[UPDATED R3]. Prediction, H2H of Madison Keys’s draw vs Wang, Rybakina, Sakkari, Sabalenka, Swiatek to win the Miami

Miami draw preview with H2H - Madison Keys may need to oust Xinyu Wang, Elena Rybakina, Maria Sakkari, Aryna Sabalenka, Iga Swiatek to conquer the tournament in the Miami Open.

Madison Keys Stats info

Madison Keys is 5 wins away to conquer the title in Miami. Keys has defeated Diana Shnaider 6-2 6-4 to reach the 3rd round where she will face Xinyu Wang.

Draw prediction with head to head records

This is Madison Keys’s projected draw alongsideherplausible opposition in Miami Open. Madison has a unfavourable record (5-10) with the likely opponents.

R1 – Bye
R2 – Diana Shnaider (62) – 6-2 6-4
R3 – Xinyu Wang (43) – H2H 1-0
R4 – Elena Rybakina (4) – H2H 2-1
or Taylor Townsend (72) – H2H 0-0
1/4 – Maria Sakkari (9) – H2H 0-4
or Jelena Ostapenko (10) – H2H 3-2
1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka (2) – H2H 1-3
or Qinwen Zheng (7) – H2H 1-0
Fin – Iga Swiatek (1) – H2H 1-2
or Cori Gauff (3) – H2H 2-2
Keys
Latest Updated
Draw

See Updated Draw

R3 – Xinyu Wang’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 1-0 for Madison Keys

31 - 26win/loss in 2025

Rank
37
High
32
LLLWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 31-26 20-18 6-5 0-0 5-3 0-0
2023 37-24 32-17 2-5 0-0 3-2 0-0
2022 31-27 8-14 5-5 15-6 3-2 0-0
2021 35-26 10-9 6-8 14-6 5-3 0-0
2020 16-10 6-6 2-1 8-3 0-0 0-0
2019 38-20 36-18 0-0 2-2 0-0 0-0
2018 25-14 21-13 4-1 0-0 0-0 0-0
2017 11-6 9-4 2-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Xinyu Wang has a 10-9 record in 2024, she played all matches on hard. Talking about the previous 9 years, Wang has a 132-91 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Xinyu won 5 of her last 10 matches.

Wang’s most significant result of this current year was reaching the semifinal Hua Hin.

Last year in Miami Open the Chinese was defeated by Karolina Pliskova in the 2nd round 6-2 6-4.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Xinyu Wang

This would be the 2nd time that Madison Keys and Xinyu Wang clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Keys (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

R4 – Elena Rybakina’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Madison Keys

43 - 11win/loss in 2025

Rank
6
High
3
WWLLWLL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 43-11 23-5 12-2 2-2 6-2 0-0
2023 47-15 31-11 11-2 0-0 5-2 0-0
2022 40-21 18-12 9-5 5-2 8-2 0-0
2021 33-23 18-14 6-4 2-2 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 18-5 7-3 4-2 0-0 0-0
2019 57-21 19-9 15-6 16-4 7-2 0-0
2018 32-22 11-8 7-9 13-4 0-0 1-1
2017 21-10 5-4 3-1 13-5 0-0 0-0

Elena Rybakina has a 18-3 record in 2024, she played all matches on hard. Talking about the previous 10 years, Elena has a 145-69 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Kazakhstani won 9 of her last 10 matches.

Her most significant result of this current year was winning the tournament in Brisbane where she overcame Aryna Sabalenka in the final 6-0 6-3, and in Abu Dhabi where she overcame Daria Kasatkina in the final 6-1 6-4.

Last year in Miami Open Rybakina capitulated to Petra Kvitova in the final 7-6(14) 6-2.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Elena Rybakina

This contest would be 4th time that Madison Keys and Elena Rybakina face off. The head to head is 2-1 for Keys (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Alternatively, Madison Keys may fight against Taylor Townsend. Their H2H record is 0-0.

