Rio Noguchi and James McCabe will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Busan Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 10:00 am on COURT 2. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is James McCabe who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, James McCabe is the pick to win this match.
James McCabe -> 1.72
Rio Noguchi -> 2.04
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Prediction and head to head Rio Noguchi vs. James McCabe
There is no head to head record between Rio Noguchi and James McCabe since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.
Rio Noguchi
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 41-31 | 36-22 | 1-4 | 0-2 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 19-31 | 12-18 | 2-7 | 2-2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 54-22 | 41-10 | 9-9 | 0-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-26 | 18-18 | 7-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 14-12 | 5-6 | 0-3 | 3-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 340, Rio got to the qualifications after defeating Woobin Shin 3-6 7-64 6-4.
In the qualifications against Shin, Noguchi recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 7-64 6-4). During the match, Noguchi scored 101 points vs Shin’s 90. The Japanese was quite aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Regarding the service games, Noguchi scored just 1 ace for the entire match and he committed only 5 double faults. Rio Noguchi lost the serve 6 times and he saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Noguchi put 57% of his first serves in, winning 70% (33/47) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (20/36) on the 2nd serve. Noguchi broke Shin 6 times after converting 75% of his break points (6/8).
Noguchi has a winning record in the last 9 years having won 59% of his matches (301-205). 9-6 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Noguchi has an aggregate197-124 win-loss record in the last 9 years on hard.
The Japanese’s best result of the season was reaching the final in M25 Swan Hill.
The Japanese has an aggregate 13-8 win-loss record in 2024, 9-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Busan Challenger
The Japanese has never competed in this tournament before.
James McCabe
12 - 10win/loss
260
258
WWLWLWWWLL | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 55-33 | 47-26 | 1-2 | 1-1 | 6-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-27 | 24-14 | 2-6 | 1-3 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-27 | 30-19 | 9-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 17-5 | 17-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 366, the Australian got to the qualifications after beating Nam Hoang Ly 2-6 7-5 6-4.
In the qualifications against Hoang Ly, James recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (2-6 7-5 6-4).During the match McCabe scored less points (6) than Hoang Ly. In fact, the world no. 340 won 89 points vs Hoang Ly’s. That means that McCabe was more focused during the important points. James was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.
Talking about serving, McCabe scored 12 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. James McCabe lost the serve 3 times and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, McCabe put 54% of his first serves in, winning 66% (35/53) of the points behind his 1st serve and 53% (24/45) on the 2nd serve. James broke Hoang Ly 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
James’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in M25 Traralgon and M25 Mildura.
The Australian has an aggregate 12-10 win-loss record in 2024, 8-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Noguchi | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 32 | 30 |
| Pts | 101-90 | 89-95 |
| Total Points | 191 | 184 |
| Winners | 33 | 35 |
| %Winners | 33% | 39% |
Both Noguchi and McCabe played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players lost a set in the event. Rio Noguchi dropped 1 set, while James McCabe conceded 1 set. Talking about their workload, Noguchi and McCabe have played the same amount of sets 3. However, Noguchi played 2 games more than McCabe. Rio scored 33 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, McCabe managed to score 35 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Noguchi | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 1 | 12 |
| Avg per match | 1 | 12 |
| 1st in | 47/83 | 53/98 |
| %1st in | 57% | 54% |
| 1st pts | 33/47 | 35/53 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 66% |
| 2nd pts | 20/36 | 24/45 |
| %2nd pts | 56% | 53% |
Noguchi recorded 1 ace . McCabe also fired 12 aces . Noguchi won 70% points on his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, McCabe won 66% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 53% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Noguchi | McCabe |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 3 |
| Converted | 6/8 | 3/5 |
| % Converted | 75% | 60% |
| Conceded | 8 | 7 |
| Saved | 2 | 4 |
| % Saved | 25% | 57% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 3 |
The Japanese broke his opponent 6 times with a 75% conversion rate. Noguchi conceded his serve 6 times and he saved 25% of the break points that he conceded. The Australian broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. McCabe conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded.
| Noguchi | |||
| Q1 Shin |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 7-64 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 32 | |
| pts | 101-90 | 101-90 | |
| Total points | 191 | 191 | |
| Winners | 33 | 33 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 1 | 1 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 5 | |
| 1st in | 47/83 | 47/83 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 33/47 | 33/47 | |
| % 1st pts | 70% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 20/36 | 20/36 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 56% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/8 | 6/8 | |
| Converted % | 75% | 75% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 8 | |
| Saved | 2/8 | 2 | |
| Saved % | 25% | 25% | |
| Times Broken | 6 | 6 | |
| McCabe | |||
| Q1 Hoang Ly |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 2-6 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 89-95 | 89-95 | |
| Total points | 184 | 184 | |
| Winners | 35 | 35 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 12 | 12 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 53/98 | 53/98 | |
| % 1st in | 54% | 54% | |
| 1st pts | 35/53 | 35/53 | |
| % 1st pts | 66% | 66% | |
| 2nd pts | 24/45 | 24/45 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 53% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 7 | 7 | |
| Saved | 4/7 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 57% | 57% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
Head 2 Head
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