Ekaterina Alexandrova and Danielle Rose Collins will clash against each other in the semifinal of the Miami Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 8:30 pm on STADIUM. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Danielle Rose Collins who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Danielle Rose Collins is the pick to win this match.
Danielle Rose Collins -> 1.74
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 2.1
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Prediction and head to head Ekaterina Alexandrova vs. Danielle Rose Collins
There is no head to head record between Ekaterina Alexandrova and Danielle Rose Collins since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Ekaterina Alexandrova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-11 | 9-7 | 0-3 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-21 | 17-13 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-18 | 12-10 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-23 | 10-9 | 6-5 | 7-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-12 | 9-4 | 4-5 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16 (career-high), Alexandrova got to the semifinal after beating Donna Vekic 6-3 6-4, Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-4 3-6 6-3, Iga Swiatek 6-4 6-2 and Jessica Pegula 3-6 6-4 6-4.
In the quarter against Pegula, Alexandrova recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-4 6-4).During the match, Alexandrova scored less points (3) than Pegula. In fact, the world no. 16 won 85 points vs Pegula’s. That means that Alexandrova was more focused during the important points. Ekaterina was pretty aggressive to blast 44 winners.
Regarding the service games, Alexandrova scored 3 aces and she committed only 7 double faults. Ekaterina Alexandrova lost the serve 4 times and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Alexandrova put 60% of her first serves in, winning 79% (44/56) of the points behind her 1st serve and 34% (13/38) on the 2nd serve. Ekaterina broke Pegula 4 times after converting 50% of her break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Alexandrova has conceded 2 set in this event to win 53% of the points she played.
Alexandrova has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (313-199). 9-6 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alexandrova has a composed 99-79 record in the last years on hard.
Alexandrova’s best result of the current year was reaching the final in Linz.
Alexandrova has a compiled 12-7 win-loss record in 2024, 9-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Danielle Rose Collins
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 27-7 | 20-7 | 7-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 22-18 | 19-15 | 0-2 | 2-0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 21-12 | 17-6 | 3-4 | 1-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 40-15 | 23-10 | 11-3 | 5-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-6 | 6-5 | 4-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 53, Danielle reached the semifinal after beating Bernarda Pera 3-6 6-1 6-1, Anastasia Potapova 6-2 6-2, Elina Avanesyan 6-1 6-2, Sorana Cirstea 6-3 6-2 and Caroline Garcia 6-3 6-2.
In the quarter, Danielle had a good straight sets win against Garcia (6-3 6-2). During the match Collins scored 61 points vs Garcia’s 41. Danielle was pretty aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Collins fired 3 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Danielle Rose Collins was exceptionally efficient on serve to win 90% (26/29) of her 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Collins broke Garcia 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Danielle has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 59% of the points she played.
Danielle has an aggregate 18-7 win-loss record in 2024, 18-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, her best result was reaching the semifinal in 2018. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Alexandrova | Collins |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 5 |
| Tot Set | 10 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 94 | 88 |
| Pts | 307-274 | 348-241 |
| Total Points | 581 | 589 |
| Winners | 150 | 131 |
| %Winners | 49% | 38% |
Alexandrova played 4 matches while Collins competed in 5 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Ekaterina Alexandrova surrendered 2 sets, while Danielle Rose Collins lost 1 set. Alexandrova has played 1 set(s) less than Collins (10 vs 11). However, it’s interesting to notice that Alexandrova played 6 games more than Collins. The Russian scored 150 winners (49% of the total points). On the other side, Collins blasted 131 winners (38%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Alexandrova | Collins |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 28 | 25 |
| Avg per match | 7 | 5 |
| 1st in | 195/313 | 170/306 |
| %1st in | 62% | 56% |
| 1st pts | 150/195 | 131/170 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 77% |
| 2nd pts | 54/118 | 73/136 |
| %2nd pts | 46% | 54% |
Alexandrova struck 28 aces (7 per match). Collins scored 25 aces (5 per match). Alexandrova won 77% points behind her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 46% of the points. On the other side, Collins won 77% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Alexandrova | Collins |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 12 | 22 |
| Converted | 12/21 | 22/47 |
| % Converted | 57% | 47% |
| Conceded | 27 | 21 |
| Saved | 21 | 17 |
| % Saved | 78% | 81% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 4 |
The Russian broke her opponents 12 times with a 57% conversion rate. Ekaterina surrendered her serve 6 times and she saved 78% of the break points that she conceded. Danielle broke her opponents 22 times with a 47% conversion rate. Collins conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 81% of the break points that she conceded.
