Gustavo Heide and Joao Fonseca will face off in the final of the Asuncion Challenger for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 7:00 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In this post, we analyze their head to head performance and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Gustavo Heide who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Gustavo Heide is the pick to win this match.
Gustavo Heide -> 1.63
Joao Fonseca -> 2.19
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Prediction and head to head Gustavo Heide vs. Joao Fonseca
This will be the 2nd time that Gustavo Heide and Joao Fonseca clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Heide (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on clay.
The last time that they played each other, Heide won 6-1 7-6(4) in the 2nd round in M25+H Lajeado back in 2022.
Gustavo Heide
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 14-9 | 0-0 | 14-7 | 0-1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 33-22 | 9-5 | 24-17 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 27-13 | 3-2 | 24-11 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 31-14 | 4-5 | 27-9 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 225 (career-high), Gustavo reached the final after defeating Valerio Aboian 6-75 6-3 6-2, Pedro Sakamoto 6-1 6-3, Alexander Weis 6-3 7-63 and Juan Pablo Varillas 6-4 6-2.
In the semifinal, Gustavo had a good straight sets win against Pablo Patino-Samudio (6-4 6-2). During the match, Heide scored 60 points vs Pablo Patino-Samudio’s 45. The Brazilian was quite aggressive to blast 23 winners.
Talking about the service games, Heide struck 3 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Overall, Gustavo Heide was very effective on serve to win 79% (23/29) of his 1st serve and 65% (11/17) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. The Brazilian broke Pablo Patino-Samudio 4 times after converting 29% of his break points (4/14).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Heide has lost 1 set in this competition to win 55% of the points he played.
Heide has a solid match record in the last 7 years having won 65% of his matches (111-60). 8-4 on clay in 2024. In connection with his performance on the same surface of this competition, Heide has a composed95-47 win-loss record in the last 7 years on clay.
Gustavo’s best result of the current season was reaching the semifinal in the Santiago Challenger and the Asuncion Challenger.
Heide has a composed 8-5 win-loss record in 2024, 8-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).
Previously in the Asuncion Challenger
Gustavo has never competed in this tournament before.
Joao Fonseca
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 16-15 | 0-0 | 14-11 | 0-0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 11-6 | 1-1 | 10-5 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 5-4 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 341 (career-high), Fonseca got to the final after defeating Alvaro Guillen Meza 3-6 6-2 6-4, Hernando Jose Escurra Isnardi 6-3 6-4, Orlando Luz 3-6 7-64 6-2 and Roman Andres Burruchaga 7-65 1-6 6-3.
In the semifinal, Joao defeated Andres Burruchaga (7-65 1-6 6-3).During the match Fonseca scored less points (5) than Andres Burruchaga. In fact, the world no. 225 won 91 points vs Andres Burruchaga’s. That means that Fonseca was more focused during the important points. Joao was extremely aggressive to blast 37 winners.
Talking about serving, Fonseca fired 2 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Joao Fonseca lost the serve 5 times and he saved 6 break points. Furthermore, Fonseca put 64% of his first serves in, winning 64% (37/58) of the points behind his 1st serve and 48% (16/33) on the 2nd serve. Fonseca broke Andres Burruchaga 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Brazilian has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 52% of the points he played.
The Brazilian’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Buenos Aires Challenger and the Asuncion Challenger.
Joao has a compiled 9-6 win-loss record in 2024, 9-6 on clay (See FULL STATS).
