0-0
2022 17-18 0-1 16-17 1-0 0-0 0-0
2021 23-26 1-4 22-22 0-0 0-0 0-0
2020 8-14 2-4 5-5 1-5 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 95 (career-high), Nagal reached the 1st round after beating Flavio Cobolli 6-2 6-3 and Facundo Diaz Acosta 7-5 2-6 6-2.

In the qualifications, The Indian defeated Diaz Acosta (7-5 2-6 6-2). During the match Nagal scored 85 points vs Diaz Acosta’s 83. Sumit was very aggressive to blast 37 winners.

About the serving games, Nagal wasn’t able to score even 1 ace for the entire match and he was very solid in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Sumit Nagal lost the serve 5 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Nagal put 70% of his first serves in, winning 63% (37/59) of the points behind his 1st serve and 44% (11/25) on the 2nd serve. Nagal broke Diaz Acosta 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Sumit started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was conquering the title the Chennai Challenger where he defeated Luca Nardi in the final 6-1 6-4.

The Indian has an aggregate 18-9 win-loss record in 2024, 3-1 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Monte-Carlo Rolex Masters
Nagal's Record

Tennis Scores in Monte Carlo Rolex Masters

Upcoming matches in the draw