Roberto Carballes Baena and Matteo Berrettini will clash against each other in the final of the Grand Prix Hassan II for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:00 pm on CENTER COURT. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.5
Roberto Carballes Baena -> 2.6

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Prediction and head to head Roberto Carballes Baena vs. Matteo Berrettini

This will be the 4th time that Roberto Carballes Baena and Matteo Berrettini fight against each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Berrettini (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on clay.

The last time that they played, Berrettini won 6-4 6-2 in the 2nd round in Naples back in 2022.

Roberto Carballes Baena

Roberto Carballes Baena

9 - 10win/loss

Hard
4-5
I Hard
0-0
Clay
5-5
Rank
57
High
49
LLLWLWLWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 37-31 10-12 24-13 2-4 1-2 0-0
2023 25-29 3-8 19-14 1-4 2-3 0-0
2022 46-33 3-8 41-23 2-1 0-1 0-0
2021 41-30 3-5 33-20 3-3 2-2 0-0
2020 19-18 3-4 16-12 0-2 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 64, Carballes Baena reached the final after defeating Matteo Gigante 6-2 2-0 ret., Daniel Evans 6-4 7-63, Nicolas Moreno De Alboran 6-4 4-6 6-4

and Pavel Kotov 6-4 6-2.

In the semifinal, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Kotov (6-4 6-2). During the match, Carballes Baena scored 65 points vs Kotov’s 48. The Spaniard was quite aggressive to blast 28 winners.

Regarding the service games, Carballes Baena fired 2 aces and he was pretty consistent in conceding no double faults. Roberto Carballes Baena lost the serve once and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Carballes Baena put 73% of his first serves in, winning 65% (28/43) of the points behind his 1st serve and 69% (11/16) on the 2nd serve. Roberto broke Kotov 4 times after converting 67% of his break points (4/6).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Roberto has dropped 1 set in this tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

Carballes Baena has good record in the last 10 years having won 56% of his matches (354-279). 5-4 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Carballes Baena has a compiled 306-200 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Carballes Baena’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Marrakech.

Carballes Baena has an overall 9-9 win-loss record in 2024, 5-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Marrakech

Marrakech
Carballes Baena's Record

Matteo Berrettini

Matteo Berrettini

9 - 2win/loss

Hard
4-2
I Hard
0-0
Clay
5-0
Rank
34
High
6
WWLLWWLWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 36-13 7-6 15-1 8-3 6-3 0-0
2023 14-12 9-10 2-0 0-0 3-2 0-0
2022 32-12 15-9 4-2 4-1 9-0 0-0
2021 41-12 14-5 13-4 3-2 11-1 0-0
2020 9-6 5-3 4-2 0-1 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 135, Matteo got to the final after beating Alexander Shevchenko 6-2 6-1, Jaume Antoni Munar Clar 6-4 4-6 6-3, Lorenzo Sonego 6-3 7-65 and Mariano Navone 6-74 6-3 6-2.

In the semifinal against Navone, The Italian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-74

6-3 6-2). During the match Berrettini scored 107 points vs Navone’s 86. The Italian was quite aggressive to blast 50 winners.

About the serving games, Berrettini scored 6 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Matteo Berrettini was quite effective on serve to win 77% (50/65) of his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Matteo broke Navone 5 times after converting 42% of his break points (5/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

The Italian’s best result of the season was reaching the final in the Phoenix Challenger.

Berrettini has a composed 8-2 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Marrakech

Previously, his best result was reaching the 1st round in 2018. See his history.

Marrakech
Berrettini's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

R.Carballes Baena
M.Berrettini
7h:18
7h:18
Time on court​
7h:56
7h:56
1h:39
1h:39
Last match​
!
2h:42
2h:42
4
4
Match played
4
4
81
81
Games Played​
96
96
10
10
Set played​​
10
10
288
288
Total points​
328
328
72
72
Avg point​
82
82
126
126
Winners
160
160
31.5
31.5
Avg Winners​
40
40
44%
44%
Ratio winners
49%
49%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
22
22
1.5
1.5
Avg Aces
5.5
5.5
3
3
Double Faults
8
8
0.8
0.8
Avg Double Faults
2
2
126/173
126/173
1st won total​
160/203
160/203
!
73%
73%
1st won %
!
79%
79%
47/75
47/75
2nd won total​
39/81
39/81
!
63%
63%
2nd won %
48%
48%
-- Break Points --
11/32
11/32
BP won
15/38
15/38
2.8/8
2.8/8
Avg BP won
3.8/9.5
3.8/9.5
34%
34%
Won
39%
39%
15
15
Conceded
11
11
3.8
3.8
Avg Conceded
2.8
2.8
3
3
Broken
3
3
!
0.8
0.8
Avg Broken
!
0.8
0.8
12
12
Saved
8
8

