Jannik Sinner and Grigor Dimitrov will face off in the final of the Miami Open for the 4th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jannik Sinner who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jannik Sinner is the pick to win this match.
Jannik Sinner -> 1.32
Grigor Dimitrov -> 3.52
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Prediction and head to head Jannik Sinner vs. Grigor Dimitrov
This will be the 4th time that Jannik Sinner and Grigor Dimitrov square off. The head to head is 2-1 for Sinner (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Sinner won 6-4 3-6 6-2 in the quarter in Beijing back in 2023.
Highlights Jannik Sinner vs Grigor Dimitrov – Beijing 02-October-2023
Jannik Sinner
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 72-6 | 40-3 | 11-2 | 12-0 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 64-15 | 28-7 | 8-3 | 20-2 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 47-16 | 21-6 | 15-4 | 7-4 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 49-22 | 22-8 | 10-6 | 17-6 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-14 | 2-6 | 7-3 | 11-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 3 (career-high), the Italian got to the final after defeating Andrea Vavassori 6-3 6-4, Tallon Griekspoor 5-7 7-5 6-1, Christopher O Connell 6-4 6-3, Tomas Machac 6-4 6-2 and Daniil Medvedev 6-1 6-2.
In the semifinal, The Italian had a good straight sets win against Medvedev (6-1 6-2). During the match, Sinner scored 60 points vs Medvedev’s 37. The Italian was extremely aggressive to blast 24 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sinner managed to score 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Jannik Sinner was extremely efficient on serve to win 80% (24/30) of his 1st serve and 59% (10/17) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Sinner broke Medvedev 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jannik has conceded 1 set in this competition to conquer 58% of the points he played.
Sinner has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 7 years having won 72% of his matches (294-114). 16-1 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Sinner has a composed114-42 match record in the last 7 years on hard.
His best result of the current season was conquering the title at the Australian Open where he defeated Daniil Medvedev in the final 3-6 3-6 6-4 6-4 6-3 and in Rotterdam where he overcame Alex De Minaur in the final 7-5 6-4.
Sinner has a composed 21-1 win-loss record in 2024, 16-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Grigor Dimitrov
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 46-18 | 21-7 | 8-4 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 16-10 | 10-5 | 10-4 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 26-22 | 10-11 | 10-5 | 5-4 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 24-18 | 18-10 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 18-11 | 8-5 | 6-2 | 4-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 12, the Bulgarian got to the final after defeating Alejandro Tabilo 6-75 7-65 6-2, Yannick Hanfmann 6-1 6-0, Hubert Hurkacz 3-6 6-3 7-63, Carlos Alcaraz 6-2 6-4 and Alexander Zverev 6-4 6-74 6-4.
In the semifinal, The Bulgarian defeated Zverev (6-4 6-74 6-4). During the match Dimitrov scored 99 points vs Zverev’s 89. The Bulgarian was extremely aggressive to blast 51 winners.
Talking about serving, Dimitrov recorded 18 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Grigor Dimitrov was exceptionally effective on serve to win 78% (51/65) of his 1st serve and 65% (20/31) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Dimitrov was clinical in his return game without wasting any break point and break Zverev twice.
Overall Performance in this tournament
Grigor has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.
His best result of the year was conquering the title in Brisbane where he overcame Holger Rune in the final 7-6(5) 6-4.
Grigor has a composed 20-4 win-loss record in 2024, 14-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2012 and 2016. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sinner | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 5 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 11 | 13 |
| Tot Games | 102 | 129 |
| Pts | 366-268 | 430-363 |
| Total Points | 634 | 793 |
| Winners | 151 | 208 |
| %Winners | 41% | 48% |
Both Sinner and Dimitrov played 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Jannik Sinner conceded 1 set, while Grigor Dimitrov conceded 3 sets. Sinner has played 2 set(s) less than Dimitrov (11 vs 13). Therefore, Sinner played 27 games less than Dimitrov. Jannik scored 151 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Grigor fired 208 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sinner | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 30 | 56 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 11.2 |
| 1st in | 180/278 | 262/385 |
| %1st in | 65% | 68% |
| 1st pts | 151/180 | 208/262 |
| %1st pts | 84% | 79% |
| 2nd pts | 61/98 | 75/123 |
| %2nd pts | 62% | 61% |
Sinner made 30 aces (6 per match). Dimitrov made 56 aces (11.2 per match). Sinner won 84% points behind his first serve. He quite strong on his second serve to win 62% of the points. On the other side, Dimitrov won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 61% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sinner | Dimitrov |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 16 | 14 |
| Converted | 16/39 | 14/33 |
| % Converted | 41% | 42% |
| Conceded | 10 | 15 |
| Saved | 7 | 13 |
| % Saved | 70% | 87% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 2 |
Jannik broke his opponents 16 times with a 41% conversion rate. Jannik surrendered his serve 3 times and he saved 70% of the break points that he conceded. Dimitrov broke his opponents 14 times with a 42% conversion rate. Dimitrov conceded his serve twice and he saved 87% of the break points that he conceded.
| Sinner | |||||||
| R2 Vavassori |
R3 Griekspoor |
R4 O |
1/4 Machac |
1/2 Medvedev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 5-7 7-5 6-1 | 6-4 6-3 | 6-4 6-2 | 6-1 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 31 | 19 | 18 | 15 | 102 | |
| pts | 58-45 | 106-81 | 72-53 | 70-52 | 60-37 | 366-268 | |
| Total points | 103 | 187 | 125 | 122 | 97 | 634 | |
| Winners | 33 | 46 | 25 | 23 | 24 | 151 | |
| %Winners | 57% | 43% | 35% | 33% | 40% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 3 | 15 | 2 | 3 | 7 | 30 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 1 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 36/52 | 51/75 | 33/54 | 30/50 | 30/47 | 180/278 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 68% | 61% | 60% | 64% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 33/36 | 46/51 | 25/33 | 23/30 | 24/30 | 151/180 | |
| % 1st pts | 92% | 90% | 76% | 77% | 80% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/16 | 16/24 | 15/21 | 13/20 | 10/17 | 61/98 | |
| % 2nd pts | 44% | 67% | 71% | 65% | 59% | 62% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 4 | 16 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 3/9 | 3/6 | 4/11 | 4/9 | 16/39 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 33% | 50% | 36% | 44% | 41% | |
| Conceded | 0 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 3 | 10 | |
| Saved | 0/0 | 1/2 | 3/4 | 0/1 | 3/3 | 7 | |
| Saved % | – | 50% | 75% | 0% | 100% | 45% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 3 | |
| Dimitrov | |||||||
| R2 Tabilo |
R3 Hanfmann |
R4 Hurkacz |
1/4 Alcaraz |
1/2 Zverev |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 7-65 6-2 | 6-1 6-0 | 3-6 6-3 7-63 | 6-2 6-4 | 6-4 6-74 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 13 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 13 | 31 | 18 | 33 | 129 | |
| pts | 109-101 | 49-17 | 109-105 | 64-51 | 99-89 | 430-363 | |
| Total points | 210 | 66 | 214 | 115 | 188 | 793 | |
| Winners | 59 | 21 | 50 | 27 | 51 | 208 | |
| %Winners | 54% | 43% | 46% | 42% | 52% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 23 | 2 | 9 | 4 | 18 | 56 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 2 | 9 | |
| 1st in | 67/97 | 23/32 | 72/104 | 35/56 | 65/96 | 262/385 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 72% | 69% | 63% | 68% | 68% | |
| 1st pts | 59/67 | 21/23 | 50/72 | 27/35 | 51/65 | 208/262 | |
| % 1st pts | 88% | 91% | 69% | 77% | 78% | 79% | |
| 2nd pts | 17/30 | 7/9 | 21/32 | 10/21 | 20/31 | 75/123 | |
| % 2nd pts | 57% | 78% | 66% | 48% | 65% | 61% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 2 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2 | 14 | |
| Converted | 2/9 | 5/9 | 1/5 | 4/8 | 2/2 | 14/33 | |
| Converted % | 22% | 56% | 20% | 50% | 100% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 3 | 0 | 5 | 5 | 2 | 15 | |
| Saved | 3/3 | 0/0 | 4/5 | 4/5 | 2/2 | 13 | |
| Saved % | 100% | – | 80% | 80% | 100% | 72% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
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LWWLWLWWWL 
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Grigor DimitrovDimitrov – Jannik SinnerSinner (1-2) – H2H and prediction
