Jessica Pegula and Ekaterina Alexandrova will square off in the quarter of the Miami Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Wednesday at 7:00 pm on STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.571
Ekaterina Alexandrova -> 2.41
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Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Ekaterina Alexandrova
This will be the 2nd time that Jessica Pegula and Ekaterina Alexandrova clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Pegula (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Pegula won 6-2 6-4 in the 3rd round in Rome back in 2021.
Jessica Pegula
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 39-16 | 29-9 | 4-2 | 0-2 | 6-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 59-18 | 45-12 | 8-4 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 42-21 | 28-15 | 11-4 | 1-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 39-19 | 29-12 | 6-4 | 0-0 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 17-9 | 16-7 | 0-1 | 1-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 5, the American reached the quarter after beating Lin Zhu 6-4 4-1 ret., Leylah Annie Fernandez 7-5 6-4 and Emma Navarro 7-61 6-3.
In the 4th round, Jessica had a good straight sets win against Navarro (7-61 6-3). During the match, Pegula scored 74 points vs Navarro’s 64. Pegula was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.
Talking about the service games, Pegula struck 4 aces and she was extremely steady in conceding no double faults. Jessica Pegula lost the serve twice and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 64% of her first serves in, winning 66% (33/50) of the points behind her 1st serve and 61% (17/28) on the 2nd serve. The American broke Navarro 3 times after converting 50% of her break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Jessica hasn’t dropped yet a set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points she played.
Pegula has a solid win-loss record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (307-169). 9-4 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this competition, Pegula has an aggregate 195-94 match record in the last years on hard.
Jessica’s best result of the current year was reaching the semifinal in Adelaide and San Diego.
The American has an aggregate 9-4 win-loss record in 2024, 9-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Ekaterina Alexandrova
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 26-24 | 17-13 | 1-7 | 3-1 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-21 | 17-13 | 6-5 | 0-1 | 10-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 35-18 | 12-10 | 13-5 | 4-2 | 6-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 26-23 | 10-9 | 6-5 | 7-7 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-12 | 9-4 | 4-5 | 7-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 16 (career-high), Ekaterina got to the quarter after beating Donna Vekic 6-3 6-4, Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-4 3-6 6-3 and Iga Swiatek 6-4 6-2.
In the 4th round, Ekaterina had a good straight sets win against Swiatek (6-4 6-2). During the match Alexandrova scored 64 points vs Swiatek’s 50. Alexandrova was quite aggressive to blast 26 winners.
About the serving games, Alexandrova recorded 8 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Ekaterina Alexandrova was pretty effective on serve to win 76% (26/34) of her 1st serve and 58% (14/24) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Alexandrova broke Swiatek 3 times after converting 50% of her break points (3/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 54% of the points she played.
Alexandrova’s best result of the current season was getting to the final in Linz.
The Russian has an aggregate 11-7 win-loss record in 2024, 8-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, her best result was reaching the quarter in 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Pegula | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 7 | 7 |
| Tot Games | 59 | 65 |
| Pts | 210-170 | 222-186 |
| Total Points | 380 | 408 |
| Winners | 83 | 106 |
| %Winners | 40% | 48% |
Both Pegula and Alexandrova played 3 matches. At the moment, Ekaterina Alexandrova lost 1 set while Jessica Pegula hasn’t dropped a set so far. Talking about their workload, Pegula and Alexandrova have played the same amount of sets 7. However, Pegula played 6 games less than Alexandrova. Jessica scored 83 winners (40% of the total points). On the other side, The Russian bagged 106 winners (48%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Pegula | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 10 | 25 |
| Avg per match | 3.3 | 8.3 |
| 1st in | 119/183 | 139/219 |
| %1st in | 65% | 63% |
| 1st pts | 83/119 | 106/139 |
| %1st pts | 70% | 76% |
| 2nd pts | 37/64 | 41/80 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 51% |
Pegula scored 10 aces (3.3 per match). Alexandrova scored 25 aces (8.3 per match). Pegula won 70% points behind her first serve. She pretty effective on her second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Alexandrova won 76% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Pegula | Alexandrova |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 11 | 8 |
| Converted | 11/26 | 8/13 |
| % Converted | 42% | 62% |
| Conceded | 21 | 18 |
| Saved | 15 | 16 |
| % Saved | 71% | 89% |
| Times Broken | 6 | 2 |
Pegula broke her opponents 11 times with a 42% conversion rate. Jessica lost her serve 6 times and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded. Alexandrova broke her opponents 8 times with a 62% conversion rate. Alexandrova conceded her serve twice and she saved 89% of the break points that she conceded.
