Nuno Borges and Matteo Berrettini will square off in the final of the Phoenix Challenger for the 1^st time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 2:00 pm on CENTER COURT. Here the head to head stats and relative prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Matteo Berrettini who should win in 3 sets.

As per the initial odds, Matteo Berrettini is the pick to win this match.
Matteo Berrettini -> 1.727
Nuno Borges -> 2.03

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Prediction and head to head Nuno Borges vs. Matteo Berrettini

There is no head to head record between Nuno Borges and Matteo Berrettini since this will be the first time that they will clash against each other in the main tour.

Nuno Borges

Nuno Borges

12 - 8win/loss

Hard

12-7

I Hard

0-1

Rank
33

High
30

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Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2024	33-26	20-12	13-7	0-4	0-3	0-0
2023	37-26	20-11	8-7	6-4	3-4	0-0
2022	49-26	7-5	28-13	11-5	3-3	0-0
2021	52-21	6-4	46-17	0-0	0-0	0-0
2020	31-7	29-4	2-3	0-0	0-0	0-0

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Ranked no. 60, Borges got to the final after beating Alexandre Muller 6-2 6-4, Benoit Paire 4-2 ret., Thanasi Kokkinakis 7-6¹ 6-1 and Luca Van Assche 6-4 4-6 6-2.

In the semifinal, Borges defeated Van Assche (6-4 4-6 6-2). During the match, Borges scored 105 points vs Van Assche’s 98. Borges was pretty aggressive to blast 45 winners.

Regarding the service games, Borges struck 4 aces and he committed only 4 double faults. Nuno Borges lost the serve 4 times and he saved 12 break points. Furthermore, Borges put 57% of his first serves in, winning 69% (45/65) of the points behind his 1st serve and 41% (20/49) on the 2nd serve. Nuno broke Van Assche 6 times after converting 55% of his break points (6/11).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Nuno has dropped 1 set in this tournament to conquer 54% of the points he played.

Borges has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 69% of his matches (261-115). 11-7 on hard in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Borges has a compiled 127-47 record in the last years on hard.

Nuno’s best result of the current year was getting to the semifinal in the Phoenix Challenger.

The Portuguese has a composed 11-8 win-loss record in 2024, 11-7 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Phoenix Challenger

Phoenix Challenger

Borges's Record

Matteo Berrettini

Matteo Berrettini

4 - 1win/loss

Hard

4-1

I Hard

0-0

Rank
35

High
6

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Year	Total	Hard	Clay	I.hard	Grass	Carpet
2024	34-13	7-6	15-1	6-3	6-3	0-0
2023	14-12	9-10	2-0	0-0	3-2	0-0
2022	32-12	15-9	4-2	4-1	9-0	0-0
2021	41-12	14-5	13-4	3-2	11-1	0-0
2020	9-6	5-3	4-2	0-1	0-0	0-0

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Ranked no. 154, Matteo reached the final after defeating Hugo Gaston 3-6 6-3 6-1, Arthur Cazaux 3-6 6-1 7-5, Terence Atmane 3-6 7-6¹ 7-6⁶ and Aleksandar Vukic 7-6² 7-6².

In the semifinal, Matteo had a good straight sets win against Vukic (7-6² 7-6²). During the match Berrettini scored 101 points vs Vukic’s 87. Berrettini was pretty aggressive to blast 43 winners.

About the serving games, Berrettini recorded 13 aces and he committed only 2 double faults. Matteo Berrettini lost the serve twice and he saved 1 break points. Furthermore, Berrettini put 63% of his first serves in, winning 84% (43/51) of the points behind his 1st serve and 40% (12/30) on the 2nd serve. The Italian broke Vukic twice after converting 25% of his break points (2/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Berrettini has conceded 3 set in the tournament to win 53% of the points he played.

Berrettini’s best result of the year was reaching the semifinal in the Phoenix Challenger.

Matteo has an overall 4-0 win-loss record in 2024, 4-0 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Phoenix Challenger

Previously, he won this tournament once in 2019. See his history.

Phoenix Challenger

Berrettini's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

Matches, sets, games and points

Both Borges and Berrettini played 4 matches. Both players lost a set in the event. Nuno Borges lost 1 set, while Matteo Berrettini surrendered 3 sets. Borges has played 2 set(s) less than Berrettini (9 vs 11). Therefore, Borges played 42 games less than Berrettini. The Portuguese scored 117 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Matteo made 165 winners (42%).

Serve Performance

Borges fired 16 aces (4 per match). Berrettini recorded 36 aces (9 per match). Borges won 74% points behind his first serve. He was rock solid on his second serve to win 49% of the points. On the other side, Berrettini won 79% of the points on his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 47% of the points.

How they played the important points

Nuno broke his opponents 14 times with a 58% conversion rate. Nuno dropped his serve 5 times and he saved 83% of the break points that he conceded. The Italian broke his opponents 13 times with a 32% conversion rate. Berrettini conceded his serve 9 times and he saved 47% of the break points that he conceded.

Head 2 Head

• 0Slam
• 1Main
• 6Chall
• 10Minor

• 0Slam
• 10Main
• 3Chall
• 2Minor

Nuno
Borges

1:0

Matteo
Berrettini

Rank

33

High

30

1Hard0

Rank

35

High

6

Win Loss

Borges

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Berrettini

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2024 2023 2022

33 - 25

31 - 13

20-12

Hard

7-6

0-3

I Hard

3-3

13-7

Clay

15-1

0-3

Grass

6-3

Upcoming matches in the draw

• Nuno BorgesBorges – Matteo BerrettiniBerrettini (0-0) – H2H and prediction

Borges

More Stats

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Berrettini