Iga Swiatek and Marta Kostyuk will play each other in the semifinal of the BNP Paribas Open for the 2nd time in their career. They are scheduled to compete on Friday at 4:00 pm on STADIUM 1. In the following paragraphs, you can find the head to head analysis and prediction.
Prediction, odds and live streaming
The pick for Tennis Tonic is Iga Swiatek who should win in 2 sets.
As per the initial odds, Iga Swiatek is the pick to win this match.
Iga Swiatek -> 1.104
Marta Kostyuk -> 6.85
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Prediction and head to head Iga Swiatek vs. Marta Kostyuk
This will be the 2nd time that Iga Swiatek and Marta Kostyuk fight against each other. The head to head is 1-0 for Swiatek (see full H2H stats), but they have never played each other on hard.
The last time that they played, Swiatek won 6-3 6-4 in the 4th round in at the French Open back in 2021.
Highlights Iga Swiatek vs Marta Kostyuk – French Open 07-June-2021
Iga Swiatek
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 64-9 | 29-5 | 26-2 | 7-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 68-11 | 42-8 | 19-2 | 0-0 | 7-1 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 67-9 | 42-6 | 18-1 | 5-1 | 2-1 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 36-15 | 18-10 | 12-2 | 2-1 | 4-2 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 16-5 | 6-4 | 7-1 | 3-0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Currently world no. 1 the Pole got to the semifinal after beating Danielle Rose Collins 6-3 6-0, Linda Noskova 6-4 6-0, Yulia Putintseva 6-1 6-2 and Caroline Wozniacki 6-4 1-0 ret..
In the quarter against Wozniacki, Iga had a free pass after Wozniacki retired on a 6-4 1-0 . scoreline.
Swiatek has a fantastic win-loss record in the last 9 years having won 81% of her matches (303-69). 18-2 on hard in 2024. Talking about her performance on the same surface of this event, Swiatek has a composed151-39 match record in the last 9 years on hard.
Her best result of the season was winning the title in Australia where she beat Angelique Kerber in the final 6-3 6-0 and in Doha where she defeated Elena Rybakina in the final 7-6(8) 6-2.
Swiatek has an overall 18-2 win-loss record in 2024, 18-2 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Marta Kostyuk
| Year | Total | Hard | Clay | I.hard | Grass | Carpet |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | 34-20 | 24-12 | 8-5 | 0-0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| 2023 | 26-22 | 22-16 | 2-4 | 0-0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| 2022 | 28-20 | 18-11 | 3-4 | 4-3 | 3-2 | 0-0 |
| 2021 | 25-17 | 8-9 | 10-4 | 3-1 | 4-3 | 0-0 |
| 2020 | 27-12 | 16-6 | 7-3 | 4-3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Ranked no. 32, Marta got to the semifinal after beating Mai Hontama 6-4 6-2, Marketa Vondrousova w/o, Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova 6-4 6-1 and Anastasia Potapova 6-0 7-5.
In the quarter, Marta had a good straight sets win against Potapova (6-0 7-5). During the match Kostyuk scored 65 points vs Potapova’s 45. Kostyuk was quite aggressive to blast 16 winners.
About the serving games, Kostyuk scored just 1 ace during the entire match and she committed only 4 double faults. Marta Kostyuk lost the serve 3 times and she saved 2 break points. Furthermore, Kostyuk put 57% of her first serves in, winning 59% (16/27) of the points behind her 1st serve and 60% (12/20) on the 2nd serve. Marta broke Potapova 7 times after converting 70% of her break points (7/10).
Overall Performance in this tournament
Marta hasn’t dropped yet a set in the tournament to win 58% of the points she played.
Kostyuk’s best result of the year was reaching the final in San Diego.
The Ukrainian has a compiled 15-5 win-loss record in 2024, 15-5 on hard (See FULL STATS).
Previously in Indian Wells
Previously, her best result was reaching the 2nd round in 2021 and 2022. See her history.
H2H Performance in the tournament (main draw)
Matches, sets, games and points
| Points | Swiatek | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Match played | 4 | 3 |
| Tot Set | 9 | 6 |
| Tot Games | 57 | 53 |
| Pts | 234-154 | 191-139 |
| Total Points | 388 | 330 |
| Winners | 85 | 50 |
| %Winners | 36% | 26% |
Swiatek played 4 matches while Kostyuk competed in 3 matches. Both players have not conceded a single set in this event so far. Swiatek has played 3 sets more than Kostyuk (9 vs 6). Therefore, Swiatek played 4 games more than Kostyuk. Iga scored 85 winners (36% of the total points). On the other side, Marta recorded 50 winners (26%).
Serve Performance
| Serve | Swiatek | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Aces | 5 | 3 |
| Avg per match | 1.3 | 1 |
| 1st in | 124/187 | 71/145 |
| %1st in | 66% | 49% |
| 1st pts | 85/124 | 50/71 |
| %1st pts | 69% | 70% |
| 2nd pts | 37/63 | 38/74 |
| %2nd pts | 59% | 51% |
Swiatek bagged 5 aces (1.3 per match). Kostyuk scored 3 aces (1 per match). Swiatek won 69% points on her first serve. She pretty solid on her second serve to win 59% of the points. On the other side, Kostyuk won 70% of the points behind her first serve. She had a solid display on her second serve to win 51% of the points.
