H2H, prediction of Carlos Alcaraz vs Grigor Dimitrov in Miami with odds, preview, pick | 28th March 2024

PREVIEW. Miami. Alcaraz and Dimitrov will square off in the quarter of the Miami Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their next match on Thursday the 28th of March

Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Grigor Dimitrov

Carlos Alcaraz and Grigor Dimitrov will square off in the quarter of the Miami Open for the 5th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Thursday at 7:00 pm on STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Carlos Alcaraz who should win in 2 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Carlos Alcaraz is the pick to win this match.
Carlos Alcaraz -> 1.23
Grigor Dimitrov -> 4.2

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Carlos Alcaraz vs. Grigor Dimitrov

This will be the 5th time that Carlos Alcaraz and Grigor Dimitrov clash against each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Alcaraz (see full H2H stats), but Dimitrov leads 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they fought against each other, Dimitrov won 5-7 6-2 6-4 in the 4th round in Shanghai back in 2023.

Highlights Grigor Dimitrov vs Carlos Alcaraz – Shanghai 11-October-2023

Carlos Alcaraz

Carlos Alcaraz
Carlos Alcaraz

15 - 4win/loss

Hard
13-2
I Hard
0-0
Clay
2-2
Rank
3
High
1
LWLWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 52-11 22-5 17-4 5-1 8-1 0-0
2023 65-12 26-6 25-3 2-3 12-0 0-0
2022 57-13 21-4 27-4 6-4 3-1 0-0
2021 48-19 15-8 22-7 10-3 1-1 0-0
2020 39-7 10-0 29-7 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 2, Carlos reached the quarter after beating Roberto Carballes Baena 6-2 6-1, Gael Monfils 6-2 6-4 and Lorenzo Musetti 6-3 6-3.

In the 4th round, The Spaniard had a good straight sets win against Musetti (6-3 6-3). During the match, Alcaraz scored 64 points vs Musetti’s 50. Carlos was very aggressive to blast 26 winners.

Talking about the service games, Alcaraz bagged 3 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Overall, Carlos Alcaraz was very effective on serve to win 74% (26/35) of his 1st serve and 55% (11/20) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Carlos broke Musetti 4 times after converting 36% of his break points (4/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Carlos hasn’t surrendered yet a set in this tournament to win 59% of the points he played.

Alcaraz has a fantastic match record in the last 7 years having won 79% of his matches (248-66). 13-1 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Alcaraz has an overall88-21 record in the last 7 years on hard.

His best result of the current season was winning the title in Indian Wells where he beat Daniil Medvedev in the final 7-6(5) 6-1.

The Spaniard has an aggregate 15-3 win-loss record in 2024, 13-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Alcaraz
Miami
Alcaraz's Record

Grigor Dimitrov

Grigor Dimitrov
Grigor Dimitrov

19 - 4win/loss

Hard
13-2
I Hard
6-2
Rank
10
High
3
LWWLWLWWWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 46-18 21-7 8-4 13-5 4-2 0-0
2023 43-21 16-10 10-5 10-4 7-2 0-0
2022 26-22 10-11 10-5 5-4 1-2 0-0
2021 24-18 18-10 3-5 2-2 1-1 0-0
2020 18-11 8-5 6-2 4-4 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 12, Grigor got to the quarter after beating Alejandro Tabilo 6-75 7-65 6-2, Yannick Hanfmann 6-1 6-0 and Hubert Hurkacz 3-6 6-3 7-63.

In the 4th round against Hurkacz, Grigor recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (3-6 6-3 7-63). During the match Dimitrov scored 109 points vs Hurkacz’s 105. The Bulgarian was quite aggressive to blast 50 winners.

About the serving games, Dimitrov struck 9 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Grigor Dimitrov lost the serve once and he saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Dimitrov put 69% of his first serves in, winning 69% (50/72) of the points behind his 1st serve and 66% (21/32) on the 2nd serve. Grigor broke Hurkacz once after converting 20% of his break points (1/5).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Dimitrov has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points he played.

His best result of the season was winning the title in Brisbane where he overcame Holger Rune in the final 7-6(5) 6-4.

The Bulgarian has a compiled 18-4 win-loss record in 2024, 12-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Previously, his best result was reaching the 4th round in 2012 and 2016. See his history.

Dimitrov
Miami
Dimitrov's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

C.Alcaraz
G.Dimitrov
4h:05
4h:05
Time on court​
5h:54
5h:54
1h:26
1h:26
Last match​
!
2h:42
2h:42
3
3
Match played
3
3
51
51
Games Played​
78
78
6
6
Set played​​
8
8
181
181
Total points​
267
267
60.3
60.3
Avg point​
89
89
82
82
Winners
130
130
27.3
27.3
Avg Winners​
43.3
43.3
45%
45%
Ratio winners
49%
49%
-- Serve --
7
7
Aces
34
34
2.3
2.3
Avg Aces
!
11.3
11.3
2
2
Double Faults
7
7
0.7
0.7
Avg Double Faults
2.3
2.3
82/107
82/107
1st won total​
130/162
130/162
!
77%
77%
1st won %
!
80%
80%
20/43
20/43
2nd won total​
45/71
45/71
47%
47%
2nd won %
!
63%
63%
-- Break Points --
13/26
13/26
BP won
8/23
8/23
4.3/8.7
4.3/8.7
Avg BP won
2.7/7.7
2.7/7.7
50%
50%
Won
35%
35%
8
8
Conceded
8
8
2.7
2.7
Avg Conceded
2.7
2.7
2
2
Broken
1
1
!
0.7
0.7
Avg Broken
!
0.3
0.3
6
6
Saved
7
7

