Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Florianopolis Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 11:30 am on QUADRA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Camilo Ugo Carabelli who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Camilo Ugo Carabelli is the pick to win this match.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli -> 1.192
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva -> 4.2
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Prediction and head to head Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs. Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
This will be the 2nd time that Camilo Ugo Carabelli and Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Ugo Carabelli (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played, Ugo Carabelli won 6-4 6-0 in the 1st round in the Guayaquil Challenger back in 2023.
Camilo Ugo Carabelli
25 - 8win/loss
108
91
WWLWWLWWWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 53-28 | 2-4 | 51-23 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 41-26 | 0-2 | 41-24 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-24 | 3-4 | 36-19 | 0-0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 43-24 | 4-2 | 39-22 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 19-12 | 0-1 | 18-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 106, Camilo got to the semifinal after defeating Luis Britto 6-2 ret., Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 7-5 7-65, Nicolas Zanellato 6-1 6-76 6-0, Geoffrey Blancaneaux 7-5 6-1 and Orlando Luz 1-6 7-5 6-4.
In the quarter against Luz, The Argentine recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (1-6 7-5 6-4).During the match, Ugo Carabelli scored less points (2) than Luz. In fact, the world no. 106 won 85 points vs Luz’s. That means that Ugo Carabelli was more focused during the important points. The Argentine was extremely aggressive to blast 29 winners.
Regarding the service games, Ugo Carabelli bagged 5 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Camilo Ugo Carabelli lost the serve 3 times and he saved 3 break points. Furthermore, Ugo Carabelli put 60% of his first serves in, winning 58% (29/50) of the points behind his 1st serve and 70% (23/33) on the 2nd serve. Camilo broke Luz 3 times after converting 33% of his break points (3/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Argentine started his run at this tournament from the qualifications. In the main draw, he has lost 2 set in this competition to win 54% of the points he played.
Ugo Carabelli has a solid match record in the last 9 years having won 64% of his matches (313-175). 23-6 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this competition, Ugo Carabelli has a composed284-150 record in the last 9 years on clay.
His best result of the current season was winning the title the Piracicaba Challenger where he defeated Federico Coria in the final 7-5 6-4 and the Santa Cruz de la Sierra Challenger where he overcame Murkel Alejandro Dellien Velasco in the final 6-4 6-2.
Ugo Carabelli has an overall 25-7 win-loss record in 2024, 23-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Florianopolis Challenger
The Argentine has never competed in this tournament before.
Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-26 | 0-1 | 21-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-32 | 4-7 | 24-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-24 | 4-3 | 31-21 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 32-30 | 8-5 | 24-25 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 21-10 | 19-8 | 2-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 319, Lucas Reis Da reached the semifinal after beating Pedro Sakamoto 7-5 7-5, Daniel Dutra Da Silva 1-6 6-3 6-4 and Juan Carlos Prado Angelo 6-2 6-1.
In the quarter, Joao had a good straight sets win against Carlos Prado Angelo (6-2 6-1). During the match Lucas Reis Da scored 58 points vs Carlos Prado Angelo’s 32. Joao was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Talking about serving, Lucas Reis Da scored just 1 ace during the entire match and he was extremely steady in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva was very efficient on serve to win 80% (24/30) of his 1st serve and 54% (7/13) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Joao broke Carlos Prado Angelo 5 times after converting 63% of his break points (5/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Lucas Reis Da has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.
Joao’s best result of the year was getting to the semifinal in the Buenos Aires Challenger.
