Iga Swiatek and Marta Kostyuk will play each other in the semifinal of the BNP Paribas Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.

Prediction, odds and live streaming

The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.

As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.104
Marta Kostyuk -> 6.85

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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Marta Kostyuk

This will be the 2nd time that Iga Swiatek and Marta Kostyuk fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.

The last time that they played, Swiatek won 6-3 6-4 in the 4th round in at the French Open back in 2021.

Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Marta Kostyuk – French Open 07-June-2021

Iga Swiatek

Iga Swiatek

19 - 2win/loss

Hard
19-2
I Hard
0-0
Rank
2
High
1
WLWLWWWWLW
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 61-9 29-5 26-2 4-1 2-1 0-0
2023 68-11 42-8 19-2 0-0 7-1 0-0
2022 67-9 42-6 18-1 5-1 2-1 0-0
2021 36-15 18-10 12-2 2-1 4-2 0-0
2020 16-5 6-4 7-1 3-0 0-0 0-0
See all years

Currently world no. 1 the Pole got to the semifinal after beating Danielle Rose Collins 6-3 6-0, Linda Noskova 6-4 6-0, Yulia Putintseva 6-1 6-2 and Caroline Wozniacki 6-4 1-0 ret..

In the quarter against Wozniacki, Iga had a free pass after Wozniacki retired on a 6-4 1-0 . scoreline.

Swiatek has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 81% of her matches (303-69). 18-2 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Swiatek has a composed151-39 match record in the last 9 years on hard.

Her best result of the season was winning the title in Australia where she beat Angelique Kerber in the final 6-3 6-0 and in Doha where she defeated Elena Rybakina in the final 7-6(8) 6-2.

Swiatek has an overall 18-2 win-loss record in 2024, 18-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Indian Wells
Swiatek's Record

Marta Kostyuk

Marta Kostyuk

15 - 6win/loss

Hard
15-6
I Hard
0-0
Rank
18
High
16
LWLLWWLWWL
See allSTATS
Year Total Hard Clay I.hard Grass Carpet
2024 34-20 24-12 8-5 0-0 2-3 0-0
2023 26-22 22-16 2-4 0-0 2-2 0-0
2022 28-20 18-11 3-4 4-3 3-2 0-0
2021 25-17 8-9 10-4 3-1 4-3 0-0
2020 27-12 16-6 7-3 4-3 0-0 0-0
See all years

Ranked no. 32, Marta got to the semifinal after beating Mai Hontama 6-4 6-2, Marketa Vondrousova w/o, Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-4 6-1 and Anastasia Potapova 6-0 7-5.

In the quarter, Marta had a good straight sets win against Potapova (6-0 7-5). During the match Kostyuk scored 65 points vs Potapova’s 45. Kostyuk was quite aggressive to blast 16 winners.

About the serving games, Kostyuk scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Marta Kostyuk lost the serve 3 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kostyuk put 57% of her first serves in, winning 59% (16/27) of the points behind her 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the 2nd serve. Marta broke Potapova 7 times after converting 70% of her break points (7/10).

Overall Performance in this tournament

Marta hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.

Kostyuk’s best result of the year was reaching the final in San Diego.

The Ukrainian has a compiled 15-5 win-loss record in 2024, 15-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).

Previously in Indian Wells

Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd

round in 2021 and 2022. See her history.
Indian Wells
Kostyuk's Record

H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)

I.Swiatek
M.Kostyuk
4h:49
4h:49
Time on court​
3h:44
3h:44
1h:05
1h:05
Last match​
1h:08
1h:08
!
4
4
Match played
3
3
57
57
Games Played​
53
53
9
9
Set played​​
6
6
234
234
Total points​
191
191
58.5
58.5
Avg point​
63.7
63.7
85
85
Winners
50
50
21.3
21.3
Avg Winners​
16.7
16.7
36%
36%
Ratio winners
26%
26%
-- Serve --
5
5
Aces
3
3
1.3
1.3
Avg Aces
1
1
4
4
Double Faults
12
12
1
1
Avg Double Faults
4
4
85/124
85/124
1st won total​
50/71
50/71
69%
69%
1st won %
70%
70%
37/63
37/63
2nd won total​
38/74
38/74
59%
59%
2nd won %
51%
51%
-- Break Points --
18/39
18/39
BP won
18/29
18/29
4.5/9.8
4.5/9.8
Avg BP won
6/9.7
6/9.7
46%
46%
Won
!
62%
62%
16
16
Conceded
13
13
4
4
Avg Conceded
4.3
4.3
4
4
Broken
7
7
1
1
Avg Broken
2.3
2.3
12
12
Saved
6
6
See Allstats

Matches, sets, games and points

Points Swiatek Kostyuk
Match played 4 3
Tot Set 9 6
Tot Games 57 53
Pts 234-154 191-139
Total Points 388 330
Winners 85 50
%Winners 36% 26%

Swiatek played 4 matches while Kostyuk competed in 3 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Swiatek has played 3 sets more than Kostyuk (9 vs 6). Therefore, Swiatek played 4 games more than Kostyuk. Iga scored 85 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Marta recorded 50 winners (26%).

Serve Performance

Serve Swiatek Kostyuk
Aces 5 3
Avg per match 1.3 1
1st in 124/187 71/145
%1st in 66% 49%
1st pts 85/124 50/71
%1st pts 69% 70%
2nd pts 37/63 38/74
%2nd pts 59% 51%

Swiatek bagged 5 aces (1.3 per match). Kostyuk scored 3 aces (1 per match). Swiatek won 69% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Kostyuk won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.

How they played the important points

Breaks Swiatek Kostyuk
Won 18 18
Converted 18/39 18/29
% Converted 46% 62%
Conceded 16 13
Saved 12 6
% Saved 75% 46%
Times Broken 4 7

Iga broke her opponents 18 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Pole dropped her serve 4 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. Kostyuk broke her opponents 18 times with a 62% conversion rate. Kostyuk conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 46% of the break points that she conceded.

Swiatek
R2
Collins		 R3
Noskova		 R4
Putintseva		 1/4
Wozniacki		 Total
Score 6-3 6-0 6-4 6-0 6-1 6-2 6-4 1-0 ret.
Tot Set 2 2 2 2 8
Tot Games 15 16 15 11 57
pts 65-42 60-39 63-37 46-36 234-154
Total points 107 99 100 82 388
Winners 32 21 22 10 85
%Winners 49% 35% 35% 22% 36%
SERVE
Aces 2 0 1 2 5
Double Faults 2 1 1 0 4
1st in 45/63 33/54 30/43 16/27 124/187
% 1st in 71% 61% 70% 59% 66%
1st pts 32/45 21/33 22/30 10/16 85/124
% 1st pts 71% 64% 73% 63% 69%
2nd pts 9/18 13/21 7/13 8/11 37/63
% 2nd pts 50% 62% 54% 73% 59%
Breaks
Won 4 5 6 3 18
Converted 4/6 5/9 6/14 3/10 18/39
Converted % 67% 56% 43% 30% 46%
Conceded 4 5 6 1 16
Saved 4/4 4/5 4/6 0/1 12
Saved % 100% 80% 67% 0% 62%
Times Broken 0 1 2 1 4
Kostyuk
R2
Hontama		 R3
Vondrousova		 R4
Pavlyuchenkova		 1/4
Potapova		 1/4
Potapova		 1/4
Potapova		 Total
Score 6-4 6-2 w/o 6-4 6-1 6-0 7-5
Tot Set 2 – 2 2 1 1 8
Tot Games 18 – 17 18 0 0 53
pts 63-49 – 63-45 65-45 45-65 45-65 281-269
Total points 112 – 108 110 110 110 550
Winners 20 – 14 16 21 21 92
%Winners 32% – 22% 25% 47% 47% 33%
SERVE
Aces 2 – 0 1 1 1 5
Double Faults 5 – 3 4 4 4 20
1st in 26/49 – 18/49 27/47 46/63 46/63 163/271
% 1st in 53% – 37% 57% 73% 73% 60%
1st pts 20/26 – 14/18 16/27 21/46 21/46 92/163
% 1st pts 77% – 78% 59% 46% 46% 56%
2nd pts 8/23 – 18/31 12/20 5/17 5/17 48/108
% 2nd pts 35% – 58% 60% 29% 29% 44%
Breaks
Won 6 – 5 7 3 3 24
Converted 6/11 – 5/8 7/10 3/5 3/5 24/39
Converted % 55% – 63% 70% 60% 60% 62%
Conceded 6 – 2 5 10 10 33
Saved 3/6 – 1/2 2/5 3/10 3/10 12
Saved % 50% – 50% 40% 30% 30% 50%
Times Broken 3 – 1 3 7 7 21

Tennis Scores in Indian Wells

Upcoming matches in the draw

Swiatek
More Stats
Click here
Kostyuk

Click for FULL STATS