H2H, prediction of Madison Keys vs Xinyu Wang in Miami with odds, preview, pick | 23rd March 2024

PREVIEW. Miami. Keys and Wang will play each other in the 3rd round of the Miami Open. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Saturday the 23rd of March

Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Xinyu Wang

Madison Keys and Xinyu Wang will play each other in the 3rd round of the Miami Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Saturday at 5:00 pm on COURT 7. In the following lines you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Madison Keys who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Madison Keys is the pick to win this match.
Madison Keys -> 1.615
Xinyu Wang -> 2.31

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Madison Keys vs. Xinyu Wang

This will be the 2nd time that Madison Keys and Xinyu Wang clash against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Keys (see full H2H stats), 1-0 on hard.

The last time that they competed against each other, Keys won 6-3 6-2 in the 2nd round in at the Australian Open back in 2023.

Highlights Madison Keys vs Xinyu Wang – Australian Open 18-January-2023

Madison Keys

Madison Keys
Madison Keys

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
6
High
6
WWWWWWWWWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 14-1 14-1 0-0 0-0 0-0 0-0
2024 24-12 7-6 13-4 0-0 4-2 0-0
2023 33-15 19-9 5-3 0-2 9-1 0-0
2022 30-20 25-12 4-4 0-3 1-1 0-0
2021 11-15 3-9 3-4 0-0 5-2 0-0

Ranked no. 18, Keys got to the 3rd round after defeating Diana Shnaider 6-2 6-4.

In the 2nd round, The American had a good straight sets win against Shnaider (6-2 6-4). During the match, Keys scored 70 points vs Shnaider’s 48. The American was quite aggressive to blast 36 winners.

Talking about the service games, Keys blasted 8 aces and she committed only 2 double faults. Madison Keys lost the serve once and she saved 5 break points. Furthermore, Keys put 73% of her first serves in, winning 73% (36/49) of the points behind her 1st serve and 44% (8/18) on the 2nd serve. Madison was clinical in her return game without wasting any break point and break Shnaider 4 times.

Keys has a solid match record in the last 10 years having won 64% of her matches (236-130). 2-1 on hard in 2024. Regarding her performance on the same surface of this tournament, Keys has a composed 145-79 match record in the last years on hard.

Keys has an aggregate 2-1 win-loss record in 2024, 2-1 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Keys
Miami
Keys's Record

Xinyu Wang

Xinyu Wang
Xinyu Wang

0 - 0win/loss

Rank
41
High
32
LLLWWWLLWW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2025 5-6 2-5 0-0 3-1 0-0 0-0
2024 31-26 20-18 6-5 0-0 5-3 0-0
2023 37-24 32-17 2-5 0-0 3-2 0-0
2022 31-27 8-14 5-5 15-6 3-2 0-0
2021 35-26 10-9 6-8 14-6 5-3 0-0

Ranked no. 43, the Chinese got to the 3rd round after beating Hailey Baptiste 7-61 6-3 and Veronika Kudermetova 6-3 6-2.

In the 2nd round, The Chinese had a good straight sets win against Kudermetova (6-3 6-2). During the match Wang scored 74 points vs Kudermetova’s 53. The Chinese was very aggressive to blast 31 winners.

About the serving games, Wang scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Xinyu Wang lost the serve once and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Wang put 62% of her first serves in, winning 82% (31/38) of the points behind her 1st serve and 43% (10/23) on the 2nd serve. The Chinese broke Kudermetova 4 times after converting 57% of her break points (4/7).

Overall Performance in this tournament

The Chinese hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.

The Chinese’s best result of the current season was getting to the semifinal in Hua Hin.

The Chinese has a compiled 10-9 win-loss record in 2024, 10-9 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Miami

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021 and 2023. See her history.

