Daniil Medvedev and Nicolas Jarry will square off in the quarter of the Miami Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Wednesday at 8:30 pm on STADIUM. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Daniil Medvedev who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Daniil Medvedev is the pick to win this match.
Daniil Medvedev -> 1.142
Nicolas Jarry -> 5.7
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Prediction and head to head Daniil Medvedev vs. Nicolas Jarry
This will be the 2nd time that Daniil Medvedev and Nicolas Jarry square off. The head to head is 1-0 for Medvedev (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they squared off, Medvedev won 6-3 6-4 in the quarter in Barcelona back in 2019.
Daniil Medvedev
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 8-5 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 46-21 | 28-9 | 11-5 | 1-5 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 66-18 | 38-8 | 10-3 | 11-4 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 45-19 | 26-8 | 3-2 | 8-6 | 8-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 63-13 | 33-5 | 5-3 | 18-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 4, the Russian got to the quarter after defeating Marton Fucsovics 6-4 6-2, Cameron Norrie 7-5 6-1 and Dominik Koepfer 7-65 6-0.
In the 4th round, Medvedev had a good straight sets win against Koepfer (7-65 6-0). During the match, Medvedev scored 70 points vs Koepfer’s 55. Daniil was exceptionally aggressive to blast 28 winners.
Regarding the service games, Medvedev struck 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault. Daniil Medvedev lost the serve once. Furthermore, Medvedev put 71% of his first serves in, winning 70% (28/40) of the points behind his 1st serve and 56% (9/16) on the 2nd serve. Daniil broke Koepfer 4 times after converting 44% of his break points (4/9).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Russian hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 57% of the points he played.
Medvedev has an impressive match record in the last 10 years having won 72% of his matches (481-190). 17-3 on hard in 2024. Regarding his performance on the same surface of this event, Medvedev has a compiled 235-72 win-loss record in the last years on hard.
Daniil’s best result of the current season was reaching the final at the Australian Open and Indian Wells.
Daniil has an aggregate 17-3 win-loss record in 2024, 17-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Nicolas Jarry
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | 3-5 | 2-2 | 1-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2024 | 19-24 | 8-11 | 9-9 | 2-3 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 43-21 | 14-7 | 21-8 | 4-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 38-23 | 8-5 | 30-16 | 0-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-22 | 13-4 | 32-17 | 0-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 23, Jarry reached the quarter after beating Jack Draper 7-65 4-6 7-62, Thiago Seyboth Wild 6-71 7-5 6-3 and Casper Ruud 7-63 6-3.
In the 4th round, Jarry had a good straight sets win against Ruud (7-63 6-3). During the match Jarry scored 75 points vs Ruud’s 57. The Chilean was quite aggressive to blast 36 winners.
About the serving games, Jarry managed to score 8 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Nicolas Jarry was pretty effective on serve to win 88% (36/41) of his 1st serve and 63% (15/24) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Nicolas broke Ruud twice after converting 33% of his break points (2/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Nicolas has conceded 2 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.
Nicolas’s best result of the current year was getting to the final Buenos Aires.
Jarry has a composed 11-7 win-loss record in 2024, 7-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, his best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2018. See his history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Medvedev | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 3 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 6 | 8 |
| Tot Games | 56 | 92 |
| Pts | 196-150 | 304-268 |
| Total Points | 346 | 572 |
| Winners | 81 | 155 |
| %Winners | 41% | 51% |
Both Medvedev and Jarry played 3 matches. At the moment, Nicolas Jarry conceded 2 sets while Daniil Medvedev hasn’t dropped a set so far. Medvedev has played 2 set(s) less than Jarry (6 vs 8). Therefore, Medvedev played 36 games less than Jarry. Daniil scored 81 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, The Chilean struck 155 winners (51%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Medvedev | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 18 | 39 |
| Avg per match | 6 | 13 |
| 1st in | 109/166 | 184/273 |
| %1st in | 66% | 67% |
| 1st pts | 81/109 | 155/184 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 84% |
| 2nd pts | 31/57 | 43/89 |
| %2nd pts | 54% | 48% |
Medvedev struck 18 aces (6 per match). Jarry managed to score 39 aces (13 per match). Medvedev won 74% points on his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 54% of the points. On the other side, Jarry won 84% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 48% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Medvedev | Jarry |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 13 | 7 |
| Converted | 13/23 | 7/25 |
| % Converted | 57% | 28% |
| Conceded | 6 | 10 |
| Saved | 3 | 5 |
| % Saved | 50% | 50% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 5 |
Medvedev broke his opponents 13 times with a 57% conversion rate. Daniil conceded his serve 3 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded. The Chilean broke his opponents 7 times with a 28% conversion rate. Jarry conceded his serve 5 times and he saved 50% of the break points that he conceded.
| Medvedev | |||||
| R2 Fucsovics |
R3 Norrie |
R4 Koepfer |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | 7-5 6-1 | 7-65 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 6 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | 19 | 19 | 56 | |
| pts | 59-43 | 67-52 | 70-55 | 196-150 | |
| Total points | 102 | 119 | 125 | 346 | |
| Winners | 30 | 23 | 28 | 81 | |
| %Winners | 51% | 34% | 40% | 41% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 5 | 6 | 7 | 18 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 4 | 1 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 37/55 | 32/55 | 40/56 | 109/166 | |
| % 1st in | 67% | 58% | 71% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 30/37 | 23/32 | 28/40 | 81/109 | |
| % 1st pts | 81% | 72% | 70% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 10/18 | 12/23 | 9/16 | 31/57 | |
| % 2nd pts | 56% | 52% | 56% | 54% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 6 | 4 | 13 | |
| Converted | 3/3 | 6/11 | 4/9 | 13/23 | |
| Converted % | 100% | 55% | 44% | 57% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 3 | 1 | 6 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 1/3 | 0/1 | 3 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 33% | 0% | 44% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| Jarry | |||||
| R2 Draper |
R3 Seyboth |
R4 Ruud |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 7-65 4-6 7-62 | 6-71 7-5 6-3 | 7-63 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 36 | 34 | 22 | 92 | |
| pts | 123-120 | 106-91 | 75-57 | 304-268 | |
| Total points | 243 | 197 | 132 | 572 | |
| Winners | 60 | 59 | 36 | 155 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 56% | 48% | 51% | |
| SERVE | |||||
| Aces | 18 | 13 | 8 | 39 | |
| Double Faults | 6 | 1 | 1 | 8 | |
| 1st in | 76/115 | 67/93 | 41/65 | 184/273 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 72% | 63% | 67% | |
| 1st pts | 60/76 | 59/67 | 36/41 | 155/184 | |
| % 1st pts | 79% | 88% | 88% | 84% | |
| 2nd pts | 15/39 | 13/26 | 15/24 | 43/89 | |
| % 2nd pts | 38% | 50% | 63% | 48% | |
| Breaks | |||||
| Won | 3 | 2 | 2 | 7 | |
| Converted | 3/11 | 2/8 | 2/6 | 7/25 | |
| Converted % | 27% | 25% | 33% | 28% | |
| Conceded | 8 | 0 | 2 | 10 | |
| Saved | 4/8 | 0/0 | 1/2 | 5 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 50% | 33% | |
| Times Broken | 4 | 0 | 1 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
LWWLWWLWWL
LLWLLLWW Tennis Scores in Miami
- Kevin Krawietz/Tim PuetzKrawietz/Tim Puetz – Rajeev Ram/Joe SalisburyRam/Joe Salisbury (6-3 6-75 10-7) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Alexander ZverevZverev – Karen KhachanovKhachanov (3-2) – H2H and prediction
- Nicolas JarryJarry – Daniil MedvedevMedvedev (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Tomas MachacMachac – Jannik SinnerSinner (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Carlos Alcaraz GarfiaAlcaraz Garfia – Grigor DimitrovDimitrov (3-1) – H2H and prediction