How they played the important points
| Breaks | Swiatek | Kostyuk |
|---|---|---|
| Won | 18 | 18 |
| Converted | 18/39 | 18/29 |
| % Converted | 46% | 62% |
| Conceded | 16 | 13 |
| Saved | 12 | 6 |
| % Saved | 75% | 46% |
| Times Broken | 4 | 7 |
Iga broke her opponents 18 times with a 46% conversion rate. The Pole dropped her serve 4 times and she saved 75% of the break points that she conceded. Kostyuk broke her opponents 18 times with a 62% conversion rate. Kostyuk conceded her serve 7 times and she saved 46% of the break points that she conceded.
| Swiatek | ||||||
| R2 Collins |
R3 Noskova |
R4 Putintseva |
1/4 Wozniacki |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-3 6-0 | 6-4 6-0 | 6-1 6-2 | 6-4 1-0 ret. | ||
| Tot Set | 2 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 15 | 16 | 15 | 11 | 57 | |
| pts | 65-42 | 60-39 | 63-37 | 46-36 | 234-154 | |
| Total points | 107 | 99 | 100 | 82 | 388 | |
| Winners | 32 | 21 | 22 | 10 | 85 | |
| %Winners | 49% | 35% | 35% | 22% | 36% | |
| SERVE | ||||||
| Aces | 2 | 0 | 1 | 2 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 4 | |
| 1st in | 45/63 | 33/54 | 30/43 | 16/27 | 124/187 | |
| % 1st in | 71% | 61% | 70% | 59% | 66% | |
| 1st pts | 32/45 | 21/33 | 22/30 | 10/16 | 85/124 | |
| % 1st pts | 71% | 64% | 73% | 63% | 69% | |
| 2nd pts | 9/18 | 13/21 | 7/13 | 8/11 | 37/63 | |
| % 2nd pts | 50% | 62% | 54% | 73% | 59% | |
| Breaks | ||||||
| Won | 4 | 5 | 6 | 3 | 18 | |
| Converted | 4/6 | 5/9 | 6/14 | 3/10 | 18/39 | |
| Converted % | 67% | 56% | 43% | 30% | 46% | |
| Conceded | 4 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 16 | |
| Saved | 4/4 | 4/5 | 4/6 | 0/1 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 100% | 80% | 67% | 0% | 62% | |
| Times Broken | 0 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 4 | |
| Kostyuk | ||||||||
| R2 Hontama |
R3 Vondrousova |
R4 Pavlyuchenkova |
1/4 Potapova |
1/4 Potapova |
1/4 Potapova |
Total | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Score | 6-4 6-2 | w/o | 6-4 6-1 | 6-0 7-5 | ||||
| Tot Set | 2 | – | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 8 | |
| Tot Games | 18 | – | 17 | 18 | 0 | 0 | 53 | |
| pts | 63-49 | – | 63-45 | 65-45 | 45-65 | 45-65 | 281-269 | |
| Total points | 112 | – | 108 | 110 | 110 | 110 | 550 | |
| Winners | 20 | – | 14 | 16 | 21 | 21 | 92 | |
| %Winners | 32% | – | 22% | 25% | 47% | 47% | 33% | |
| SERVE | ||||||||
| Aces | 2 | – | 0 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 5 | |
| Double Faults | 5 | – | 3 | 4 | 4 | 4 | 20 | |
| 1st in | 26/49 | – | 18/49 | 27/47 | 46/63 | 46/63 | 163/271 | |
| % 1st in | 53% | – | 37% | 57% | 73% | 73% | 60% | |
| 1st pts | 20/26 | – | 14/18 | 16/27 | 21/46 | 21/46 | 92/163 | |
| % 1st pts | 77% | – | 78% | 59% | 46% | 46% | 56% | |
| 2nd pts | 8/23 | – | 18/31 | 12/20 | 5/17 | 5/17 | 48/108 | |
| % 2nd pts | 35% | – | 58% | 60% | 29% | 29% | 44% | |
| Breaks | ||||||||
| Won | 6 | – | 5 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 24 | |
| Converted | 6/11 | – | 5/8 | 7/10 | 3/5 | 3/5 | 24/39 | |
| Converted % | 55% | – | 63% | 70% | 60% | 60% | 62% | |
| Conceded | 6 | – | 2 | 5 | 10 | 10 | 33 | |
| Saved | 3/6 | – | 1/2 | 2/5 | 3/10 | 3/10 | 12 | |
| Saved % | 50% | – | 50% | 40% | 30% | 30% | 50% | |
| Times Broken | 3 | – | 1 | 3 | 7 | 7 | 21 | |
Head 2 Head
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LWLLWWLWWL Tennis Scores in Indian Wells
- Adrian Menendez-MaceirasMenendez-Maceiras – Andrea ArnaboldiArnaboldi (7-66 7-65) – Stats, scores, rankings
- Ugo HumbertHumbert – Luca VanniVanni (7-65 6-4) – Stats, scores, rankings
Upcoming matches in the draw
- Iga SwiatekSwiatek – Marta KostyukKostyuk (1-0) – H2H and prediction
- Cori GauffGauff – Maria SakkariSakkari (3-4) – H2H and prediction