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Alcaraz Dimitrov
Match played 3 3
Tot Set 6 8
Tot Games 51 78
Pts 181-128 267-223
Total Points 309 490
Winners 82 130
%Winners 45% 49%

Both Alcaraz and Dimitrov played 3 matches. At the moment, Grigor Dimitrov surrendered 2 sets while Carlos Alcaraz hasn’t conceded a set so far. Alcaraz has played 2 set(s) less than Dimitrov (6 vs 8). Therefore, Alcaraz played 27 games less than Dimitrov. Carlos scored 82 winners (45% of the total points). On the other side, Dimitrov made 130 winners (49%).

Serve Performance

Serve Alcaraz Dimitrov
Aces 7 34
Avg per match 2.3 11.3
1st in 107/150 162/233
%1st in 71% 70%
1st pts 82/107 130/162
%1st pts 77% 80%
2nd pts 20/43 45/71
%2nd pts 47% 63%

Alcaraz struck 7 aces (2.3 per match). Dimitrov fired 34 aces (11.3 per match). Alcaraz won 77% points on his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 47% of the points. On the other side, Dimitrov won 80% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 63% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Alcaraz Dimitrov
Won 13 8
Converted 13/26 8/23
% Converted 50% 35%
Conceded 8 8
Saved 6 7
% Saved 75% 88%
Times Broken 2 1

Carlos broke his opponents 13 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Spaniard lost his serve twice and he saved 75% of the break points that he conceded. The Bulgarian broke his opponents 8 times with a 35% conversion rate. Grigor conceded his serve once and he saved 88% of the break points that he conceded.

Alcaraz
R2
Carballes Baena
R3
Monfils
R4
Musetti
Total
Score 6-2 6-1 6-2 6-4 6-3 6-3
Tot Set 2 2 2 6
Tot Games 15 18 18 51
pts 60-41 57-37 64-50 181-128
Total points 101 94 114 309
Winners 27 29 26 82
%Winners 45% 51% 41% 45%
SERVE
Aces 3 1 3 7
Double Faults 1 0 1 2
1st in 34/48 38/47 35/55 107/150
% 1st in 71% 81% 64% 71%
1st pts 27/34 29/38 26/35 82/107
% 1st pts 79% 76% 74% 77%
2nd pts 5/14 4/9 11/20 20/43
% 2nd pts 36% 44% 55% 47%
Breaks
Won 5 4 4 13
Converted 5/9 4/6 4/11 13/26
Converted % 56% 67% 36% 50%
Conceded 3 2 3 8
Saved 3/3 1/2 2/3 6
Saved % 100% 50% 67% 72%
Times Broken 0 1 1 2
Dimitrov
R2
Tabilo
R3
Hanfmann
R4
Hurkacz
Total
Score 6-75 7-65 6-2 6-1 6-0 3-6 6-3 7-63
Tot Set 3 2 3 8
Tot Games 34 13 31 78
pts 109-101 49-17 109-105 267-223
Total points 210 66 214 490
Winners 59 21 50 130
%Winners 54% 43% 46% 49%
SERVE
Aces 23 2 9 34
Double Faults 4 1 2 7
1st in 67/97 23/32 72/104 162/233
% 1st in 69% 72% 69% 70%
1st pts 59/67 21/23 50/72 130/162
% 1st pts 88% 91% 69% 80%
2nd pts 17/30 7/9 21/32 45/71
% 2nd pts 57% 78% 66% 63%
Breaks
Won 2 5 1 8
Converted 2/9 5/9 1/5 8/23
Converted % 22% 56% 20% 35%
Conceded 3 0 5 8
Saved 3/3 0/0 4/5 7
Saved % 100% 80% 60%
Times Broken 0 0 1 1

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Alcaraz
LWLWWWWWWW
Dimitrov
LWWLWLWWWL
2024 2023 2022
50 - 11
46 - 18
22-5
Hard
21-7
3-1
I Hard
13-5
17-4
Clay
8-4
8-1
Grass
4-2

Tennis Scores in Miami

  • Jannik SinnerSinnerTomas MachacMachac (6-4 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Marcel Granollers/Horacio ZeballosGranollers/Horacio ZeballosLloyd Glasspool/Jean-Julien RojerGlasspool/Jean-Julien Rojer (7-64 3-6 12-10) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Ivan Dodig/Austin KrajicekDodig/Austin KrajicekMarcelo Melo/Edouard Roger-VasselinMelo/Edouard Roger-Vasselin (7-61 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Rohan Bopanna/Matthew EbdenBopanna/Matthew EbdenJohn-Patrick Smith/Sem VerbeekSmith/Sem Verbeek (3-6 7-64 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim PuetzRajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury (6-3 6-75 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
  • Daniil MedvedevDaniilNicolas JarryNicolas (6-2 7-6(7)) – See score progression
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw