Daniel Rincon and Marvin Moeller will face off in the qualifications of the Madrid Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 1:30 pm on PISTA 2. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniel Rincon who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniel Rincon is the pick to win this match.
Daniel Rincon -> 1.42
Marvin Moeller -> 2.73
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Prediction and head to head Daniel Rincon vs. Marvin Moeller
There is no head to head record between Daniel Rincon and Marvin Moeller since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Daniel Rincon
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-18 | 3-6 | 8-10 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 50-30 | 19-7 | 31-18 | 0-2 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-29 | 6-10 | 31-16 | 10-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 18-18 | 9-8 | 9-9 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 4-5 | 1-2 | 3-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 216, Rincon reached the qualifications after beating Pablo Manzano Lapuerta 6-0 6-0.
In the qualifications, Daniel had a good straight sets win against Manzano Lapuerta (6-0 6-0). During the match, Rincon scored 51 points vs Manzano Lapuerta’s 17. Rincon was quite aggressive to blast 17 winners.
Talking about the service games, Rincon blasted 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Daniel Rincon was pretty effective on serve to win 77% (17/22) of his 1st serve and 77% (10/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Rincon broke Manzano Lapuerta 6 times after converting 75% of his break points (6/8).
Rincon has a winning match record in the last 5 years having won 58% of his matches (124-91). 1-2 on clay in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rincon has a compiled75-48 win-loss record in the last 5 years on clay.
Daniel has an overall 5-9 win-loss record in 2024, 1-2 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Madrid Challenger
Marvin Moeller
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-9 | 0-0 | 7-5 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-27 | 2-1 | 36-16 | 20-8 | 0-0 | 1-2 |
| 2022 | 18-7 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 16-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 29-26 | 1-5 | 12-9 | 10-8 | 0-0 | 6-4 |
| 2020 | 14-7 | 6-2 | 0-1 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 7-2 |
Ranked no. 308, Moeller got to the qualifications after defeating Svyatoslav Gulin 1-6 7-62 7-63.
In the qualifications against Gulin, The German recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 7-62 7-63).During the match Moeller scored less points (8) than Gulin. In fact, the world no. 216 won 95 points vs Gulin’s. That means that Moeller was more focused during the important points. The German was extremely aggressive to blast 53 winners.
About the serving games, Moeller fired 3 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Marvin Moeller lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Moeller put 72% of his first serves in, winning 68% (53/78) of the points behind his 1st serve and 55% (17/31) on the 2nd serve.
Marvin has a compiled 6-4 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Madrid Challenger
The German has never competed in this tournament before.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Rincon | Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 12 | 33 |
| Pts | 51-17 | 95-103 |
| Total Points | 68 | 198 |
| Winners | 17 | 53 |
| %Winners | 33% | 56% |
Both Rincon and Moeller played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Marvin Moeller lost 1 set while Daniel Rincon hasn’t lost a set so far. Rincon has played 1 set(s) less than Moeller (2 vs 3). Therefore, Rincon played 21 games less than Moeller. Daniel scored 17 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, Moeller recorded 53 winners (56%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Rincon | Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 3 |
| 1st in | 22/35 | 78/109 |
| %1st in | 63% | 72% |
| 1st pts | 17/22 | 53/78 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 68% |
| 2nd pts | 10/13 | 17/31 |
| %2nd pts | 77% | 55% |
Rincon scored 3 aces . Moeller managed to score 3 aces . Rincon won 77% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 77% of the points. On the other side, Moeller won 68% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Rincon | Moeller |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 0 |
| Converted | 6/8 | 0/2 |
| % Converted | 75% | 0% |
| Conceded | 3 | 7 |
| Saved | 3 | 4 |
| % Saved | 100% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 |
Rincon broke his opponent 6 times with a 75% conversion rate. Daniel extremely effective on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 3 break points. On the other side, Moeller hasn’t manged yet to break his opponent. He didn’t manage to even clinch a single break point. Moeller conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.
| Rincon | |||
| Q1 Manzano |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 12 | 12 | |
| pts | 51-17 | 51-17 | |
| Total points | 68 | 68 | |
| Winners | 17 | 17 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 22/35 | 22/35 | |
| % 1st in | 63% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 17/22 | 17/22 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/13 | 10/13 | |
| % 2nd pts | 77% | 77% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 6/8 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 3 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Moeller | |||
| Q1 Gulin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 1-6 7-62 7-63 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 33 | 33 | |
| pts | 95-103 | 95-103 | |
| Total points | 198 | 198 | |
| Winners | 53 | 53 | |
| %Winners | 56% | 56% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 78/109 | 78/109 | |
| % 1st in | 72% | 72% | |
| 1st pts | 53/78 | 53/78 | |
| % 1st pts | 68% | 68% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/31 | 17/31 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 0 | 0 | |
| Converted | 0/2 | 0/2 | |
| Converted % | 0% | 0% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWWLLWW
LWWLWWWWLL 
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