H2H, prediction of Jessica Pegula vs Emma Navarro in Miami with odds, preview, pick | 25th March 2024

PREVIEW. Miami. Pegula and Navarro will face off in the 4th round of the Miami Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Monday the 25th of March

Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Emma Navarro

Jessica Pegula and Emma Navarro will play each other in the 4th round of the Miami Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Monday at 7:00 pm on GRANDSTAND. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Jessica Pegula who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Jessica Pegula is the pick to win this match.
Jessica Pegula -> 1.58
Emma Navarro -> 2.39

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Jessica Pegula vs. Emma Navarro

There is no head to head record between Jessica Pegula and Emma Navarro since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Jessica Pegula

Jessica Pegula
Jessica Pegula

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
3
High
3
WLLWLWLWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 29-10 20-6 9-4 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 39-16 29-9 4-2 0-2 6-3 0-0
2023 59-18 45-12 8-4 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 42-21 28-15 11-4 1-1 2-1 0-0
2021 39-19 29-12 6-4 0-0 4-3 0-0

Ranked no. 5, Pegula reached the 4th round after beating Lin Zhu 6-4 4-1 ret. and Leylah Annie Fernandez 7-5 6-4.

In the 3rd round, Pegula had a good straight sets win against Annie Fernandez (7-5 6-4). During the match, Pegula scored 77 points vs Annie Fernandez’s 66. Pegula was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.

Talking about the service games, Pegula scored just 1 ace during the match and she committed only 1 double fault. Jessica Pegula lost the serve 3 times and she saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Pegula put 70% of her first serves in, winning 70% (31/44) of the points behind her 1st serve and 42% (8/19) on the 2nd serve. Pegula broke Annie Fernandez 5 times after converting 38% of her break points (5/13).

Pegula has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (306-169). 8-4 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pegula has an aggregate 194-94 win-loss record in the last years on hard.

Jessica’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Adelaide and San Diego.

Jessica has a compiled 8-4 win-loss record in 2024, 8-4 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Pegula
Miami
Pegula's Record

Emma Navarro

Emma Navarro
Emma Navarro

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
9
High
8
LLWLWLWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 17-13 11-7 6-6 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 54-24 33-14 14-7 0-0 7-3 0-0
2023 64-24 17-9 37-11 3-1 7-3 0-0
2022 31-18 8-8 23-10 0-0 0-0 0-0
2021 19-13 6-6 13-7 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 20 (career-high), Emma reached the 4th round after defeating Storm Hunter 6-4 6-3 and Jasmine Paolini 6-2 3-6 6-0.

In the 3rd round, The American defeated Paolini (6-2 3-6 6-0). During the match Navarro scored 91 points vs Paolini’s 71. Navarro was pretty aggressive to blast 33 winners.

Talking about serving, Navarro scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Emma Navarro lost the serve 3 times and she saved 4 break points. Furthermore, Navarro put 70% of her first serves in, winning 65% (33/51) of the points behind her 1st serve and 50% (11/22) on the 2nd serve. Emma broke Paolini 7 times after converting 37% of her break points (7/19).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The American has conceded 1 set in the tournament to win 55% of the points she played.

Her best result of the current season was winning the title in Hobart where she beat Elise Mertens in the final 6-1 4-6 7-5.

Navarro has an aggregate 20-6 win-loss record in 2024, 20-6 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Previously, her best result was reaching the qualifications in 2023. See her history.

