Jannik Sinner and Grigor Dimitrov will face off in the final of the Miami Open for the 4^th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.32
Grigor Dimitrov -> 3.52

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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Grigor Dimitrov

This will be the 4^th time that Jannik Sinner and Grigor Dimitrov square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.

The last time that they locked horns, Sinner won 6-4 3-6 6-2 in the quarter in Beijing back in 2023.

Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Grigor Dimitrov – Beijing 02-October-2023

Jannik Sinner

Ranked no. 3 (career-high), the Italian got to the final after defeating Andrea Vavassori 6-3 6-4, Tallon Griekspoor 5-7 7-5 6-1, Christopher O Connell 6-4 6-3, Tomas Machac 6-4 6-2 and Daniil Medvedev 6-1 6-2.

In the semifinal, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Medvedev (6-1 6-2). During the match, Sinner scored 60 points vs Medvedev’s 37. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.

Regarding the service games, Sinner managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Jannik Sinner was extremely efficient on serve to win 80% (24/30) of his 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sinner broke Medvedev 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Jannik has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 58% of the points he played.

Sinner has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 72% of his matches (294-114). 16-1 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Sinner has a composed114-42 match record in the last 7 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was conquering the title at the Australian Open where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3 and in Rotterdam where he overcame Alex De Minaur in the final 7-5 6-4.

Sinner has a composed 21-1 win-loss record in 2024, 16-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Grigor Dimitrov

Ranked no. 12, the Bulgarian got to the final after defeating Alejandro Tabilo 6-7⁵ 7-6⁵ 6-2, Yannick Hanfmann 6-1 6-0, Hubert Hurkacz 3-6 6-3 7-6³, Carlos Alcaraz 6-2 6-4

and Alexander Zverev 6-4 6-7⁴ 6-4.

In the semifinal, The Bulgarian defeated Zverev (6-4 6-7⁴ 6-4). During the match Dimitrov scored 99 points vs Zverev’s 89. The Bulgarian was extremely aggressive to blast 51 winners.

Talking about serving, Dimitrov recorded 18 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Grigor Dimitrov was exceptionally effective on serve to win 78% (51/65) of his 1st serve and 65% (20/31) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Dimitrov was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Zverev twice.

Overall Performance in this tournament

Grigor has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the year was conquering the title in Brisbane where he overcame Holger Rune in the final 7-6(5) 6-4.

Grigor has a composed 20-4 win-loss record in 2024, 14-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4^th round in 2012 and 2016. See his history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Sinner	Dimitrov
Match played	5	5
Tot Set	11	13
Tot Games	102	129
Pts	366-268	430-363
Total Points	634	793
Winners	151	208
%Winners	41%	48%

Both Sinner and Dimitrov played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner conceded 1 set, while Grigor Dimitrov conceded 3 sets. Sinner has played 2 set(s) less than Dimitrov (11 vs 13). Therefore, Sinner played 27 games less than Dimitrov. Jannik scored 151 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Grigor fired 208 winners (48%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Sinner	Dimitrov
Aces	30	56
Avg per match	6	11.2
1st in	180/278	262/385
%1st in	65%	68%
1st pts	151/180	208/262
%1st pts	84%	79%
2nd pts	61/98	75/123
%2nd pts	62%	61%

Sinner made 30 aces (6 per match). Dimitrov made 56 aces (11.2 per match). Sinner won 84% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Dimitrov won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Sinner	Dimitrov
Won	16	14
Converted	16/39	14/33
% Converted	41%	42%
Conceded	10	15
Saved	7	13
% Saved	70%	87%
Times Broken	3	2

Jannik broke his opponents 16 times with a 41% conversion rate. Jannik surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. Dimitrov broke his opponents 14 times with a 42% conversion rate. Dimitrov conceded his serve twice and he saved 87% of the break points that he conceded.

Sinner
	R2 Vavassori	R3 Griekspoor	R4 O	1/4 Machac	1/2 Medvedev	Total
Score	6-3 6-4	5-7 7-5 6-1	6-4 6-3	6-4 6-2	6-1 6-2
Tot Set	2	3	2	2	2	11
Tot Games	19	31	19	18	15	102
pts	58-45	106-81	72-53	70-52	60-37	366-268
Total points	103	187	125	122	97	634
Winners	33	46	25	23	24	151
%Winners	57%	43%	35%	33%	40%	41%
SERVE
Aces	3	15	2	3	7	30
Double Faults	3	1	2	2	1	9
1st in	36/52	51/75	33/54	30/50	30/47	180/278
% 1st in	69%	68%	61%	60%	64%	65%
1st pts	33/36	46/51	25/33	23/30	24/30	151/180
% 1st pts	92%	90%	76%	77%	80%	84%
2nd pts	7/16	16/24	15/21	13/20	10/17	61/98
% 2nd pts	44%	67%	71%	65%	59%	62%
Breaks
Won	2	3	3	4	4	16
Converted	2/4	3/9	3/6	4/11	4/9	16/39
Converted %	50%	33%	50%	36%	44%	41%
Conceded	0	2	4	1	3	10
Saved	0/0	1/2	3/4	0/1	3/3	7
Saved %	–	50%	75%	0%	100%	45%
Times Broken	0	1	1	1	0	3

Dimitrov
	R2 Tabilo	R3 Hanfmann	R4 Hurkacz	1/4 Alcaraz	1/2 Zverev	Total
Score	6-75 7-65 6-2	6-1 6-0	3-6 6-3 7-63	6-2 6-4	6-4 6-74 6-4
Tot Set	3	2	3	2	3	13
Tot Games	34	13	31	18	33	129
pts	109-101	49-17	109-105	64-51	99-89	430-363
Total points	210	66	214	115	188	793
Winners	59	21	50	27	51	208
%Winners	54%	43%	46%	42%	52%	48%
SERVE
Aces	23	2	9	4	18	56
Double Faults	4	1	2	0	2	9
1st in	67/97	23/32	72/104	35/56	65/96	262/385
% 1st in	69%	72%	69%	63%	68%	68%
1st pts	59/67	21/23	50/72	27/35	51/65	208/262
% 1st pts	88%	91%	69%	77%	78%	79%
2nd pts	17/30	7/9	21/32	10/21	20/31	75/123
% 2nd pts	57%	78%	66%	48%	65%	61%
Breaks
Won	2	5	1	4	2	14
Converted	2/9	5/9	1/5	4/8	2/2	14/33
Converted %	22%	56%	20%	50%	100%	42%
Conceded	3	0	5	5	2	15
Saved	3/3	0/0	4/5	4/5	2/2	13
Saved %	100%	–	80%	80%	100%	72%
Times Broken	0	0	1	1	0	2

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Jannik SinnerSinner (1-2) – H2H and prediction