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Madison Keys and Xinyu Wang will play each other in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 5:00 pm on COURT 7. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 3 sets.
As per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.615
Xinyu Wang -> 2.31
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Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Xinyu Wang
This will be the 2nd time that Madison Keys and Xinyu Wang clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Keys (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.
The last time that they competed against each other, Keys won 6-3 6-2 in the 2nd round in at the Australian Open back in 2023.
Highlights Madison Keys vs Xinyu Wang – Australian Open 18-January-2023
Madison Keys
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 14-1 | 14-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 24-12 | 7-6 | 13-4 | 0-0 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
2023 | 33-15 | 19-9 | 5-3 | 0-2 | 9-1 | 0-0 |
2022 | 30-20 | 25-12 | 4-4 | 0-3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
2021 | 11-15 | 3-9 | 3-4 | 0-0 | 5-2 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 18, Keys got to the 3rd round after defeating Diana Shnaider 6-2 6-4.
In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Shnaider (6-2 6-4). During the match, Keys scored 70 points vs Shnaider’s 48. The American was quite aggressive to blast 36 winners.
Talking about the service games, Keys blasted 8 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Madison Keys lost the serve once and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 73% of her first serves in, winning 73% (36/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (8/18) on the 2nd serve. Madison was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Shnaider 4 times.
Keys has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (236-130). 2-1 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Keys has a composed 145-79 match record in the last years on hard.
Keys has an aggregate 2-1 win-loss record in 2024, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Xinyu Wang
Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
2025 | 5-6 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
2024 | 31-26 | 20-18 | 6-5 | 0-0 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
2023 | 37-24 | 32-17 | 2-5 | 0-0 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
2022 | 31-27 | 8-14 | 5-5 | 15-6 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
2021 | 35-26 | 10-9 | 6-8 | 14-6 | 5-3 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 43, the Chinese got to the 3rd round after beating Hailey Baptiste 7-61 6-3 and Veronika Kudermetova 6-3 6-2.
In the 2nd round, The Chinese had a good straight sets win against Kudermetova (6-3 6-2). During the match Wang scored 74 points vs Kudermetova’s 53. The Chinese was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.
About the serving games, Wang scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Xinyu Wang lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Wang put 62% of her first serves in, winning 82% (31/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. The Chinese broke Kudermetova 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).
Overall Performance in this tournament
The Chinese hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
The Chinese’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Hua Hin.
The Chinese has a compiled 10-9 win-loss record in 2024, 10-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Miami
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021 and 2023. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
Points | Keys | Wang |
---|---|---|
Match played | 1 | 2 |
Tot Set | 2 | 4 |
Tot Games | 18 | 39 |
Pts | 70-48 | 145-107 |
Total Points | 118 | 252 |
Winners | 36 | 63 |
%Winners | 51% | 43% |
Keys played 1 match while Wang competed in 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Keys has played 2 set(s) less than Wang (2 vs 4). Therefore, Keys played 21 games less than Wang. The American scored 36 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, Xinyu struck 63 winners (43%).
Serve Performance
Serve | Keys | Wang |
---|---|---|
Aces | 8 | 7 |
Avg per match | 8 | 3.5 |
1st in | 49/67 | 76/126 |
%1st in | 73% | 60% |
1st pts | 36/49 | 63/76 |
%1st pts | 73% | 83% |
2nd pts | 8/18 | 27/50 |
%2nd pts | 44% | 54% |
Keys blasted 8 aces . Wang made 7 aces (3.5 per match). Keys won 73% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Wang won 83% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.
How they played the important points
Breaks | Keys | Wang |
---|---|---|
Won | 4 | 6 |
Converted | 4/4 | 6/12 |
% Converted | 100% | 50% |
Conceded | 6 | 7 |
Saved | 5 | 5 |
% Saved | 83% | 71% |
Times Broken | 1 | 2 |
The American broke her opponent 4 times with a 100% conversion rate. The American lost her serve once and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded. Wang broke her opponents 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Chinese conceded her serve twice and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.
