H2H, prediction of Juan Pablo Varillas vs Facundo Bagnis in Santiago Challenger with odds, preview, pick | 17th March 2024

PREVIEW. Santiago Challenger. Pablo Patino-Samudio and Bagnis will play each other in the final of the Santiago Challenger. See the prediction, H2H stats, odds, and preview of their upcoming match on Sunday the 17th of March

Prediction and head to head Juan Pablo Varillas vs. Facundo Bagnis

Juan Pablo Varillas and Facundo Bagnis will fight against each other in the final of the Santiago Challenger for the 8th time in their career. They are scheduled to play on Sunday at 4:00 pm on CANCHA CENTRAL. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Juan Pablo Varillas who should win in 3 sets.

See updated oddsAs per the initial odds, Juan Pablo Varillas is the pick to win this match.
Juan Pablo Varillas -> 1.79
Facundo Bagnis -> 1.95

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Soccer Tonic Predictions

Prediction and head to head Juan Pablo Varillas vs. Facundo Bagnis

This will be the 8th time that Juan Pablo Varillas and Facundo Bagnis square off. The head to head is 5-2 for Pablo Patino-Samudio (see full H2H stats), 5-1 on clay.

The last time that they fought against each other, Pablo Patino-Samudio won 6-2 6-1 in the 2nd round in Gstaad back in 2023.

Highlights Juan Pablo Varillas vs Facundo Bagnis – Gstaad 20-July-2023

Juan Pablo Varillas

Juan Pablo Varillas
Juan Pablo Varillas

6 - 8win/loss

Hard
0-4
I Hard
0-0
Clay
6-4
Rank
209
High
60
LLWLLWWLLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 27-31 0-5 27-25 0-1 0-0 0-0
2023 29-29 4-7 23-17 2-4 0-1 0-0
2022 53-27 2-3 51-23 0-0 0-1 0-0
2021 51-23 0-2 51-20 0-0 0-1 0-0
2020 8-14 1-2 7-11 0-0 0-0 0-1

Ranked no. 110, Pablo Patino-Samudio reached the final after beating Paul Jubb 3-6 6-3 7-66, Orlando Luz 6-3 2-6 7-63, Francesco Passaro 7-5 4-6 7-66 and Liam Draxl 6-3 6-2.

In the semifinal, Juan had a good straight sets win against Draxl (6-3 6-2). During the match, Pablo Patino-Samudio scored 76 points vs Draxl’s 53. Pablo Patino-Samudio was extremely aggressive to blast 35 winners.

Talking about the service games, Pablo Patino-Samudio struck 3 aces and he was quite solid in conceding no double faults. Overall, Juan Pablo Varillas was very efficient on serve to win 71% (35/49) of his 1st serve and 52% (12/23) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve once. Pablo Patino-Samudio broke Draxl 4 times after converting 50% of his break points (4/8).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Pablo Patino-Samudio has conceded 3 set in this tournament to conquer 53% of the points he played.

Pablo Patino-Samudio has a solid record in the last 10 years having won 60% of his matches (363-237). 5-4 on clay in 2024. Talking about his performance on the same surface of this tournament, Pablo Patino-Samudio has a compiled 333-195 win-loss record in the last years on clay.

Juan’s best result of the season was reaching the semifinal in the Santiago Challenger.

The Peruvian has a compiled 5-8 win-loss record in 2024, 5-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Santiago Challenger

Pablo Patino-Samudio
Santiago Challenger
Pablo Patino-Samudio's Record

Facundo Bagnis

Facundo Bagnis
Facundo Bagnis

18 - 7win/loss

Hard
1-2
I Hard
0-0
Clay
17-5
Rank
139
High
55
LLWWLLWWLW
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 30-15 1-3 29-11 0-0 0-1 0-0
2023 27-27 4-6 23-20 0-1 0-0 0-0
2022 46-29 9-9 37-19 0-0 0-1 0-0
2021 38-23 2-5 35-16 1-1 0-1 0-0
2020 25-14 1-2 24-12 0-0 0-0 0-0

Ranked no. 147, Facundo reached the final after beating Gerard Campana Lee 6-1 7-5, Gabi Adrian Boitan 6-4 6-2, Hugo Dellien 6-3 7-68 and Gustavo Heide 6-4 7-61.

In the semifinal, The Argentine had a good straight sets win against Heide (6-4 7-61). During the match Bagnis scored 83 points vs Heide’s 69. The Argentine was extremely aggressive to blast 31 winners.

About the serving games, Bagnis recorded 7 aces and he committed only 1 double fault for the entire match. Overall, Facundo Bagnis was pretty efficient on serve to win 72% (31/43) of his 1st serve and 57% (17/30) on the second serve. However, this didn’t prevent his to concede the serve twice. The Argentine broke Heide 3 times after converting 75% of his break points (3/4).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Bagnis hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 55% of the points he played.

His best result of the current year was winning the title the Tigre Challenger where he overcame Mariano Navone in the final 7-5 1-6 7-5.

Facundo has a compiled 18-6 win-loss record in 2024, 17-4 on clay (See FULL STATS).

Previously in the Santiago Challenger

Previously, he won this tournament 3 times in 2013, 2015 and 2016. See his history.