1/4 – Maria Sakkari’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 4-0 for Maria Sakkari

25 - 17win/loss in 2025

Rank
32
High
3
LLWWLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 25-17 12-8 11-6 0-0 2-3 0-0
2023 38-25 26-17 5-4 3-1 4-3 0-0
2022 40-23 21-12 8-5 4-2 7-4 0-0
2021 38-20 23-13 9-4 5-2 1-1 0-0
2020 20-11 12-7 2-2 6-2 0-0 0-0
2019 33-23 11-11 15-5 2-3 5-4 0-0
2018 24-26 17-17 7-4 0-2 0-3 0-0
2017 26-23 15-10 5-10 0-0 6-3 0-0

Maria Sakkari has a 11-5 record in 2024, she played all matches on hard. In the course of the previous 13 years, the Greek has a 223-149 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Sakkari won 7 of her last 10 matches.

The Greek’s most significant result of the current year was reaching the final Indian Wells.

Last year in Miami Open the Greek was defeated by Bianca Vanessa Andreescu in the 2nd round 5-7 6-3 6-4.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Maria Sakkari

This contest would be 5th time that Madison Keys and Maria Sakkari play each other. The head to head is 4-0 for Sakkari (see full H2H stats), 3-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Nevertheless, Madison Keys could compete against Jelena Ostapenko. Their head to head record is 3-2 for Madison Keys.

1/2 – Aryna Sabalenka’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 3-1 for Aryna Sabalenka

56 - 14win/loss in 2025

Rank
1
High
1
LLWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 56-14 38-7 15-4 2-2 1-1 0-0
2023 55-14 35-9 14-3 0-0 6-2 0-0
2022 33-22 20-15 9-5 0-0 4-2 0-0
2021 45-18 24-11 13-3 1-1 7-3 0-0
2020 29-10 14-7 6-3 9-0 0-0 0-0
2019 39-22 28-12 5-5 4-1 2-4 0-0
2018 51-25 34-13 7-6 3-2 7-4 0-0
2017 36-25 20-11 2-4 6-6 7-3 1-1

Aryna Sabalenka has a 14-3 record in 2024, she played all matches on hard. As for the previous 9 years, Sabalenka has a 203-88 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). The Belarussian won 8 of her last 10 matches.

Her best result of this current season was winning the competition at the Australian Open where she beat Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2.

Last year in Miami Open Sabalenka lost to Sorana Cirstea in the quarter 6-4 6-4.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Aryna Sabalenka

This would be the 5th time that Madison Keys and Aryna Sabalenka play each other. The head to head is 3-1 for Sabalenka (see full H2H stats), 2-0 on hard in major tournaments.

Notwithstanding, Madison Keys could fight against Qinwen Zheng. Their H2H record is 1-0 for Madison Keys.

Final – Iga Swiatek’s rankings and performance.

Head to head 2-1 for Iga Swiatek

64 - 9win/loss in 2025

Rank
2
High
1
WWWWLWL
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 64-9 29-5 26-2 7-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
2019 34-17 17-8 10-3 4-3 3-3 0-0
2018 43-6 8-1 34-5 1-0 0-0 0-0
2017 11-2 0-0 11-2 0-0 0-0 0-0

Iga Swiatek has a 20-2 record in 2024, she played all matches on hard. During the previous 9 years, Swiatek has a 153-39 record on hard (Click here to see full career record). Iga will try to keep a positive momentum since she is on a 6 matches winning streak.

Her most significant result of the year was winning the tournament in Australia where she overcame Angelique Kerber in the final 6-3 6-0, in Doha where she defeated Elena Rybakina in the final 7-6(8) 6-2, and in Indian Wells where she overcame Maria Sakkari in the final 6-4 6-0.

Last year in Miami Open Swiatek didn’t take part in the competition.

H2H Madison Keys vs. Iga Swiatek

This contest would be 4th time that Madison Keys and Iga Swiatek play each other. The head to head is 2-1 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they are 1-1 on hard in major tournaments.

However, Madison Keys could face Cori Gauff. Their head to head is 2-2.