| Pegula | |||||
| R2 Zhu |
R3 Annie |
R4 Navarro |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 4-1 ret. | 7-5 6-4 | 7-61 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 22 | 22 | 59 | |
| pts | 59-40 | 77-66 | 74-64 | 210-170 | |
| Total points | 99 | 143 | 138 | 380 | |
| Winners | 19 | 31 | 33 | 83 | |
| %Winners | 32% | 40% | 45% | 40% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 1 | 4 | 10 | |
| Double Faults | 1 | 1 | 0 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 25/42 | 44/63 | 50/78 | 119/183 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 70% | 64% | 65% | |
| 1st pts | 19/25 | 31/44 | 33/50 | 83/119 | |
| % 1st pts | 76% | 70% | 66% | 70% | |
| 2nd pts | 12/17 | 8/19 | 17/28 | 37/64 | |
| % 2nd pts | 71% | 42% | 61% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 5 | 3 | 11 | |
| Converted | 3/7 | 5/13 | 3/6 | 11/26 | |
| Converted % | 43% | 38% | 50% | 42% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 9 | 8 | 21 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 6/9 | 6/8 | 15 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 67% | 75% | 72% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 3 | 2 | 6 | |
| Alexandrova | |||||
| R2 Vekic |
R3 Pavlyuchenkova |
R4 Swiatek |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-4 | 6-4 3-6 6-3 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 | 2 | 7 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 28 | 18 | 65 | |
| pts | 73-54 | 85-82 | 64-50 | 222-186 | |
| Total points | 127 | 167 | 114 | 408 | |
| Winners | 38 | 42 | 26 | 106 | |
| %Winners | 52% | 49% | 41% | 48% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 8 | 9 | 8 | 25 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 5 | 4 | 15 | |
| 1st in | 45/67 | 60/94 | 34/58 | 139/219 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 64% | 59% | 63% | |
| 1st pts | 38/45 | 42/60 | 26/34 | 106/139 | |
| % 1st pts | 84% | 70% | 76% | 76% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/22 | 18/34 | 14/24 | 41/80 | |
| % 2nd pts | 41% | 53% | 58% | 51% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 2 | 3 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 2/4 | 3/3 | 3/6 | 8/13 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 100% | 50% | 62% | |
| Conceded | 9 | 8 | 1 | 18 | |
| Saved | 9/9 | 6/8 | 1/1 | 16 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 75% | 100% | 92% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 0 | 2 | |
Head 2 Head
LLLWLWWLWW
LWWWLLWLWW Tennis Scores in Miami
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva (7-64 1-6 6-3) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Maria SakkariSakkari (7-5 6-74 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Asia Muhammad/Alycia ParksMuhammad/Alycia Parks – Anhelina Kalinina/Dayana YastremskaKalinina/Dayana Yastremska (5-7 6-3 10-6) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Zdenek KolarKolar – Maxime JanvierJanvier (6-4 2-6 7-5) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Daniel Gimeno-TraverGimeno-Traver – Tommy RobredoRobredo (6-4 7-64) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Pedro CachinCachin – Thiemo de Bakkerde Bakker (6-3 3-6 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Paolo LorenziLorenzi – Oscar OtteOtte (3-6 6-3 6-2) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-3) – H2H and prediction
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (3-0) – H2H and prediction