Keys | |||
R2 Shnaider |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|
Score | 6-2 6-4 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | |
Tot Games | 18 | 18 | |
pts | 70-48 | 70-48 | |
Total points | 118 | 118 | |
Winners | 36 | 36 | |
%Winners | 51% | 51% | |
SERVE | |||
Aces | 8 | 8 | |
Double Faults | 2 | 2 | |
1st in | 49/67 | 49/67 | |
% 1st in | 73% | 73% | |
1st pts | 36/49 | 36/49 | |
% 1st pts | 73% | 73% | |
2nd pts | 8/18 | 8/18 | |
% 2nd pts | 44% | 44% | |
Breaks | |||
Won | 4 | 4 | |
Converted | 4/4 | 4/4 | |
Converted % | 100% | 100% | |
Conceded | 6 | 6 | |
Saved | 5/6 | 5 | |
Saved % | 83% | 83% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 1 |
Wang | ||||
R1 Baptiste |
R2 Kudermetova |
Total | ||
---|---|---|---|---|
Score | 7-61 6-3 | 6-3 6-2 | ||
Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 4 | |
Tot Games | 22 | 17 | 39 | |
pts | 71-54 | 74-53 | 145-107 | |
Total points | 125 | 127 | 252 | |
Winners | 32 | 31 | 63 | |
%Winners | 45% | 42% | 43% | |
SERVE | ||||
Aces | 6 | 1 | 7 | |
Double Faults | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
1st in | 38/65 | 38/61 | 76/126 | |
% 1st in | 58% | 62% | 60% | |
1st pts | 32/38 | 31/38 | 63/76 | |
% 1st pts | 84% | 82% | 83% | |
2nd pts | 17/27 | 10/23 | 27/50 | |
% 2nd pts | 63% | 43% | 54% | |
Breaks | ||||
Won | 2 | 4 | 6 | |
Converted | 2/5 | 4/7 | 6/12 | |
Converted % | 40% | 57% | 50% | |
Conceded | 4 | 3 | 7 | |
Saved | 3/4 | 2/3 | 5 | |
Saved % | 75% | 67% | 142% | |
Times Broken | 1 | 1 | 2 |
Head 2 Head
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Tennis Scores in Miami
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Shelby RogersRogers (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Storm HunterHunter (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Oceane DodinDodin – Arantxa RusRus (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Donna VekicVekic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Madison KeysKeys – Diana ShnaiderShnaider (6-2 6-4) – See score progression
- Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka – Peyton StearnsStearns (7-5 3-6 6-4) – See score progression
- Xinyu WangWang – Veronika KudermetovaKudermetova (6-3 6-2) – See score progression
- Elena RybakinaRybakina – Clara TausonTauson (3-6 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Caroline WozniackiWozniacki (5-7 7-5 6-4) – See score progression
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Yue YuanYuan (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Greetje MinnenMinnen – Lesya TsurenkoTsurenko (7-5 6-1) – See score progression
- Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko – Laura SiegemundSiegemund (7-63 6-4) – See score progression
- Dayana YastremskaYastremska – Daria SavilleSaville (7-5 7-5) – See score progression
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Xiyu WangWang (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Brenda FruhvirtovaFruhvirtova (7-65 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia – Diane ParryParry (3-6 6-1 6-4) – See score progression
- Taylor TownsendTownsend – Elise MertensMertens (6-2 6-2) – See score progression
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Liudmila SamsonovaSamsonova (6-1 4-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Katerina SiniakovaSiniakova (4-6 6-3 1-0 ret.) – See score progression
- Tommy RobredoRobredo – Hugo DellienDellien (6-2 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Daniel Gimeno-TraverGimeno-Traver – Daniel MichalskiMichalski (6-1 6-1) – See score progression
- Zdenek KolarKolar – Alexey VatutinVatutin (6-3 6-3) – See score progression
- Maxime JanvierJanvier – Roberto MarcoraMarcora (6-1 6-3) – See score progression
- Oscar OtteOtte – Pawel CiasCias (6-2 5-7 7-5) – See score progression
- Thiemo de Bakkerde Bakker – Gianluca MagerMager (6-4 6-1) – See score progression
- Pedro CachinCachin – Artem SmirnovSmirnov (7-5 6-2) – See score progression
- Paolo LorenziLorenzi – Jan ChoinskiChoinski (7-5 6-0) – See score progression
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Shelby RogersRogers (6-2 6-1) – See score progression
- Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova – Donna VekicVekic (6-3 6-4) – See score progression
- Emma NavarroNavarro – Storm HunterHunter (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
- Cori GauffGauff – Nadia PodoroskaPodoroska (6-1 6-2) – See score progression
- Oceane DodinDodin – Arantxa RusRus (6-4 3-6 6-3) – See score progression
- Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka – Paula Badosa GibertBadosa Gibert (6-4 6-3) – See score progression
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Camila GiorgiGiorgi (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Jasmine PaoliniPaolini – Katie VolynetsVolynets (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Leylah Annie FernandezAnnie Fernandez – Emiliana ArangoArango (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Lin ZhuZhu – Jessica PegulaPegula (0-2) – H2H and prediction
- Caroline GarciaGarcia – Viktoriya TomovaTomova (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Naomi OsakaOsaka – Elina SvitolinaSvitolina (3-3) – H2H and prediction
- Darya KasatkinaKasatkina – Claire LiuLiu (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Sloane StephensStephens – Sorana CirsteaCirstea (2-2) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PotapovaPotapova – Danielle Rose CollinsRose Collins (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Elina AvanesyanAvanesyan – Ons JabeurJabeur (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anastasia PavlyuchenkovaPavlyuchenkova – Ekaterina AlexandrovaAlexandrova (1-1) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Oceane DodinDodin (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Maria SakkariSakkari – Dayana YastremskaYastremska (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anna KalinskayaKalinskaya – Jelena OstapenkoOstapenko (2-0) – H2H and prediction
- Xin Yu WangYu Wang – Madison KeysKeys (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Taylor TownsendTownsend – Elena RybakinaRybakina (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Qinwen ZhengZheng – Victoria AzarenkaAzarenka (0-1) – H2H and prediction
- Katie BoulterBoulter – Beatriz Haddad MaiaHaddad Maia (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Yulia PutintsevaPutintseva – Greetje MinnenMinnen (0-0) – H2H and prediction
- Anhelina KalininaKalinina – Aryna SabalenkaSabalenka (0-0) – H2H and prediction