Bagnis
Santiago Challenger
Bagnis's Record
Bonus
Soccer Tonic Predictions

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

J.Pablo Varillas
F.Bagnis
10h:28
10h:28
Time on court​
7h:43
7h:43
1h:47
1h:47
Last match​
!
2h:16
2h:16
4
4
Match played
4
4
113
113
Games Played​
82
82
11
11
Set played​​
8
8
404
404
Total points​
299
299
101
101
Avg point​
74.8
74.8
172
172
Winners
114
114
43
43
Avg Winners​
28.5
28.5
43%
43%
Ratio winners
38%
38%
-- Serve --
21
21
Aces
22
22
5.3
5.3
Avg Aces
5.5
5.5
6
6
Double Faults
5
5
1.5
1.5
Avg Double Faults
1.3
1.3
172/238
172/238
1st won total​
114/154
114/154
!
72%
72%
1st won %
!
74%
74%
71/135
71/135
2nd won total​
64/104
64/104
53%
53%
2nd won %
!
62%
62%
-- Break Points --
14/42
14/42
BP won
12/29
12/29
3.5/10.5
3.5/10.5
Avg BP won
3/7.3
3/7.3
33%
33%
Won
41%
41%
32
32
Conceded
19
19
8
8
Avg Conceded
4.8
4.8
11
11
Broken
4
4
2.8
2.8
Avg Broken
1
1
21
21
Saved
15
15

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Pablo Patino-Samudio Bagnis
Match played 4 4
Tot Set 11 8
Tot Games 113 82
Pts 404-364 299-244
Total Points 768 543
Winners 172 114
%Winners 43% 38%

Both Pablo Patino-Samudio and Bagnis played 4 matches. At the moment, Juan Pablo Varillas lost 3 sets while Facundo Bagnis hasn’t lost a set so far. Pablo Patino-Samudio has played 3 sets more than Bagnis (11 vs 8). Therefore, Pablo Patino-Samudio played 31 games more than Bagnis. The Peruvian scored 172 winners (43% of the total points). On the other side, Bagnis scored 114 winners (38%).

Serve Performance

Serve Pablo Patino-Samudio Bagnis
Aces 21 22
Avg per match 5.3 5.5
1st in 238/373 154/258
%1st in 64% 60%
1st pts 172/238 114/154
%1st pts 72% 74%
2nd pts 71/135 64/104
%2nd pts 53% 62%

Pablo Patino-Samudio made 21 aces (5.3 per match). Bagnis managed to score 22 aces (5.5 per match). Pablo Patino-Samudio won 72% points behind his first serve. He very solid his second serve to win 53% of the points. On the other side, Bagnis won 74% of the points behind his first serve. He had a solid display on his second serve to win 62% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Pablo Patino-Samudio Bagnis
Won 14 12
Converted 14/42 12/29
% Converted 33% 41%
Conceded 32 19
Saved 21 15
% Saved 66% 79%
Times Broken 11 4

Pablo Patino-Samudio broke his opponents 14 times with a 33% conversion rate. Pablo Patino-Samudio conceded his serve 11 times and he saved 66% of the break points that he conceded. The Argentine broke his opponents 12 times with a 41% conversion rate. The Argentine conceded his serve 4 times and he saved 79% of the break points that he conceded.

Pablo Patino-Samudio
R1
Jubb
R2
Luz
1/4
Passaro
1/2
Draxl
Total
Score 3-6 6-3 7-66 6-3 2-6 7-63 7-5 4-6 7-66 6-3 6-2
Tot Set 3 3 3 2 11
Tot Games 31 30 35 17 113
pts 101-99 103-94 124-118 76-53 404-364
Total points 200 197 242 129 768
Winners 44 41 52 35 172
%Winners 44% 40% 42% 46% 43%
SERVE
Aces 5 9 4 3 21
Double Faults 0 1 5 0 6
1st in 62/97 53/78 74/126 49/72 238/373
% 1st in 64% 68% 59% 68% 64%
1st pts 44/62 41/53 52/74 35/49 172/238
% 1st pts 71% 77% 70% 71% 72%
2nd pts 18/35 14/25 27/52 12/23 71/135
% 2nd pts 51% 56% 52% 52% 53%
Breaks
Won 3 3 4 4 14
Converted 3/10 3/10 4/14 4/8 14/42
Converted % 30% 30% 29% 50% 33%
Conceded 5 5 13 9 32
Saved 2/5 2/5 9/13 8/9 21
Saved % 40% 40% 69% 89% 60%
Times Broken 3 3 4 1 11
Bagnis
R1
Campana
R2
Adrian
1/4
Dellien
1/2
Heide
Total
Score 6-1 7-5 6-4 6-2 6-3 7-68 6-4 7-61
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 8
Tot Games 19 18 22 23 82
pts 75-58 57-42 84-75 83-69 299-244
Total points 133 99 159 152 543
Winners 22 29 32 31 114
%Winners 29% 51% 38% 37% 38%
SERVE
Aces 4 5 6 7 22
Double Faults 3 1 0 1 5
1st in 30/57 36/53 45/75 43/73 154/258
% 1st in 53% 68% 60% 59% 60%
1st pts 22/30 29/36 32/45 31/43 114/154
% 1st pts 73% 81% 71% 72% 74%
2nd pts 14/27 10/17 23/30 17/30 64/104
% 2nd pts 52% 59% 77% 57% 62%
Breaks
Won 5 3 1 3 12
Converted 5/13 3/5 1/7 3/4 12/29
Converted % 38% 60% 14% 75% 41%
Conceded 4 1 5 9 19
Saved 2/4 1/1 5/5 7/9 15
Saved % 50% 100% 100% 78% 82%
Times Broken 2 0 0 2 4

Head 2 Head

Win Loss
Pablo Varillas
LLWLLWWLLW
Bagnis
LLWWLLWWLW
2024 2023 2022
27 - 28
30 - 15
0-3
Hard
1-3
27-25
Clay
29-11
See Updated Draw
Soccer Tonic Predictions
Bonus

Upcoming matches in the draw