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Carballes Baena Berrettini
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 10 10
Tot Games 81 96
Pts 288-231 328-273
Total Points 519 601
Winners 126 160
%Winners 44% 49%

Both Carballes Baena and Berrettini played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Roberto Carballes Baena surrendered 1 set, while Matteo Berrettini lost 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Carballes Baena and Berrettini have played the same amount of sets 10. However, Carballes Baena played 15 games less than Berrettini. Roberto scored 126 winners (44% of the total points). On the other side, Matteo scored 160 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve Carballes Baena Berrettini
Aces 6 22
Avg per match 1.5 5.5
1st in 173/248 203/284
%1st in 70% 71%
1st pts 126/173 160/203
%1st pts 73% 79%
2nd pts 47/75 39/81
%2nd pts 63% 48%

Carballes Baena recorded 6 aces (1.5 per match). Berrettini scored 22 aces (5.5 per match). Carballes Baena won 73% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 63% of the points. On the other side, Berrettini won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Carballes Baena Berrettini
Won 11 15
Converted 11/32 15/38
% Converted 34% 39%
Conceded 15 11
Saved 12 8
% Saved 80% 73%
Times Broken 3 3

Roberto broke his opponents 11 times with a 34% conversion rate. The Spaniard lost his serve 3 times and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Berrettini broke his opponents 15 times with a 39% conversion rate. The Italian conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded.

Carballes Baena
R1
Gigante
R2
Evans
1/4
Moreno De Alboran
1/2
Kotov
Total
Score 6-2 2-0 ret. 6-4 7-63 6-4 4-6 6-4 6-4 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 3 2 9
Tot Games 10 23 30 18 81
pts 41-22 85-76 97-85 65-48 288-231
Total points 63 161 182 113 519
Winners 12 41 45 28 126
%Winners 29% 48% 46% 43% 44%
SERVE
Aces 2 1 1 2 6
Double Faults 0 1 2 0 3
1st in 14/25 57/83 59/81 43/59 173/248
% 1st in 56% 69% 73% 73% 70%
1st pts 12/14 41/57 45/59 28/43 126/173
% 1st pts 86% 72% 76% 65% 73%
2nd pts 8/11 14/26 14/22 11/16 47/75
% 2nd pts 73% 54% 64% 69% 63%
Breaks
Won 3 2 2 4 11
Converted 3/9 2/8 2/9 4/6 11/32
Converted % 33% 25% 22% 67% 34%
Conceded 0 7 1 7 15
Saved 0/0 6/7 0/1 6/7 12
Saved % 86% 0% 86% 43%
Times Broken 0 1 1 1 3
Berrettini
R1
Shevchenko
R2
Munar Clar
1/4
Sonego
1/2
Navone
Total
Score 6-2 6-1 6-4 4-6 6-3 6-3 7-65 6-74 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 2 3 2 3 10
Tot Games 15 29 22 30 96
pts 63-42 86-85 72-60 107-86 328-273
Total points 105 171 132 193 601
Winners 21 43 46 50 160
%Winners 33% 50% 64% 47% 49%
SERVE
Aces 3 8 5 6 22
Double Faults 2 0 4 2 8
1st in 25/45 58/85 55/68 65/86 203/284
% 1st in 56% 68% 81% 76% 71%
1st pts 21/25 43/58 46/55 50/65 160/203
% 1st pts 84% 74% 84% 77% 79%
2nd pts 10/20 12/27 6/13 11/21 39/81
% 2nd pts 50% 44% 46% 52% 48%
Breaks
Won 5 4 1 5 15
Converted 5/9 4/13 1/4 5/12 15/38
Converted % 56% 31% 25% 42% 39%
Conceded 2 6 1 2 11
Saved 2/2 4/6 1/1 1/2 8
Saved % 100% 67% 100% 50% 79%
Times Broken 0 2 0 1 3

Upcoming matches in the draw

  • Roberto Carballes BaenaCarballes BaenaMatteo BerrettiniBerrettini (1-2) – H2H and prediction