Lucas Reis Da has an overall 6-9 win-loss record in 2024, 6-9 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ugo Carabelli | Lucas Reis Da |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 12 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 107 | 65 |
| Pts | 364-306 | 223-183 |
| Total Points | 670 | 406 |
| Winners | 142 | 101 |
| %Winners | 39% | 45% |
Ugo Carabelli played 5 matches while Lucas Reis Da competed in 3 matches. Ugo Carabelli started his run from the qualifications while Lucas Reis Da had a direct access to the main draw. Both players lost a set in the event. Camilo Ugo Carabelli conceded 2 sets, while Joao Lucas Reis Da Silva lost 1 set. Ugo Carabelli has played 5 sets more than Lucas Reis Da (12 vs 7). Therefore, Ugo Carabelli played 42 games more than Lucas Reis Da. The Argentine scored 142 winners (39% of the total points). On the other side, The Brazilian blasted 101 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ugo Carabelli | Lucas Reis Da |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 11 | 11 |
| Avg per match | 2.2 | 3.7 |
| 1st in | 221/321 | 140/213 |
| %1st in | 69% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 142/221 | 101/140 |
| %1st pts | 64% | 72% |
| 2nd pts | 64/100 | 38/73 |
| %2nd pts | 64% | 52% |
Ugo Carabelli blasted 11 aces (2.2 per match). Lucas Reis Da struck 11 aces (3.7 per match). Ugo Carabelli won 64% points behind his first serve. He extremely effective on his second serve to win 64% of the points. On the other side, Lucas Reis Da won 72% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ugo Carabelli | Lucas Reis Da |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 23 | 12 |
| Converted | 23/41 | 12/23 |
| % Converted | 56% | 52% |
| Conceded | 23 | 12 |
| Saved | 13 | 7 |
| % Saved | 57% | 58% |
| Times Broken | 10 | 5 |
The Argentine broke his opponents 23 times with a 56% conversion rate. Camilo lost his serve 10 times and he saved 57% of the break points that he conceded. Joao broke his opponents 12 times with a 52% conversion rate. Lucas Reis Da conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 58% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ugo Carabelli | |||||||
| Q1 Britto |
Q3 Carlos Prado Angelo |
R1 Zanellato |
R2 Blancaneaux |
1/4 Luz |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 ret. | 7-5 7-65 | 6-1 6-76 6-0 | 7-5 6-1 | 1-6 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 1 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 8 | 25 | 26 | 19 | 29 | 107 | |
| pts | 35-22 | 85-82 | 93-62 | 66-53 | 85-87 | 364-306 | |
| Total points | 57 | 167 | 155 | 119 | 172 | 670 | |
| Winners | 14 | 42 | 36 | 21 | 29 | 142 | |
| %Winners | 40% | 49% | 39% | 32% | 34% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 0 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 5 | 11 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 19/24 | 64/90 | 55/71 | 33/53 | 50/83 | 221/321 | |
| % 1st in | 79% | 71% | 77% | 62% | 60% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 14/19 | 42/64 | 36/55 | 21/33 | 29/50 | 142/221 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 66% | 65% | 64% | 58% | 64% | |
| 2nd pts | 4/5 | 12/26 | 13/16 | 12/20 | 23/33 | 64/100 | |
| % 2nd pts | 80% | 46% | 81% | 60% | 70% | 64% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 2 | 4 | 8 | 6 | 3 | 23 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 4/9 | 8/12 | 6/7 | 3/9 | 23/41 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 44% | 67% | 86% | 33% | 56% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 9 | 3 | 5 | 6 | 23 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 6/9 | 1/3 | 3/5 | 3/6 | 13 | |
| Saved % | – | 67% | 33% | 60% | 50% | 42% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Lucas Reis Da | |||||||
| R1 Sakamoto |
R2 Dutra Da Silva |
1/4 Carlos Prado Angelo |
Total | ||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-5 7-5 | 1-6 6-3 6-4 | 6-2 6-1 | ||||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |||
| Tot Games | 24 | 26 | 15 | 65 | |||
| pts | 83-67 | 82-84 | 58-32 | 223-183 | |||
| Total points | 150 | 166 | 90 | 406 | |||
| Winners | 34 | 43 | 24 | 101 | |||
| %Winners | 41% | 52% | 41% | 45% | |||
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 6 | 4 | 1 | 11 | |||
| Double Faults | 1 | 2 | 0 | 3 | |||
| 1st in | 48/70 | 62/100 | 30/43 | 140/213 | |||
| % 1st in | 69% | 62% | 70% | 66% | |||
| 1st pts | 34/48 | 43/62 | 24/30 | 101/140 | |||
| % 1st pts | 71% | 69% | 80% | 72% | |||
| 2nd pts | 14/22 | 17/38 | 7/13 | 38/73 | |||
| % 2nd pts | 64% | 45% | 54% | 52% | |||
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 4 | 3 | 5 | 12 | |||
| Converted | 4/12 | 3/3 | 5/8 | 12/23 | |||
| Converted % | 33% | 100% | 63% | 52% | |||
| Conceded | 2 | 9 | 1 | 12 | |||
| Saved | 0/2 | 6/9 | 1/1 | 7 | |||
| Saved % | 0% | 67% | 100% | 33% | |||
| Times Broken | 2 | 3 | 0 | 5 | |||
Head 2 Head
WWLWWLWWWW
LWLWWLWWLW Tennis Scores in Florianopolis Challenger
- Gianluca MagerMager – Daniel CukiermanCukierman (7-62 6-1) – See score progression
- Enzo CouacaudCouacaud – Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva – Juan Carlos Prado AngeloCarlos Prado Angelo (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Orlando LuzLuz (1-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Enzo CouacaudCouacaud – Roman Andres BurruchagaAndres Burruchaga (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Gianluca MagerMager – Daniel CukiermanCukierman (7-6(2) 6-1) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Enzo CouacaudCouacaud – Gianluca MagerMager (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Camilo Ugo CarabelliUgo Carabelli – Joao Lucas Reis Da SilvaLucas Reis Da Silva (1-0) – H2H and prediction