Navarro
Miami
Navarro's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Pegula
E.Navarro
2h:51
2h:51
Time on court​
3h:20
3h:20
1h:41
1h:41
Last match​
1h:51
1h:51
2
2
Match played
2
2
37
37
Games Played​
42
42
5
5
Set played​​
5
5
136
136
Total points​
162
162
68
68
Avg point​
81
81
50
50
Winners
61
61
25
25
Avg Winners​
30.5
30.5
37%
37%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
6
6
Aces
3
3
3
3
Avg Aces
1.5
1.5
2
2
Double Faults
2
2
1
1
Avg Double Faults
1
1
50/69
50/69
1st won total​
61/98
61/98
!
72%
72%
1st won %
62%
62%
20/36
20/36
2nd won total​
22/42
22/42
56%
56%
2nd won %
52%
52%
-- Break Points --
8/20
8/20
BP won
12/30
12/30
4/10
4/10
Avg BP won
6/15
6/15
40%
40%
Won
40%
40%
13
13
Conceded
14
14
6.5
6.5
Avg Conceded
7
7
4
4
Broken
6
6
2
2
Avg Broken
3
3
9
9
Saved
8
8

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Pegula Navarro
Match played 2 2
Tot Set 5 5
Tot Games 37 42
Pts 136-106 162-135
Total Points 242 297
Winners 50 61
%Winners 37% 38%

Both Pegula and Navarro played 2 matches. At the moment, Emma Navarro conceded 1 set while Jessica Pegula hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Talking about their workload, Pegula and Navarro have played the same amount of sets 5. However, Pegula played 5 games less than Navarro. Jessica scored 50 winners (37% of the total points). On the other side, The American struck 61 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Pegula Navarro
Aces 6 3
Avg per match 3 1.5
1st in 69/105 98/140
%1st in 66% 70%
1st pts 50/69 61/98
%1st pts 72% 62%
2nd pts 20/36 22/42
%2nd pts 56% 52%

Pegula bagged 6 aces (3 per match). Navarro bagged 3 aces (1.5 per match). Pegula won 72% points on her first serve. She very solid her second serve to win 56% of the points. On the other side, Navarro won 62% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 52% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Pegula Navarro
Won 8 12
Converted 8/20 12/30
% Converted 40% 40%
Conceded 13 14
Saved 9 8
% Saved 69% 57%
Times Broken 4 6

Jessica broke her opponents 8 times with a 40% conversion rate. Pegula conceded her serve 4 times and she saved 69% of the break points that she conceded. The American broke her opponents 12 times with a 40% conversion rate. The American conceded her serve 6 times and she saved 57% of the break points that she conceded.

Pegula
R2
Zhu
R3
Annie
Total
Score 6-4 4-1 ret. 7-5 6-4
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 15 22 37
pts 59-40 77-66 136-106
Total points 99 143 242
Winners 19 31 50
%Winners 32% 40% 37%
SERVE
Aces 5 1 6
Double Faults 1 1 2
1st in 25/42 44/63 69/105
% 1st in 60% 70% 66%
1st pts 19/25 31/44 50/69
% 1st pts 76% 70% 72%
2nd pts 12/17 8/19 20/36
% 2nd pts 71% 42% 56%
Breaks
Won 3 5 8
Converted 3/7 5/13 8/20
Converted % 43% 38% 40%
Conceded 4 9 13
Saved 3/4 6/9 9
Saved % 75% 67% 71%
Times Broken 1 3 4
Navarro
R2
Sanders
R3
Paolini
Total
Score 6-4 6-3 6-2 3-6 6-0
Tot Set 2 3 5
Tot Games 19 23 42
pts 71-64 91-71 162-135
Total points 135 162 297
Winners 28 33 61
%Winners 39% 36% 38%
SERVE
Aces 2 1 3
Double Faults 1 1 2
1st in 47/67 51/73 98/140
% 1st in 70% 70% 70%
1st pts 28/47 33/51 61/98
% 1st pts 60% 65% 62%
2nd pts 11/20 11/22 22/42
% 2nd pts 55% 50% 52%
Breaks
Won 5 7 12
Converted 5/11 7/19 12/30
Converted % 45% 37% 40%
Conceded 7 7 14
Saved 4/7 4/7 8
Saved % 57% 57% 57%
Times Broken 3 3 6

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Pegula
WLLWLWLWWW
Navarro
LLWLWLWLWL
2025 2024 2023
29 - 10
17 - 13
20-6
Hard
11-7
9-4
Clay
6-6

Tennis Scores in Miami

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw