Elena Rybakina and Danielle Rose Collins will clash against each other in the final of the Miami Open for the 5^th time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 3:00 pm on STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elena Rybakina who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Elena Rybakina is the pick to win this match.
Elena Rybakina -> 1.53
Danielle Rose Collins -> 2.57

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Prediction and head to head Elena Rybakina vs. Danielle Rose Collins

This will be the 5^th time that Elena Rybakina and Danielle Rose Collins face off. The head to head is 3-1 for Rybakina (see full H2H stats), 3-1 on hard.

The last time that they squared off, Rybakina won 4-6 6-3 6-3 in the 2^nd round in Abu Dhabi back in February 2024.

Highlights Elena Rybakina vs Danielle Rose Collins – Abu Dhabi 08-February-2024

Elena Rybakina

Ranked no. 4, Rybakina got to the final after beating Clara Tauson 3-6 7-5 6-4, Taylor Townsend 6-3 6-7³ 6-4, Madison Keys 6-3 7-5, Maria Sakkari 7-5 6-7⁴ 6-4 and Victoria Azarenka 6-4 0-6 7-6².

In the semifinal, Rybakina defeated Azarenka (6-4 0-6 7-6²).During the match, Rybakina scored less points (7) than Azarenka. In fact, the world no. 4 won 88 points vs Azarenka’s. That means that Rybakina was more focused during the important points. Elena was exceptionally aggressive to blast 40 winners.

Talking about the service games, Rybakina struck 11 aces and she committed only 3 double faults. Elena Rybakina lost the serve 4 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Rybakina put 58% of her first serves in, winning 82% (40/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 37% (13/35) on the 2nd serve. The Kazakhstani broke Azarenka twice after converting 18% of her break points (2/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Rybakina has conceded 4 set in this tournament to win 52% of the points she played.

Rybakina has a good win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 70% of her matches (311-135). 22-3 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Rybakina has a composed 149-69 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Her best result of the season was conquering the title in Brisbane where she beat Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-0 6-3 and in Abu Dhabi where she beat Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-1 6-4.

Elena has an overall 22-3 win-loss record in 2024, 22-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Danielle Rose Collins

Ranked no. 53, Collins reached the final after defeating Bernarda Pera 3-6 6-1 6-1, Anastasia Potapova 6-2 6-2, Elina Avanesyan 6-1 6-2, Sorana Cirstea 6-3 6-2, Caroline Garcia 6-3 6-2 and Ekaterina Alexandrova 6-3 6-2

.

In the semifinal, Collins had a good straight sets win against Alexandrova (6-3 6-2). During the match Collins scored 61 points vs Alexandrova’s 38. The American was very aggressive to blast 19 winners.

About the serving games, Collins fired 5 aces and she was very consistent in conceding no double faults for the entire match. Overall, Danielle Rose Collins was pretty effective on serve to win 79% (19/24) of her 1st serve and 74% (17/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent her to concede the serve once. The American broke Alexandrova 4 times after converting 33% of her break points (4/12).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Danielle has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 59% of the points she played.

Danielle’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in Miami.

The American has a composed 19-7 win-loss record in 2024, 19-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2018. See her history.

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Points	Rybakina	Collins
Match played	5	6
Tot Set	14	13
Tot Games	148	105
Pts	488-457	409-279
Total Points	945	688
Winners	209	150
%Winners	43%	37%

Rybakina played 5 matches while Collins competed in 6 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Elena Rybakina lost 4 sets, while Danielle Rose Collins dropped 1 set. Rybakina has played 1 set more than Collins (14 vs 13). Therefore, Rybakina played 43 games more than Collins. Elena scored 209 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, The American blasted 150 winners (37%).

Serve Performance

Serve	Rybakina	Collins
Aces	48	30
Avg per match	9.6	5
1st in	271/460	194/353
%1st in	59%	55%
1st pts	209/271	150/194
%1st pts	77%	77%
2nd pts	86/189	90/159
%2nd pts	46%	57%

Rybakina scored 48 aces (9.6 per match). Collins struck 30 aces (5 per match). Rybakina won 77% points on her first serve. She quite strong on her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Collins won 77% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 57% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks	Rybakina	Collins
Won	19	26
Converted	19/59	26/59
% Converted	32%	44%
Conceded	35	25
Saved	20	20
% Saved	57%	80%
Times Broken	15	5

The Kazakhstani broke her opponents 19 times with a 32% conversion rate. Rybakina dropped her serve 15 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 26 times with a 44% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 80% of the break points that she conceded.

Rybakina
	R2 Tauson	R3 Townsend	R4 Keys	1/4 Sakkari	1/2 Azarenka	Total
Score	3-6 7-5 6-4	6-3 6-73 6-4	6-3 7-5	7-5 6-74 6-4	6-4 0-6 7-62
Tot Set	3	3	2	3	3	14
Tot Games	31	32	21	35	29	148
pts	109-104	104-97	71-55	116-106	88-95	488-457
Total points	213	201	126	222	183	945
Winners	41	47	33	48	40	209
%Winners	38%	45%	46%	41%	45%	43%
SERVE
Aces	6	16	5	10	11	48
Double Faults	5	3	1	5	3	17
1st in	59/103	60/106	41/63	62/104	49/84	271/460
% 1st in	57%	57%	65%	60%	58%	59%
1st pts	41/59	47/60	33/41	48/62	40/49	209/271
% 1st pts	69%	78%	80%	77%	82%	77%
2nd pts	19/44	22/46	11/22	21/42	13/35	86/189
% 2nd pts	43%	48%	50%	50%	37%	46%
Breaks
Won	5	4	3	5	2	19
Converted	5/14	4/10	3/8	5/16	2/11	19/59
Converted %	36%	40%	38%	31%	18%	32%
Conceded	10	7	2	8	8	35
Saved	5/10	5/7	1/2	5/8	4/8	20
Saved %	50%	71%	50%	63%	50%	57%
Times Broken	5	2	1	3	4	15

Collins
	R1 Pera	R2 Potapova	R3 Avanesyan	R4 Cirstea	1/4 Garcia	1/2 Alexandrova	Total
Score	3-6 6-1 6-1	6-2 6-2	6-1 6-2	6-3 6-2	6-3 6-2	6-3 6-2
Tot Set	3	2	2	2	2	2	13
Tot Games	23	16	15	17	17	17	105
pts	95-75	57-31	63-40	72-54	61-41	61-38	409-279
Total points	170	88	103	126	102	99	688
Winners	39	15	21	30	26	19	150
%Winners	41%	26%	33%	42%	43%	31%	37%
SERVE
Aces	12	1	3	6	3	5	30
Double Faults	9	3	5	2	2	0	21
1st in	53/93	20/45	28/48	40/71	29/49	24/47	194/353
% 1st in	57%	44%	58%	56%	59%	51%	55%
1st pts	39/53	15/20	21/28	30/40	26/29	19/24	150/194
% 1st pts	74%	75%	75%	75%	90%	79%	77%
2nd pts	19/40	17/25	9/20	16/31	12/20	17/23	90/159
% 2nd pts	48%	68%	45%	52%	60%	74%	57%
Breaks
Won	5	5	6	3	3	4	26
Converted	5/13	5/7	6/11	3/8	3/8	4/12	26/59
Converted %	38%	71%	55%	38%	38%	33%	44%
Conceded	12	2	4	3	0	4	25
Saved	10/12	1/2	3/4	3/3	0/0	3/4	20
Saved %	83%	50%	75%	100%	–	75%	77%
Times Broken	2	1	1	0	0	1	5

Tennis Scores in Miami

• Paolo LorenziLorenzi – Daniel Gimeno-TraverGimeno-Traver (7-6² 6-7⁵ 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Elena RybakinaRybakina (1-3) – H2H and prediction