Blake Ellis and Yuki Mochizuki will fight against each other in the qualifications of the Busan Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 10:00 am on COURT 3. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Blake Ellis who should win in 3 sets.
Blake Ellis -> 1.55
Yuki Mochizuki -> 2.35
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Prediction and head to head Blake Ellis vs. Yuki Mochizuki
There is no head to head record between Blake Ellis and Yuki Mochizuki since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Blake Ellis
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 22-16 | 14-12 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 51-29 | 43-25 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 13-11 | 13-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-14 | 16-8 | 0-0 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 0-1 |
| 2020 | 11-6 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 382, Blake reached the qualifications after beating Mukund Sasikumar 5-7 6-3 6-3.
In the qualifications against Kumar Mukund, Blake recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 6-3 6-3). During the match, Ellis scored 106 points vs Kumar Mukund’s 102. The Australian was quite aggressive to blast 41 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ellis blasted 9 aces and he committed only 8 double faults. Blake Ellis lost the serve 3 times and he saved 10 break points. Furthermore, Ellis put 57% of his first serves in, winning 62% (41/66) of the points behind his 1st serve and 52% (26/50) on the 2nd serve. The Australian broke Kumar Mukund 5 times after converting 33% of his break points (5/15).
Ellis has favorable record in the last 10 years having won 57% of his matches (188-141). 5-6 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Ellis has an overall 146-119 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Blake’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in M25 Mildura and M25 Swan Hill.
Ellis has an overall 11-8 win-loss record in 2024, 5-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Busan Challenger
Yuki Mochizuki
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 13-11 | 9-9 | 4-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 30-26 | 21-23 | 9-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-20 | 18-12 | 14-7 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 15-8 | 15-8 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 6-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 582, Mochizuki got to the qualifications after beating August Holmgren 6-4 6-2.
In the qualifications, Mochizuki had a good straight sets win against Holmgren (6-4 6-2). During the match Mochizuki scored 58 points vs Holmgren’s 40. Yuki was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.
Talking about serving, Mochizuki bagged 2 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Yuki Mochizuki was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 86% (31/36) of his 1st serve and 55% (6/11) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Japanese broke Holmgren 3 times after converting 60% of his break points (3/5).
Mochizuki has a compiled 7-6 win-loss record in 2024, 7-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Busan Challenger
Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2023. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ellis | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 30 | 18 |
| Pts | 106-102 | 58-40 |
| Total Points | 208 | 98 |
| Winners | 41 | 31 |
| %Winners | 39% | 53% |
Both Ellis and Mochizuki played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.At the moment, Blake Ellis surrendered 1 set while Yuki Mochizuki hasn’t conceded a set so far. Ellis has played 1 set more than Mochizuki (3 vs 2). Therefore, Ellis played 12 games more than Mochizuki. Blake scored 41 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Japanese managed to score 31 winners (53%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ellis | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 9 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 9 | 2 |
| 1st in | 66/116 | 36/47 |
| %1st in | 57% | 77% |
| 1st pts | 41/66 | 31/36 |
| %1st pts | 62% | 86% |
| 2nd pts | 26/50 | 6/11 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 55% |
Ellis managed to score 9 aces . Mochizuki fired 2 aces . Ellis won 62% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Mochizuki won 86% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 55% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ellis | Mochizuki |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 5 | 3 |
| Converted | 5/15 | 3/5 |
| % Converted | 33% | 60% |
| Conceded | 13 | 1 |
| Saved | 10 | 1 |
| % Saved | 77% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 |
The Australian broke his opponent 5 times with a 33% conversion rate. Ellis conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 77% of the break points that he conceded. The Japanese broke his opponent 3 times with a 60% conversion rate. Mochizuki was rock solid on his serve as he has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points.
| Ellis | |||
| Q1 Kumar Mukund | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 6-3 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 30 | |
| pts | 106-102 | 106-102 | |
| Total points | 208 | 208 | |
| Winners | 41 | 41 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 9 | 9 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 66/116 | 66/116 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 57% | |
| 1st pts | 41/66 | 41/66 | |
| % 1st pts | 62% | 62% | |
| 2nd pts | 26/50 | 26/50 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/15 | 5/15 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 13 | 13 | |
| Saved | 10/13 | 10 | |
| Saved % | 77% | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 3 | |
| Mochizuki | |||
| Q1 Holmgren | Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
| pts | 58-40 | 58-40 | |
| Total points | 98 | 98 | |
| Winners | 31 | 31 | |
| %Winners | 53% | 53% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | |
| 1st in | 36/47 | 36/47 | |
| % 1st in | 77% | 77% | |
| 1st pts | 31/36 | 31/36 | |
| % 1st pts | 86% | 86% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/11 | 6/11 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 55% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/5 | 3/5 | |
| Converted % | 60% | 60% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
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- Yu Hsiou HsuHsiou Hsu – Tung-Lin WuWu (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Rio NoguchiNoguchi – (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yuki MochizukiMochizuki – Blake EllisEllis (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yanki ErelErel – Mikalai HaliakHaliak (0-0) – H2H and prediction