Maria Sakkari and Anna Kalinskaya will square off in the 4th round of the Miami Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 11:00 am on GRANDSTAND. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Maria Sakkari who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Maria Sakkari is the pick to win this match.
Maria Sakkari -> 1.615
Anna Kalinskaya -> 2.31
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Prediction and head to head Maria Sakkari vs. Anna Kalinskaya
This will be the 2nd time that Maria Sakkari and Anna Kalinskaya face off. The head to head is 1-0 for Sakkari (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they locked horns, Sakkari won 6-2 1-0 ret. in the 2nd round in Moscow back in 2021.
Maria Sakkari
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-8 | 12-6 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 38-25 | 26-17 | 5-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 40-23 | 21-12 | 8-5 | 4-2 | 7-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 38-20 | 23-13 | 9-4 | 5-2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 20-11 | 12-7 | 2-2 | 6-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 9, the Greek reached the 4th round after defeating Yue Yuan 6-2 6-2 and Dayana Yastremska 7-5 6-4.
In the 3rd round, Sakkari had a good straight sets win against Yastremska (7-5 6-4). During the match, Sakkari scored 90 points vs Yastremska’s 83. Maria was pretty aggressive to blast 39 winners.
Talking about the service games, Sakkari recorded 6 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Maria Sakkari lost the serve once and she saved 8 break points. Furthermore, Sakkari put 65% of her first serves in, winning 71% (39/55) of the points behind her 1st serve and 47% (14/30) on the 2nd serve. The Greek broke Yastremska 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Sakkari hasn’t conceded yet a set in this tournament to win 56% of the points she played.
Sakkari has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 61% of her matches (333-217). 12-5 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this competition, Sakkari has a composed 173-114 record in the last years on hard.
Maria’s best result of the current year was getting to the final in Indian Wells.
The Greek has an aggregate 12-5 win-loss record in 2024, 12-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Anna Kalinskaya
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 19-8 | 18-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 28-18 | 16-15 | 7-3 | 5-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-20 | 22-10 | 2-6 | 1-1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 30-23 | 19-12 | 3-7 | 5-2 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 9-8 | 8-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 25, Kalinskaya reached the 4th round after defeating Xiyu Wang 6-2 6-2 and Jelena Ostapenko 6-3 6-1.
In the 3rd round, Anna had a good straight sets win against Ostapenko (6-3 6-1). During the match Kalinskaya scored 60 points vs Ostapenko’s 42. Anna was pretty aggressive to blast 24 winners.
About the serving games, Kalinskaya managed to score 2 aces and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Anna Kalinskaya was very efficient on serve to win 73% (24/33) of her 1st serve and 61% (14/23) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Russian broke Ostapenko 4 times after converting 67% of her break points (4/6).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Anna hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 59% of the points she played.
Anna’s best result of the year was reaching the final in Dubai.
Anna has a compiled 18-6 win-loss record in 2024, 18-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, her best result was reaching the 3rd round in 2021. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sakkari | Kalinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Set | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Games | 38 | 32 |
| Pts | 155-123 | 124-86 |
| Total Points | 278 | 210 |
| Winners | 63 | 56 |
| %Winners | 41% | 45% |
Both Sakkari and Kalinskaya played 2 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Sakkari and Kalinskaya have played the same amount of sets 4. However, Sakkari played 6 games more than Kalinskaya. Sakkari scored 63 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Anna scored 56 winners (45%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sakkari | Kalinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 8 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 2.5 |
| 1st in | 85/132 | 76/110 |
| %1st in | 64% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 63/85 | 56/76 |
| %1st pts | 74% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 23/47 | 20/34 |
| %2nd pts | 49% | 59% |
Sakkari made 8 aces (4 per match). Kalinskaya scored 5 aces (2.5 per match). Sakkari won 74% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Kalinskaya won 74% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sakkari | Kalinskaya |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 8 | 8 |
| Converted | 8/17 | 8/15 |
| % Converted | 47% | 53% |
| Conceded | 13 | 4 |
| Saved | 11 | 4 |
| % Saved | 85% | 100% |
| Times Broken | 2 | 0 |
Sakkari broke her opponents 8 times with a 47% conversion rate. Sakkari surrendered her serve twice and she saved 85% of the break points that she conceded. The Russian broke her opponents 8 times with a 53% conversion rate. Kalinskaya was rock solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 4 break points.
| Sakkari | ||||
| R2 Yuan |
R3 Yastremska |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 22 | 38 | |
| pts | 65-40 | 90-83 | 155-123 | |
| Total points | 105 | 173 | 278 | |
| Winners | 24 | 39 | 63 | |
| %Winners | 37% | 43% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 2 | 6 | 8 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 30/47 | 55/85 | 85/132 | |
| % 1st in | 64% | 65% | 64% | |
| 1st pts | 24/30 | 39/55 | 63/85 | |
| % 1st pts | 80% | 71% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/17 | 14/30 | 23/47 | |
| % 2nd pts | 53% | 47% | 49% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 5 | 3 | 8 | |
| Converted | 5/9 | 3/8 | 8/17 | |
| Converted % | 56% | 38% | 47% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 9 | 13 | |
| Saved | 3/4 | 8/9 | 11 | |
| Saved % | 75% | 89% | 82% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 | |
| Kalinskaya | ||||
| R2 Wang |
R3 Ostapenko |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-2 6-2 | 6-3 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Tot Games | 16 | 16 | 32 | |
| pts | 64-44 | 60-42 | 124-86 | |
| Total points | 108 | 102 | 210 | |
| Winners | 32 | 24 | 56 | |
| %Winners | 50% | 40% | 45% | |
| SERVE | ||||
| Aces | 3 | 2 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 43/54 | 33/56 | 76/110 | |
| % 1st in | 80% | 59% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 32/43 | 24/33 | 56/76 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 73% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 6/11 | 14/23 | 20/34 | |
| % 2nd pts | 55% | 61% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 8 | |
| Converted | 4/9 | 4/6 | 8/15 | |
| Converted % | 44% | 67% | 53% | |
| Conceded | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
| Saved | 2/2 | 2/2 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | 0 | |
Head 2 Head
WWLWWLWWWL
LLWWWLWLWW Tennis Scores in Miami
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Naomi OsakaOsaka (7-64 7-5) – See score progression
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Jasmine PaoliniPaolini (6-2 3-6 6-0) – See score progression
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Daria KasatkinaKasatkina (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Oceane DodinDodin (6-4 6-0) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Linda NoskovaNoskova (6-77 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Jessica PegulaPegula – Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (6-3 6-1) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Qinwen ZhengZheng (6-4 7-5) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Greetje MinnenMinnen (6-2 2-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (6-2 6-3) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Taylor TownsendTownsend (6-3 6-73 6-4) – See score progression
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (6-4 1-6 6-1) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Xinyu WangWang (6-4 7-65) – See score progression
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Linda NoskovaNoskova (6-7(7) 6-4 6-4) – See score progression
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Naomi OsakaOsaka (7-6(4) 7-5) – See score progression
- Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins – Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (3-1) – H2H and prediction
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Caroline GarciaGarcia (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Sorana CirsteaCirstea – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Madison KeysKeys – Elena RybakinaRybakina (2-1) – H2H and prediction
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Katie BoulterBoulter (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Anhelina KalininaKalinina (2-1) – H2H and prediction
