Elias Ymer and Michael Geerts will play each other in the qualifications of the Naples Challenger for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Monday at 10:00 am on CAMPO 2. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Elias Ymer who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Elias Ymer is the pick to win this match.
Elias Ymer -> 1.54
Michael Geerts -> 2.375
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Prediction and head to head Elias Ymer vs. Michael Geerts
There is no head to head record between Elias Ymer and Michael Geerts since this will be the first time that they will play each other in the main tour.
Elias Ymer
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 24-32 | 7-15 | 6-9 | 8-7 | 3-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 42-41 | 10-13 | 24-17 | 7-10 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 39-32 | 12-11 | 20-15 | 5-4 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 35-29 | 9-9 | 20-11 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 10-12 | 1-4 | 8-6 | 1-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 178, the Swede got to the qualifications after beating Emanuele Bastia 6-0 6-0.
In the qualifications, Elias had a good straight sets win against Bastia (6-0 6-0). During the match, Ymer scored 55 points vs Bastia’s 25. Ymer was exceptionally aggressive to blast 18 winners.
Talking about the service games, Ymer struck 2 aces and he was exceptionally consistent in conceding no double faults. Elias Ymer was quite efficient on serve to win 78% (18/23) of his 1st serve and 67% (8/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. Elias broke Bastia 6 times after converting 67% of his break points (6/9).
Ymer has winning match record in the last 10 years having won 53% of his matches (299-264). 1-0 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this event, Ymer has a compiled 170-122 win-loss record in the last years on clay.
Ymer has an aggregate 3-9 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Naples Challenger
The Swede has never competed in this tournament before.
Michael Geerts
11 - 10win/loss
300
212
LWLWLWWLWW | Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 50-37 | 18-11 | 10-12 | 17-13 | 0-1 | 5-0 |
| 2023 | 32-39 | 13-10 | 13-19 | 6-8 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| 2022 | 42-37 | 5-8 | 24-14 | 11-13 | 0-0 | 2-2 |
| 2021 | 35-28 | 13-7 | 14-14 | 8-7 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 12-8 | 5-2 | 0-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 4-1 |
Ranked no. 296, Geerts got to the qualifications after beating Peter Buldorini 6-4 6-1.
In the qualifications, The Belgian had a good straight sets win against Buldorini (6-4 6-1). During the match Geerts scored 64 points vs Buldorini’s 46. The Belgian was quite aggressive to blast 25 winners.
About the serving games, Geerts made 2 aces and he committed only 3 double faults. Overall, Michael Geerts was extremely efficient on serve to win 74% (25/34) of his 1st serve and 52% (11/21) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Michael broke Buldorini 5 times after converting 50% of his break points (5/10).
The Belgian’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Cherbourg Challenger.
Michael has an aggregate 11-10 win-loss record in 2024, 1-0 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Ymer | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 |
| Tot Games | 12 | 17 |
| Pts | 55-25 | 64-46 |
| Total Points | 80 | 110 |
| Winners | 18 | 25 |
| %Winners | 33% | 39% |
Both Ymer and Geerts played 1 match. Also both players started their run from the qualifications.Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Talking about their workload, Ymer and Geerts have played the same amount of sets 2. However, Ymer played 5 games less than Geerts. The Swede scored 18 winners (33% of the total points). On the other side, The Belgian made 25 winners (39%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Ymer | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 2 | 2 |
| Avg per match | 2 | 2 |
| 1st in | 23/35 | 34/55 |
| %1st in | 66% | 62% |
| 1st pts | 18/23 | 25/34 |
| %1st pts | 78% | 74% |
| 2nd pts | 8/12 | 11/21 |
| %2nd pts | 67% | 52% |
Ymer struck 2 aces . Geerts recorded 2 aces . Ymer won 78% points behind his first serve. He pretty effective on his second serve to win 67% of the points. On the other side, Geerts won 74% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 52% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Ymer | Geerts |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 6 | 5 |
| Converted | 6/9 | 5/10 |
| % Converted | 67% | 50% |
| Conceded | 1 | 5 |
| Saved | 1 | 4 |
| % Saved | 100% | 80% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 |
Ymer broke his opponent 6 times with a 67% conversion rate. Ymer extremely effective on his serve as he has never surrendered a single service game after saving 1 break points. Michael broke his opponent 5 times with a 50% conversion rate. Geerts conceded his serve once and he saved 80% of the break points that he conceded.
| Ymer | |||
| Q1 Bastia |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-0 6-0 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 12 | 12 | |
| pts | 55-25 | 55-25 | |
| Total points | 80 | 80 | |
| Winners | 18 | 18 | |
| %Winners | 33% | 33% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 0 | 0 | |
| 1st in | 23/35 | 23/35 | |
| % 1st in | 66% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 18/23 | 18/23 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 78% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/12 | 8/12 | |
| % 2nd pts | 67% | 67% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/9 | 6/9 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 67% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Geerts | |||
| Q1 Buldorini |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-1 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 17 | 17 | |
| pts | 64-46 | 64-46 | |
| Total points | 110 | 110 | |
| Winners | 25 | 25 | |
| %Winners | 39% | 39% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 2 | 2 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 3 | |
| 1st in | 34/55 | 34/55 | |
| % 1st in | 62% | 62% | |
| 1st pts | 25/34 | 25/34 | |
| % 1st pts | 74% | 74% | |
| 2nd pts | 11/21 | 11/21 | |
| % 2nd pts | 52% | 52% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 5 | 5 | |
| Converted | 5/10 | 5/10 | |
| Converted % | 50% | 50% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 5 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 4 | |
| Saved % | 80% | 80% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 1 | |
Head 2 Head
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