| Alexandrova | ||||||
| R2 Vekic |
R3 Pavlyuchenkova |
R4 Swiatek |
1/4 Pegula |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | 6-4 6-2 | 3-6 6-4 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 3 | 10 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 28 | 18 | 29 | 94 | |
| pts | 73-54 | 85-82 | 64-50 | 85-88 | 307-274 | |
| Total points | 127 | 167 | 114 | 173 | 581 | |
| Winners | 38 | 42 | 26 | 44 | 150 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 49% | 41% | 52% | 49% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 8 | 9 | 8 | 3 | 28 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 22 | |
| 1st in | 45/67 | 60/94 | 34/58 | 56/94 | 195/313 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 64% | 59% | 60% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 38/45 | 42/60 | 26/34 | 44/56 | 150/195 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 70% | 76% | 79% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/22 | 18/34 | 14/24 | 13/38 | 54/118 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 53% | 58% | 34% | 46% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 3 | 4 | 12 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 3/3 | 3/6 | 4/8 | 12/21 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 100% | 50% | 50% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 8 | 1 | 9 | 27 | |
| Saved | 9/9 | 6/8 | 1/1 | 5/9 | 21 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 100% | 56% | 83% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 0 | 4 | 6 | |
| Collins | |||||||
| R1 Pera |
R2 Potapova |
R3 Avanesyan |
R4 Cirstea |
1/4 Garcia |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-1 6-1 | 6-2 6-2 | 6-1 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 23 | 16 | 15 | 17 | 17 | 88 | |
| pts | 95-75 | 57-31 | 63-40 | 72-54 | 61-41 | 348-241 | |
| Total points | 170 | 88 | 103 | 126 | 102 | 589 | |
| Winners | 39 | 15 | 21 | 30 | 26 | 131 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 26% | 33% | 42% | 43% | 38% | |
| SERVE | |||||||
| Aces | 12 | 1 | 3 | 6 | 3 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 9 | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 21 | |
| 1st in | 53/93 | 20/45 | 28/48 | 40/71 | 29/49 | 170/306 | |
| % 1st in | 57% | 44% | 58% | 56% | 59% | 56% | |
| 1st pts | 39/53 | 15/20 | 21/28 | 30/40 | 26/29 | 131/170 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 75% | 75% | 75% | 90% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 19/40 | 17/25 | 9/20 | 16/31 | 12/20 | 73/136 | |
| % 2nd pts | 48% | 68% | 45% | 52% | 60% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||||
| Won | 5 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 3 | 22 | |
| Converted | 5/13 | 5/7 | 6/11 | 3/8 | 3/8 | 22/47 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 71% | 55% | 38% | 38% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 12 | 2 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 21 | |
| Saved | 10/12 | 1/2 | 3/4 | 3/3 | 0/0 | 17 | |
| Saved % | 83% | 50% | 75% | 100% | – | 77% | |
| Times Broken | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 4 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLLWWWWLL
WWWWWWWWWW Tennis Scores in Miami
- Paolo LorenziLorenzi – Zdenek KolarKolar (6-4 6-0) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniel Gimeno-TraverGimeno-Traver – Pedro CachinCachin (7-5 6-1) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (3-0) – H2H and prediction
