Frances Tiafoe and Luciano Darderi will fight against each other in the semifinal of the US Men’s Clay Court Championship for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:30 pm on STADIUM COURT. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Frances Tiafoe who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Frances Tiafoe is the pick to win this match.
Frances Tiafoe -> 1.65
Luciano Darderi -> 2.24

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Prediction and head to head Frances Tiafoe vs. Luciano Darderi

There is no head to head record between Frances Tiafoe and Luciano Darderi since this will be the first time that they will fight against each other in the main tour.

Frances Tiafoe

Ranked no. 21, the American reached the semifinal after beating James Duckworth 6-2 6-7⁴ 7-5 and Jordan Thompson 7-6⁸ 6-4.

In the quarter, Francis had a good straight sets win against Thompson (7-6⁸ 6-4). During the match, Tiafoe scored 76 points vs Thompson’s 73. The American was quite aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about the service games, Tiafoe bagged 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Frances Tiafoe lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Tiafoe put 60% of his first serves in, winning 67% (31/46) of the points behind his 1st serve and 68% (21/31) on the 2nd serve. Francis broke Thompson twice after converting 29% of his break points (2/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Tiafoe has lost 1 set in this event to conquer 52% of the points he played.

Tiafoe has positive record in the last 10 years having won 59% of his matches (330-230). 2-0 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Tiafoe has a composed 87-52 record in the last years on clay.

The American’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in Delray Beach.

The American has a compiled 9-7 win-loss record in 2024, 2-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Houston

Luciano Darderi

Ranked no. 72 (career-high), the Italian got to the semifinal after beating Denis Kudla 3-6 7-6³ 6-2, Francisco Cerundolo 6-4 2-6 7-6⁴ and Marcos Giron 6-0 6-4.

In the quarter, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Giron (6-0 6-4). During the match Darderi scored 73 points vs Giron’s 50. Darderi was exceptionally aggressive to blast 21 winners.

Talking about serving, Darderi managed to score 5 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Luciano Darderi was extremely efficient on serve to win 81% (21/26) of his 1st serve and 68% (15/22) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Italian broke Giron 4 times after converting 31% of his break points (4/13).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Italian has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in Cordoba where he overcame Facundo Bagnis in the final 6-1 6-4.

Darderi has an aggregate 14-6 win-loss record in 2024, 14-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Houston

The Italian has never competed in this tournament before.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Tiafoe	Darderi
Match played	2	3
Tot Set	5	8
Tot Games	56	77
Pts	176-162	273-233
Total Points	338	506
Winners	73	102
%Winners	41%	37%

Tiafoe played 2 matches while Darderi competed in 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Frances Tiafoe lost 1 set, while Luciano Darderi conceded 2 sets. Tiafoe has played 3 set(s) less than Darderi (5 vs 8). Therefore, Tiafoe played 21 games less than Darderi. The American scored 73 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Darderi recorded 102 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Tiafoe	Darderi
Aces	18	16
Avg per match	9	5.3
1st in	96/165	139/232
%1st in	58%	60%
1st pts	73/96	102/139
%1st pts	76%	73%
2nd pts	46/69	55/93
%2nd pts	67%	59%

Tiafoe made 18 aces (9 per match). Darderi fired 16 aces (5.3 per match). Tiafoe won 76% points behind his first serve. He pretty solid on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Darderi won 73% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 59% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Tiafoe	Darderi
Won	5	10
Converted	5/12	10/29
% Converted	42%	34%
Conceded	5	22
Saved	4	15
% Saved	80%	68%
Times Broken	1	7

Francis broke his opponents 5 times with a 42% conversion rate. Tiafoe conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded. Darderi broke his opponents 10 times with a 34% conversion rate. Darderi conceded his serve 7 times and he saved 68% of the break points that he conceded.

Tiafoe
	R2 Duckworth	1/4 Thompson	Total
Score	6-2 6-74 7-5	7-68 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	5
Tot Games	33	23	56
pts	100-89	76-73	176-162
Total points	189	149	338
Winners	42	31	73
%Winners	42%	41%	41%
SERVE
Aces	15	3	18
Double Faults	1	1	2
1st in	50/88	46/77	96/165
% 1st in	57%	60%	58%
1st pts	42/50	31/46	73/96
% 1st pts	84%	67%	76%
2nd pts	25/38	21/31	46/69
% 2nd pts	66%	68%	67%
Breaks
Won	3	2	5
Converted	3/5	2/7	5/12
Converted %	60%	29%	42%
Conceded	0	5	5
Saved	0/0	4/5	4
Saved %	–	80%	40%
Times Broken	0	1	1

Darderi
	R1 Kudla	R2 Cerundolo	1/4 Giron	Total
Score	3-6 7-63 6-2	6-4 2-6 7-64	6-0 6-4
Tot Set	3	3	2	8
Tot Games	30	31	16	77
pts	95-83	105-100	73-50	273-233
Total points	178	205	123	506
Winners	42	39	21	102
%Winners	44%	37%	29%	37%
SERVE
Aces	8	3	5	16
Double Faults	3	0	1	4
1st in	55/89	58/95	26/48	139/232
% 1st in	62%	61%	54%	60%
1st pts	42/55	39/58	21/26	102/139
% 1st pts	76%	67%	81%	73%
2nd pts	18/34	22/37	15/22	55/93
% 2nd pts	53%	59%	68%	59%
Breaks
Won	3	3	4	10
Converted	3/8	3/8	4/13	10/29
Converted %	38%	38%	31%	34%
Conceded	12	9	1	22
Saved	9/12	5/9	1/1	15
Saved %	75%	56%	100%	116%
Times Broken	3	4	0	7

Tennis Scores in Houston

• Tomas Martin EtcheverryMartin Etcheverry – Michael MmohMmoh (6-3 0-1 ret.) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Jordan ThompsonThompson (7-6⁸ 6-4) – See score progression
• Ben SheltonShelton – Brandon NakashimaNakashima (7-5 7-6⁹) – See score progression
• Luciano DarderiDarderi – Marcos GironGiron (6-0 6-4) – See score progression
• N.Sriram Balaji/Andre BegemannBalaji/Andre Begemann – Arjun Kadhe/Jeevan NedunchezhiyanKadhe/Jeevan Nedunchezhiyan (6-0 6-3) – See score progression
• Max Purcell/Jordan ThompsonPurcell/Jordan Thompson – Anirudh Chandrasekar/N. Vijay Sundar PrashanthChandrasekar/N. Vijay Sundar Prashanth (3-6 6-3 10-5) – See score progression
• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – Jordan ThompsonThompson (7-6(8) 6-4) – See score progression

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Frances TiafoeTiafoe – (0-0) – H2H and prediction