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Heide | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 4 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 11 |
| Tot Games | 86 | 105 |
| Pts | 307-247 | 356-333 |
| Total Points | 554 | 689 |
| Winners | 127 | 154 |
| %Winners | 41% | 43% |
Both Heide and Fonseca played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Gustavo Heide surrendered 1 set, while Joao Fonseca conceded 3 sets. Heide has played 2 set(s) less than Fonseca (9 vs 11). Therefore, Heide played 19 games less than Fonseca. Gustavo scored 127 winners (41% of the total points). On the other side, Joao bagged 154 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Heide | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 16 | 13 |
| Avg per match | 4 | 3.3 |
| 1st in | 165/270 | 236/355 |
| %1st in | 61% | 66% |
| 1st pts | 127/165 | 154/236 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 65% |
| 2nd pts | 62/105 | 67/119 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 56% |
Heide scored 16 aces (4 per match). Fonseca recorded 13 aces (3.3 per match). Heide won 77% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Fonseca won 65% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 56% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Heide | Fonseca |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 14 | 15 |
| Converted | 14/38 | 15/26 |
| % Converted | 37% | 58% |
| Conceded | 11 | 35 |
| Saved | 8 | 24 |
| % Saved | 73% | 69% |
| Times Broken | 3 | 11 |
Heide broke his opponents 14 times with a 37% conversion rate. Heide lost his serve 3 times and he saved 73% of the break points that he conceded. Fonseca broke his opponents 15 times with a 58% conversion rate. Fonseca conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 69% of the break points that he conceded.
| Heide | ||||||
| R1 Aboian |
R2 Sakamoto |
1/4 Weis |
1/2 Pablo Patino-Samudio |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-75 6-3 6-2 | 6-1 6-3 | 6-3 7-63 | 6-4 6-2 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 9 | |
| Tot Games | 30 | 16 | 22 | 18 | 86 | |
| pts | 104-87 | 57-37 | 86-78 | 60-45 | 307-247 | |
| Total points | 191 | 94 | 164 | 105 | 554 | |
| Winners | 43 | 28 | 33 | 23 | 127 | |
| %Winners | 41% | 49% | 38% | 38% | 41% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 16 | |
| Double Faults | 3 | 2 | 4 | 2 | 11 | |
| 1st in | 55/92 | 31/44 | 50/88 | 29/46 | 165/270 | |
| % 1st in | 60% | 70% | 57% | 63% | 61% | |
| 1st pts | 43/55 | 28/31 | 33/50 | 23/29 | 127/165 | |
| % 1st pts | 78% | 90% | 66% | 79% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/37 | 5/13 | 23/38 | 11/17 | 62/105 | |
| % 2nd pts | 62% | 38% | 61% | 65% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 4 | 2 | 4 | 14 | |
| Converted | 4/12 | 4/8 | 2/4 | 4/14 | 14/38 | |
| Converted % | 33% | 50% | 50% | 29% | 37% | |
| Conceded | 5 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 11 | |
| Saved | 4/5 | 0/0 | 4/5 | 0/1 | 8 | |
| Saved % | 80% | – | 80% | 0% | 40% | |
| Times Broken | 1 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 3 | |
| Fonseca | ||||||
| R1 Guillen |
R2 Jose Escurra Isnardi |
1/4 Luz |
1/2 Andres |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 3-6 6-2 6-4 | 6-3 6-4 | 3-6 7-64 6-2 | 7-65 1-6 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 2 | 3 | 3 | 11 | |
| Tot Games | 27 | 19 | 30 | 29 | 105 | |
| pts | 95-88 | 68-48 | 102-101 | 91-96 | 356-333 | |
| Total points | 183 | 116 | 203 | 187 | 689 | |
| Winners | 36 | 32 | 49 | 37 | 154 | |
| %Winners | 38% | 47% | 48% | 41% | 43% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2 | 13 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 13 | |
| 1st in | 60/98 | 41/57 | 77/109 | 58/91 | 236/355 | |
| % 1st in | 61% | 72% | 71% | 64% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 36/60 | 32/41 | 49/77 | 37/58 | 154/236 | |
| % 1st pts | 60% | 78% | 64% | 64% | 65% | |
| 2nd pts | 23/38 | 12/16 | 16/32 | 16/33 | 67/119 | |
| % 2nd pts | 61% | 75% | 50% | 48% | 56% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 5 | 2 | 4 | 4 | 15 | |
| Converted | 5/8 | 2/3 | 4/7 | 4/8 | 15/26 | |
| Converted % | 63% | 67% | 57% | 50% | 58% | |
| Conceded | 11 | 1 | 12 | 11 | 35 | |
| Saved | 8/11 | 1/1 | 9/12 | 6/11 | 24 | |
| Saved % | 73% | 100% | 75% | 55% | 76% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | 0 | 3 | 5 | 11 | |
Head 2 Head
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