Wang
Miami
Wang's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

M.Keys
X.Yu Wang
1h:15
1h:15
Time on court​
!
2h:54
2h:54
1h:15
1h:15
Last match​
1h:28
1h:28
1
1
Match played
!
2
2
18
18
Games Played​
39
39
2
2
Set played​​
4
4
70
70
Total points​
145
145
70
70
Avg point​
72.5
72.5
36
36
Winners
63
63
36
36
Avg Winners​
31.5
31.5
51%
51%
Ratio winners
43%
43%
-- Serve --
8
8
Aces
7
7
8
8
Avg Aces
3.5
3.5
2
2
Double Faults
6
6
2
2
Avg Double Faults
3
3
36/49
36/49
1st won total​
63/76
63/76
!
73%
73%
1st won %
!
83%
83%
8/18
8/18
2nd won total​
27/50
27/50
44%
44%
2nd won %
54%
54%
-- Break Points --
4/4
4/4
BP won
6/12
6/12
4/4
4/4
Avg BP won
3/6
3/6
!
100%
100%
Won
50%
50%
6
6
Conceded
7
7
6
6
Avg Conceded
3.5
3.5
1
1
Broken
2
2
1
1
Avg Broken
1
1
5
5
Saved
5
5

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Keys Wang
Match played 1 2
Tot Set 2 4
Tot Games 18 39
Pts 70-48 145-107
Total Points 118 252
Winners 36 63
%Winners 51% 43%

Keys played 1 match while Wang competed in 2 matches. Both players have not lost a single set in this event so far. Keys has played 2 set(s) less than Wang (2 vs 4). Therefore, Keys played 21 games less than Wang. The American scored 36 winners (51% of the total points). On the other side, Xinyu struck 63 winners (43%).

Serve Performance

Serve Keys Wang
Aces 8 7
Avg per match 8 3.5
1st in 49/67 76/126
%1st in 73% 60%
1st pts 36/49 63/76
%1st pts 73% 83%
2nd pts 8/18 27/50
%2nd pts 44% 54%

Keys blasted 8 aces . Wang made 7 aces (3.5 per match). Keys won 73% points behind her first serve. She was rock solid on her second serve to win 44% of the points. On the other side, Wang won 83% of the points on her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 54% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Keys Wang
Won 4 6
Converted 4/4 6/12
% Converted 100% 50%
Conceded 6 7
Saved 5 5
% Saved 83% 71%
Times Broken 1 2

The American broke her opponent 4 times with a 100% conversion rate. The American lost her serve once and she saved 83% of the break points that she conceded. Wang broke her opponents 6 times with a 50% conversion rate. The Chinese conceded her serve twice and she saved 71% of the break points that she conceded.

Keys
R2
Shnaider
Total
Score 6-2 6-4
Tot Set 2 2
Tot Games 18 18
pts 70-48 70-48
Total points 118 118
Winners 36 36
%Winners 51% 51%
SERVE
Aces 8 8
Double Faults 2 2
1st in 49/67 49/67
% 1st in 73% 73%
1st pts 36/49 36/49
% 1st pts 73% 73%
2nd pts 8/18 8/18
% 2nd pts 44% 44%
Breaks
Won 4 4
Converted 4/4 4/4
Converted % 100% 100%
Conceded 6 6
Saved 5/6 5
Saved % 83% 83%
Times Broken 1 1
Wang
R1
Baptiste
R2
Kudermetova
Total
Score 7-61 6-3 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 2 2 4
Tot Games 22 17 39
pts 71-54 74-53 145-107
Total points 125 127 252
Winners 32 31 63
%Winners 45% 42% 43%
SERVE
Aces 6 1 7
Double Faults 2 4 6
1st in 38/65 38/61 76/126
% 1st in 58% 62% 60%
1st pts 32/38 31/38 63/76
% 1st pts 84% 82% 83%
2nd pts 17/27 10/23 27/50
% 2nd pts 63% 43% 54%
Breaks
Won 2 4 6
Converted 2/5 4/7 6/12
Converted % 40% 57% 50%
Conceded 4 3 7
Saved 3/4 2/3 5
Saved % 75% 67% 142%
Times Broken 1 1 2

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Keys
WWWWWWWWWW
Wang
LLLWWWLLWW
2025 2024 2023
14 - 1
5 - 6
14-1
Hard
2-5
0-0
I Hard
3-1

Tennis Scores in Miami

See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw