Aryna Sabalenka and Anhelina Kalinina will play each other in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 1st time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Saturday at 8:30 pm on STADIUM. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Aryna Sabalenka who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Aryna Sabalenka is the pick to win this match.
Aryna Sabalenka -> 1.117
Anhelina Kalinina -> 6.4
Click here to see the updated quotes and live streaming (only selected countries - USA excluded).
To be able to watch live streaming bet365, a funded account is required or you need to have placed a bet in the last 24 hours. 18+ BeGambleAware.
Here where top tennis events are broadcasted or streamed online (ATP, WTA).
At the challenger level, there will be free live streaming on Challenger TV.
Â
Prediction and head to head Aryna Sabalenka vs. Anhelina Kalinina
There is no head to head record between Aryna Sabalenka and Anhelina Kalinina since this will be the first time that they will square off in the main tour.
Aryna Sabalenka
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 21-6 | 14-4 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 55-14 | 35-9 | 14-3 | 0-0 | 6-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 33-22 | 20-15 | 9-5 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 45-18 | 24-11 | 13-3 | 1-1 | 7-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 29-10 | 14-7 | 6-3 | 9-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 2, Aryna reached the 3rd round after defeating Paula Badosa Gibert 6-4 6-3.
In the 2nd round, Sabalenka had a good straight sets win against Badosa (6-4 6-3). During the match, Sabalenka scored 70 points vs Badosa’s 55. Aryna was pretty aggressive to blast 30 winners.
Regarding the service games, Sabalenka made 3 aces and she committed only 4 double faults. Aryna Sabalenka was quite effective on serve to win 77% (30/39) of her 1st serve and 58% (7/12) on the second serve. This was the main reason for not conceding a single break during the match. The Belarussian broke Badosa 3 times after converting 38% of her break points (3/8).
Sabalenka has a solid win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 68% of her matches (332-157). 14-3 on hard in 2024. In connection with her performance on the same surface of this event, Sabalenka has an aggregate203-88 record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the current year was conquering the title at the Australian Open where she beat Qinwen Zheng in the final 6-3 6-2.
Aryna has a compiled 14-3 win-loss record in 2024, 14-3 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Anhelina Kalinina
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 12-12 | 7-9 | 5-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 29-25 | 18-16 | 5-4 | 3-1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 34-22 | 8-10 | 8-5 | 13-3 | 5-4 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 47-15 | 5-6 | 31-4 | 9-3 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 11-11 | 2-6 | 2-3 | 7-2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 36, the Ukrainian reached the 3rd round after defeating Caroline Wozniacki 5-7 7-5 6-4.
In the 2nd round against Wozniacki, The Ukrainian recovered from a 1-set down deficit before winning (5-7 7-5 6-4). During the match Kalinina scored 130 points vs Wozniacki’s 120. The Ukrainian was very aggressive to blast 47 winners.
Talking about serving, Kalinina struck 5 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Anhelina Kalinina lost the serve 5 times and she saved 14 break points. Furthermore, Kalinina put 69% of her first serves in, winning 57% (47/83) of the points behind her 1st serve and 59% (22/37) on the 2nd serve. Kalinina broke Wozniacki 6 times after converting 29% of her break points (6/21).
Kalinina’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Austin.
Anhelina has an aggregate 6-8 win-loss record in 2024, 6-8 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, her best result was reaching the 4th round in 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Sabalenka | Kalinina |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 1 | 1 |
| Tot Set | 2 | 3 |
| Tot Games | 19 | 34 |
| Pts | 70-55 | 130-120 |
| Total Points | 125 | 250 |
| Winners | 30 | 47 |
| %Winners | 43% | 36% |
Both Sabalenka and Kalinina played 1 match. At the moment, Anhelina Kalinina lost 1 set while Aryna Sabalenka hasn’t surrendered a set so far. Sabalenka has played 1 set(s) less than Kalinina (2 vs 3). Therefore, Sabalenka played 15 games less than Kalinina. Aryna scored 30 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Kalinina bagged 47 winners (36%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Sabalenka | Kalinina |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 3 | 5 |
| Avg per match | 3 | 5 |
| 1st in | 39/51 | 83/120 |
| %1st in | 76% | 69% |
| 1st pts | 30/39 | 47/83 |
| %1st pts | 77% | 57% |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 22/37 |
| %2nd pts | 58% | 59% |
Sabalenka blasted 3 aces . Kalinina fired 5 aces . Sabalenka won 77% points on her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 58% of the points. On the other side, Kalinina won 57% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 59% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Sabalenka | Kalinina |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 3 | 6 |
| Converted | 3/8 | 6/21 |
| % Converted | 38% | 29% |
| Conceded | 1 | 19 |
| Saved | 1 | 14 |
| % Saved | 100% | 74% |
| Times Broken | 0 | 5 |
The Belarussian broke her opponent 3 times with a 38% conversion rate. The Belarussian pretty solid on her serve as she has never conceded a single service game after saving 1 break points. The Ukrainian broke her opponent 6 times with a 29% conversion rate. Kalinina conceded her serve 5 times and she saved 74% of the break points that she conceded.
| Sabalenka | |||
| R2 Badosa |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-3 | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
| Tot Games | 19 | 19 | |
| pts | 70-55 | 70-55 | |
| Total points | 125 | 125 | |
| Winners | 30 | 30 | |
| %Winners | 43% | 43% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 3 | 3 | |
| Double Faults | 4 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 39/51 | 39/51 | |
| % 1st in | 76% | 76% | |
| 1st pts | 30/39 | 30/39 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | 77% | |
| 2nd pts | 7/12 | 7/12 | |
| % 2nd pts | 58% | 58% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 3 | 3 | |
| Converted | 3/8 | 3/8 | |
| Converted % | 38% | 38% | |
| Conceded | 1 | 1 | |
| Saved | 1/1 | 1 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 100% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 0 | |
| Kalinina | |||
| R2 Wozniacki |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 5-7 7-5 6-4 | ||
| Tot Set | 3 | 3 | |
| Tot Games | 34 | 34 | |
| pts | 130-120 | 130-120 | |
| Total points | 250 | 250 | |
| Winners | 47 | 47 | |
| %Winners | 36% | 36% | |
| SERVE | |||
| Aces | 5 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
| 1st in | 83/120 | 83/120 | |
| % 1st in | 69% | 69% | |
| 1st pts | 47/83 | 47/83 | |
| % 1st pts | 57% | 57% | |
| 2nd pts | 22/37 | 22/37 | |
| % 2nd pts | 59% | 59% | |
| Breaks | |||
| Won | 6 | 6 | |
| Converted | 6/21 | 6/21 | |
| Converted % | 29% | 29% | |
| Conceded | 19 | 19 | |
| Saved | 14/19 | 14 | |
| Saved % | 74% | 74% | |
| Times Broken | 5 | 5 | |
Head 2 Head
WLWWWWWLWL
WLLWWWLWLW Tennis Scores in Miami
- Cori GauffGauff – Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Oceane DodinDodin – Arantxa RusRus (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Donna VekicVekic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Storm HunterHunter (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Shelby RogersRogers (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Greetje MinnenMinnen – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Taylor TownsendTownsend – Elise MertensMertens (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Diane ParryParry (3-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Brenda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova (7-65 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Yue YuanYuan (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Xiyu WangWang (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Caroline WozniackiWozniacki (5-7 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Xinyu WangWang – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (4-6 6-3 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Daria SavilleSaville (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Peyton StearnsStearns (7-5 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (6-1 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (7-63 6-4) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Clara TausonTauson (3-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Tommy RobredoRobredo – Hugo DellienDellien (6-2 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniel Gimeno-TraverGimeno-Traver – Daniel MichalskiMichalski (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Zdenek KolarKolar – Alexey VatutinVatutin (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Maxime JanvierJanvier – Roberto MarcoraMarcora (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Paolo LorenziLorenzi – Jan ChoinskiChoinski (7-5 6-0) – See score progression
- Oscar OtteOtte – Pawel CiasCias (6-2 5-7 7-5) – See score progression
- Thiemo de Bakkerde Bakker – Gianluca MagerMager (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Pedro CachinCachin – Artem SmirnovSmirnov (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Shelby RogersRogers (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Donna VekicVekic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Storm HunterHunter (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Oceane DodinDodin – Arantxa RusRus (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Katie VolynetsVolynets (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Emiliana ArangoArango (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lin ZhuZhu – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Viktoriya TomovaTomova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Claire LiuLiu (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sloane StephensStephens – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan – Ons JabeurJabeur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Oceane DodinDodin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Xin Yu WangYu Wang – Madison KeysKeys (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor TownsendTownsend – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Greetje MinnenMinnen (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-0) – H2H and prediction
