Jessica Pegula and Daria Kasatkina will square off in the semifinal of the Credit One Charleston Open for the 3rd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 11:00 am on Credit One Stadium. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.49
Daria Kasatkina -> 2.625
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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Daria Kasatkina
This will be the 3rd time that Jessica Pegula and Daria Kasatkina play each other. The head to head is 2-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they locked horns, Pegula won 6-1 6-0 in the quarter in Tokyo back in 2023.
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14-6 | 11-5 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, Pegula got to the semifinal after defeating Amanda Anisimova 3-6 6-4 7-63, Magda Linette 6-2 6-2 and Victoria Azarenka 6-4 3-6 7-67.
In the quarter, Jessica defeated Azarenka (6-4 3-6 7-67). During the match, Pegula scored 107 points vs Azarenka’s 106. Pegula was exceptionally aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Regarding the service games, Pegula made 2 aces and she was extremely steady in conceding no double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve 5 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 73% of her first serves in, winning 63% (44/70) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (11/26) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Azarenka 5 times after converting 25% of her break points (5/20).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The American has dropped 2 set in this competition to win 53% of the points she played.
Pegula has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 65% of her matches (310-170). 3-0 on clay in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pegula has an aggregate 73-48 record in the last years on clay.
Pegula’s best result of the season was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide and San Diego.
The American has an aggregate 12-5 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Charleston
Daria Kasatkina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 18-10 | 12-8 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 39-25 | 19-15 | 12-6 | 2-1 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 41-22 | 24-14 | 12-5 | 1-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-19 | 19-10 | 5-5 | 7-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-14 | 7-8 | 5-3 | 6-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 11, the Russian got to the semifinal after beating Ashlyn Krueger 6-3 0-6 6-1, Anhelina Kalinina 6-1 6-4 and Jaqueline Cristian 6-74 6-2 6-3.
In the quarter against Cristian, The Russian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (6-74 6-2 6-3). During the match Kasatkina scored 108 points vs Cristian’s 96. The Russian was very aggressive to blast 35 winners.
About the serving games, Kasatkina fired 2 aces and she committed only 5 double faults. Daria Kasatkina lost the serve 6 times and she saved 7 break points. Furthermore, Kasatkina put 65% of her first serves in, winning 56% (35/62) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (16/34) on the 2nd serve. The Russian broke Cristian 10 times after converting 50% of her break points (10/20).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Darya has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points she played.
Kasatkina’s best result of the year was getting to the final in Adelaide and Abu Dhabi.
The Russian has a compiled 15-8 win-loss record in 2024, 3-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Charleston
Previously, she won this tournament once in 2017. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 8 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 80 | 69 |
| Pts | 277-241 | 253-221 |
| Total Points | 518 | 474 |
| Winners | 101 | 80 |
| %Winners | 36% | 32% |
Both Pegula and Kasatkina played 3 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jessica Pegula conceded 2 sets, while Daria Kasatkina dropped 2 sets. Talking about their workload, Pegula and Kasatkina have played the same amount of sets 8. However, Pegula played 11 games more than Kasatkina. The American scored 101 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian bagged 80 winners (32%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 6 |
| Avg per match | 3.7 | 2 |
| 1st in | 147/231 | 146/235 |
| %1st in | 64% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 101/147 | 80/146 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 55% |
| 2nd pts | 44/84 | 42/89 |
| %2nd pts | 52% | 47% |
Pegula blasted 11 aces (3.7 per match). Kasatkina scored 6 aces (2 per match). Pegula won 69% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 52% of the points. On the other side, Kasatkina won 55% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 47% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Kasatkina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 24 |
| Converted | 13/40 | 24/43 |
| % Converted | 33% | 56% |
| Conceded | 20 | 33 |
| Saved | 11 | 18 |
| % Saved | 55% | 55% |
| Times Broken | 9 | 15 |
Pegula broke her opponents 13 times with a 33% conversion rate. Pegula lost her serve 9 times and she saved 55% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponents 24 times with a 56% conversion rate. The Russian conceded her serve 15 times and she saved 55% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | |||||
| R2 Anisimova |
R3 Linette |
1/4 Azarenka |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-4 7-63 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-4 3-6 7-67 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 32 | 16 | 32 | 80 | |
| pts | 116-105 | 54-30 | 107-106 | 277-241 | |
| Total points | 221 | 84 | 213 | 518 | |
| Winners | 39 | 18 | 44 | 101 | |
| %Winners | 34% | 33% | 41% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 7 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 0 | 0 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 55/95 | 22/40 | 70/96 | 147/231 | |
| % 1st in | 58% | 55% | 73% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 39/55 | 18/22 | 44/70 | 101/147 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 82% | 63% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/40 | 14/18 | 11/26 | 44/84 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 78% | 42% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 5 | 13 | |
| Converted | 4/15 | 4/5 | 5/20 | 13/40 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 80% | 25% | 33% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 0 | 12 | 20 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 0/0 | 7/12 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 58% | 36% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 5 | 9 | |
| Kasatkina | |||||
| R2 Krueger |
R3 Kalinina |
1/4 Cristian |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 0-6 6-1 | 6-1 6-4 | 6-74 6-2 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 22 | 17 | 30 | 69 | |
| pts | 79-77 | 66-48 | 108-96 | 253-221 | |
| Total points | 156 | 114 | 204 | 474 | |
| Winners | 30 | 15 | 35 | 80 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 23% | 32% | 32% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | |
| Double Faults | 8 | 2 | 5 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 52/85 | 32/54 | 62/96 | 146/235 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 59% | 65% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 30/52 | 15/32 | 35/62 | 80/146 | |
| % 1st pts | 58% | 47% | 56% | 55% | |
| 2nd pts | 16/33 | 10/22 | 16/34 | 42/89 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 45% | 47% | 47% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 5 | 9 | 10 | 24 | |
| Converted | 5/12 | 9/11 | 10/20 | 24/43 | |
| Converted % | 42% | 82% | 50% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 8 | 13 | 33 | |
| Saved | 8/12 | 3/8 | 7/13 | 18 | |
| Saved % | 67% | 38% | 54% | 53% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 5 | 6 | 15 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLWWWLWWW
LWWLWWWWLW Tennis Scores in Charleston
- Lyudmyla Kichenok/Nadiya KichenokKichenok/Nadiya Kichenok – Nicole Melichar/Ellen PerezMelichar/Ellen Perez (7-64 6-72 13-11) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Stefano NapolitanoNapolitano – Yunseong ChungChung (7-5 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Lloyd HarrisHarris – Joris De LooreDe Loore (6-1 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Darya KasatkinaKasatkina (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (2-1) – H2H and prediction
